NFL Picks: Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns (Thurs)

This is the perfect game for the reeling Steelers. In fact, I specifically stayed away from picking Pittsburgh all season in my eliminator pool so I could pick them late in the season against Cleveland. Simply put, Cleveland doesn't stand a chance against Pittsburgh. They never do and probably never will.

However, I did find it entertaining that Hines Ward will most likely miss this game due to injury (He is "very questionable" at the time of this writing). Doesn't he understand that the Steelers playoff chances are on life support and his team needs him? He should just lie to the doctor and tough it out.

New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons

And win number 13 will come courtesy of the Atlanta Falcons. I would've been picking against the Falcons regardless, but last week they looked just plain awful. I do realize they were missing their three biggest stars on offense but as of right now none of the three are guaranteed to play. Even if they do, they won't be 100% and the Saints should completely bowl them over. Let's just hope the Saints finish them early this week instead of turning it into a nail-biter like they did against Washington.

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

I was tempted to pick the Bears for a few reasons until I realized Jay Cutler was still their starting QB and Lovie Smith was still their Head Coach. News is spreading that Charlie Weiss may be interested in becoming the offensive coordinator for Chicago, which could actually be a good thing for the Bears next season, but they will need to get some more weapons on offense. I like Devin Hester as much as any fan of Miami, but he isn't a number one receiver, and neither is anyone else currently on the Bears roster. Greg Olsen doesn't count; a tight end shouldn't be your number one weapon. I see them finishing right around 6-10 which may be good enough to grab a receiver in the first round…oh wait…they traded that pick for Cutler. Sorry Chicago.

Denver Broncos @ Indianapolis Colts

I'm just going to keep picking against the Colts until they finally lose. It's nothing personal against Indianapolis; I just think they are really due for a loss. Unlike the Saints in the NFC, the Colts just about have the first seed wrapped up. The absolute best the Bengals and Chargers can finish is 13-3, which means Indy basically has to just win one more game to clinch home field throughout the playoffs. I've watched football long enough to know that the Colts don't care at all about going undefeated and will start resting starters soon, which means they are bound to drop one.

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs

The Bills really should win this game, but if there is one thing I've learned throughout my life, it's that the Bills never do what they are expected to do. I know last year was last year and it's totally different than this year, but both teams were pretty bad last season and the Bills hammered the Chiefs in Arrowhead 54-31. Terrible logic on my part, I know, but the Bills really are the better team. Over/Under on Matt Cassel interceptions: two. I'm taking the over. He'll throw at least three before possibly getting benched. In the event that this happens, it should be fairly entertaining to watch Todd Haley's face turn different shades of red throughout the afternoon.

New York Jets @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Jets are only one game out of first place in the AFC East, which is exactly why they will lose to Tampa Bay this week. The Buccaneers are terrible and have no business winning, but the Jets will find some way to let their fans down after getting them all excited the past two weeks. It's just one of those things that don't really make sense on paper, but if you follow teams like the Jets long enough, you're fully prepared for it.

Miami Dolphins @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Miami is a confusing team. They barely lost to Indianapolis and New Orleans, both of which were easily winnable at one point late in the game. They barely pull out a win against Tampa Bay and then get crushed two weeks later at Buffalo, only to beat New England the following week at home. Honestly, it makes no sense.

The Jaguars have gone 5-1 at home so far this season, which is odd because they have no home field advantage. In fact, this game might sell out only because they are playing another team in Florida. Regardless of all that, Jacksonville is firmly in the driver's seat for a wild card berth and they should be able to handle Miami at home (if things made sense).

For the record, I have zero confidence in this pick.

Detroit Lions @ Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens desperately need to start winning to stay ahead of Pittsburgh in the race for the playoffs. Luckily for them, they have Detroit this week and Chicago next week, both at home. There is a very good chance that Baltimore could have a full one game lead on Pittsburgh heading into the game in Pittsburgh in Week 16.

I know there has been talk about Joe Flacco regressing, which I don't entirely disagree with, but let's remember that he is only in his second year. The NFL is a league of adjustments and teams are adjusting to his play, which they couldn't do last year because they were all unfamiliar with him. With all of this in mind, he did have his team dangerously close to the Super Bowl last season in the third straight road playoff game, which is quite an accomplishment for a rookie QB and not something done by a fluke. So settle down people, Joe Flacco is going to be just fine.

Seattle Seahawks @ Houston Texans

I'm picking Houston in this game because I've seen them play and haven't seen a second of Seahawks football this season. Literally. Besides highlights and clips online, I haven't watched anything they've done this year. I'm not apologizing for this. They are in the NFC West and I just don't care enough about that horrid division to watch them.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings are now two games back of the Saints for the first seed in the NFC, which is going to be very hard to make up seeing that the Saints probably won't lose at all during the regular season. That being said, the Bengals can actually clinch their division with a win this Sunday. Call me crazy, but the Bengals won't let that opportunity pass them by. And yes, I'm looking forward to seeing Chad Ochocinco scoring and trying something completely ridiculous to celebrate.

Carolina Panthers @ New England Patriots

Remember the 59-0 blowout the Patriots handed the Titans in Week Six? This could be worse.

St. Louis Rams @ Tennessee Titans

It's too little too late for the Titans, but this win should at least keep their slim hopes alive for at least one more week.

Washington Redskins @ Oakland Raiders

I'm going with the Raiders for obvious reasons even though they will most likely have a letdown game and give Washington the win. Everyone in Oakland will be riding high after a huge upset victory against Pittsburgh, and then Bruce Gradkowski will remind everyone that he is in fact Bruce Gradkowski. I have a bad feeling about this game. On a side note, for a very terrible team, the Raiders have probably the highest amount of quality wins. Out of only four victories, three came against Philadelphia, Cincinnati, and Pittsburgh. All of which are most likely going to the playoffs. I can't think of another team with so few wins and the majority coming against good teams. Maybe they aren't as far off as we thought.

San Diego Chargers @ Dallas Cowboys

This is actually a tough game to pick for me. However, my pick comes down to two factors. The Chargers are currently on a seven game winning streak and this game is being played in December. Sorry Dallas, I don't mean to pile on, but until you prove you can win in December, you can no longer be trusted. Of course now they will win to rope me back in.

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

This is also a tough game after the Giants showed they weren't completely dead last week. I'm going with Philadelphia mostly because the Giants have been the more inconsistent team and the Eagles were my preseason pick to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, so I have to stick to it now.

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers

Congratulations to Arizona for winning their second straight NFC West crown.

Last Week: 9-7

NFL Season: 126-79


Scott's Picks:


Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns (Thurs)

New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

Denver Broncos @ Indianapolis Colts

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs

New York Jets @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Miami Dolphins @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Detroit Lions @ Baltimore Ravens

Seattle Seahawks @ Houston Texans

Cincinnati Bengals @ Minnesota Vikings

Carolina Panthers @ New England Patriots

St. Louis Rams @ Tennessee Titans

Washington Redskins @ Oakland Raiders

San Diego Chargers @ Dallas Cowboys

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers

Last Week: 10-6

NFL Season: 129-76


NFL Power Rankings – Week 13

LEGIT SUPER BOWL CONTENDERS

1. New Orleans Saints (1) – The Saints got very lucky on Sunday but those are the necessary breaks when attempting to go undefeated. The game in Washington had "letdown game" written all over it; however I didn't think the Redskins would make that much of game out of things. New Orleans clinched their division with the win yesterday but Head Coach Sean Payton has gone on record stating that they are definitely going for the undefeated season. Kudos to him and his staff. Resting his players right now would be the worst thing possible right now.

2. Indianapolis Colts (2) – This was the second week in the last three that I picked against Indianapolis for my upset special and got screwed. Well, I can't say I was totally screwed since I was picking against the second best team in the league. Assuming they don't rest their starters, the Colts have a real good shot at 16-0, which has me slightly excited. Their final game is in Buffalo on January 3rd and I'm trying to find one reason to not attend the game besides the weather being bitter cold and the game being completely meaningless for the Bills. Say the Colts are 15-0 heading into that game, I could probably score some cheap tickets and witness some form of history as Indy goes 16-0 or watch the Bills have one of the bigger upsets of the season as they end the Colts undefeated hopes. Again, give me one reason not to go. I got none.

3. Minnesota Vikings (3) – As someone who owns Adrian Peterson on my fantasy team, I just want to say thanks for his amazing 19 yard performance on 13 carries. All day baby, all day. I wouldn't worry too much if I were a Vikings fan though. They still have a strong hold on the second seed in the NFC and Brett Favre will definitely rebound from his sub-par performance. No way is he hitting any sort of wall, no way at all.


POTENTIALLY FRISKY PLAYOFF TEAMS

4. Cincinnati Bengals (4) – With the Ravens loss on Monday night, the Bengals are just one win away from clinching the AFC North. Read that again, it's simply amazing. If anyone other than a Bengals fan told you that was possible at the beginning of the season, they would have to be committed to the insane asylum.

5. San Diego Chargers (5) –The Chargers are quietly one of the hottest teams in the NFL right now. They are currently riding a seven game win streak and still have a one game lead in the AFC West. Denver seems to have rebounded from their mid-season slump so the Chargers will need to continue their winning ways or face the possibility of a road playoff game in the first round. It won't be easy for San Diego as their next three games are all tough. If they were to win all three, I might be making them my pick for the Super Bowl.

6. Arizona Cardinals (11) – The Cardinals absolutely impressed me with their win against Minnesota Sunday night. If they play like that, a second straight Super Bowl appearance is not out of the question. This week's game is surprisingly big for Arizona as they can clinch their second straight NFC West crown with a win against the 49ers.

7. Philadelphia Eagles (12) – With a big win in Atlanta, the Eagles are now in a first place tie in the NFC East. We've all seen this script before. Now whether or not it plays out the same is yet to be determined. I'll know a little bit more after this week's game in the Meadowlands.

8. Dallas Cowboys (7) – I'm trying my hardest to not pick on the Cowboys for yet another December loss but it is very difficult. Of their four remaining games, the only team they are facing that won't be in the playoffs is Washington. If Dallas still makes a late season run, it will be well deserved.

9. Denver Broncos (8) – Denver's wildcard chances are looking pretty good right now. I see the Broncos finishing 10-6 in a worst case scenario which should still be good for the playoffs. Who would've thought that before the season after the Cutler/McDaniel's mess that went on in the offseason?

10. New England Patriots (6) – Is this the end of a dynasty? I keep defending the Patriots for some odd reason and thinking that I still can't pick against them in the playoffs, but it's becoming more and more difficult to hold that thought while watching them lose games they should definitely win. Sunday's loss in Miami was killer because now both the Jets and Dolphins are just one game back in the division. Luckily for New England, they have four fairly easy games coming up on the schedule so I still don't seem them blowing their division lead.

12. Green Bay Packers (13) – The Packers are hot right now and that could be scary heading into the playoffs. Remember, it's not always the best team, but the one that is rolling along (2007 Giants).

13. Pittsburgh Steelers (10) – Sunday's loss was huge for Pittsburgh. Losing four in a row is never good, but it seems especially worse since two games were against division opponents and the other two were against the Raiders and Chiefs. Not sure how that happens but I am still not counting the Steelers out. I see them easily putting together a four game run and squeaking into the playoffs. After that, all bets are off. As I'm often reminded, their first Super Bowl win this decade was done as a six seed.

14. New York Giants (16) – I've flip flopped more times on the Giants this season than I have on going on a diet and working out. Ok, I haven't flip flopped that many times on the Giants, but it's getting pretty close. Every single time I want to write them off, they come up with a huge win and push their way back into the picture. Well guess what? I'm done writing them off. They will forever stay in this bracket until the end of the season.

15. Baltimore Ravens (9) – The Ravens suffered a crushing loss Monday night but they are still in the thick of things thanks to Oakland. The Ravens/Steelers game coming up soon will be huge and unfortunately for Baltimore, they won't be facing Dennis Dixon this time.


MATHEMATICALLY IN IT (BUT REALLY OUT OF IT)

15. Tennessee Titans (15) – It was a fun story while it lasted, but the Titans playoff hopes came crashing down on Sunday. Even if they finish 9-7, which would be amazing after starting 0-6, there is no way they are making the playoffs. I just don't see 9-7 being good enough. Denver will have one wildcard with a possible 10-6 record, and the other will probably belong to Pittsburgh after they run off four straight wins and also finish 10-6.

16. Atlanta Falcons (14) – This season for Atlanta can officially be labeled as a major disappointment. In their defense, without Matt Ryan, Michael Turner, and Roddy White, not much could be expected against the Eagles. If the Falcons have any hopes of making the playoffs again, they absolutely have to beat the Saints this week. I don't like their chances.

17. Miami Dolphins (19) – The Dolphins had themselves a nice little Sunday with their win against the Patriots. The tie-breaker scenario is going to be a mess if they finish with the same record as New England, which is a definite possibility. To put it simply, assuming both teams win this Sunday, the Dolphins and their fans will be rooting very hard for the Bills to pull an upset in Week 15.

18. Jacksonville Jaguars (17) – How many times can I write these rankings and mention the pathetic crowd in Jacksonville? If/when the Jags move to L.A., I better not hear one person complain about it. The Jags haven't sold out one game this season and it's not looking good for the next two. That really is a new level of embarrassing for the city of Jacksonville.

19. New York Jets (21) – Even when Mark Sanchez does something good, he still screws it up. Not sliding to get the first down against Buffalo was smart at the time because he kept the drive alive, but he also hurt himself in the process which could have a negative impact on the remainder of the Jets season. The Jets were going to beat the Bills anyways so not sliding for the first down really was a bonehead move. The fact that he was a top 10 pick in the NFL draft and still doesn't know how to properly slide is alarming, or at least it would be if I were a Jets fan.

20. Houston Texans (18) – The Texans were on life support before this Sunday but they are officially done now. Of course we'll still have to talk about them because they will win the next two games, pull their record to 7-7, get their fans all riled up, and then ultimately lose at least one of their remaining two games to seal another non-winning season. Fun times in Houston.

21. San Francisco 49ers (20) – Like I stated above, their season is on the line this Sunday. I see no possible way for them to even sniff the playoffs besides winning their division, which seems to be the norm in the NFC West, so they better bring their best this week. Even if they do win, it still isn't looking overly good for them.

22. Buffalo Bills (22) – It was another amazingly boring game for the Bills in Toronto as they fell to the Jets. I expect a win this Sunday in Kansas City which worries me. Anytime I expect the Bills to do something, they usually do the opposite. I did have a realization the other night during the game, which may or may not have been induced by alcohol, but after this season I've decided to be overly positive about the Bills. That's right; I'm going to turn into the biggest homer ever. You've been warned.

23. Carolina Panthers (23) – Although I was wrong on my pick of the Panthers, I don't feel totally wrong seeing that Matt Moore played about as well as I thought he would. I just didn't think Josh Freeman would do his best Jake Delhomme impersonation and throw five interceptions. It says a lot about your team when you beat one of the worst teams at home by 10 points and were handed five turnovers. In other words, the Panthers are still a pretty bad team. I understand the whole living in Carolina thing that would appeal to Bill Cowher, but honestly, what else could he see in the Panthers? He would be crazy to take that job.


BOTTOM OF THE BARREL

24. Chicago Bears (24) – Sometimes I really enjoy writing these rankings. For instance, I had no idea the Bears even played yesterday until I checked the box scores while writing this.

25. Seattle Seahawks (25) – This is just my opinion, but having Mike Holmgren come back in some sort of Bill Parcells type role with Seattle isn't going to fix their problems. I really can't imagine how anybody in Seattle would be excited for that.

26. Oakland Raiders (29) – I can't help but wonder what Oakland's record would be if they started Bruce Gradkowski all season. I know it wouldn't be a winning record, but it would have to be better than 4-8. It's almost funny to think that the Raiders have the same record as the Bills and started JaMarcus Russell for over half the season. Excuse me while I go throw up.

27. Washington Redskins (26) – The Redskins did precisely what bad teams do; snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. As a Bills fan, I've seen it happen so many times that I've lost count. I'd feel bad for fans in Washington, but honestly, I don't. Go a full decade without the playoffs and then talk to me.

28. Kansas City Chiefs (27) – How bad are the Chiefs? I'll find out for sure this Sunday.

NOTE: I don't mean this as any type of cop out, but I just don't know what to write about these four teams anymore. I've spent this past 12 weeks or so basically making fun of them, ripping on their poor QB play, and stating the obvious. I saw approximately 27 seconds combined from the games these four teams played yesterday. So on that note, I'm lumping them together and I'm done with them.

29. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (28)

30. St Louis Rams (30)

31. Detroit Lions (31)

32. Cleveland Browns (32)

NFL Picks: Week 13

New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills (Thurs-Toronto)

I'm torn. I think we're about to witness some kind of history, or at least a major milestone in Buffalo Bills history. Barring any kind of breakout game by Ryan Fitzpatrick, this will be the 50th consecutive game by a Buffalo Bills QB, where the total passing yards have been less than 300 yards for the entire game. I'm not sure if I should be proud of this, embarrassed by it, or simply amazed. 50 games!! To further hammer home this point, here is a list of the quarterbacks that have thrown for over 300 yards in one game in this season alone, along with the number of times they have done it in parentheses.

Peyton Manning (8)
Jay Cutler (3)
Drew Brees (6)
Kevin Kolb (2)
Tom Brady (6)
Eli Manning (2)
Matt Schaub (6)
Jake Delhomme (2)
Tony Romo (5)
Matt Hasselbeck (2)
Brett Favre (4)
Donovan McNabb (1)
Ben Roethlisberger (4)
Matthew Stafford (1)
Aaron Rodgers (4)
Brady Quinn (1)
Joe Flacco (3)
Vince Young (1)
Phillip Rivers (3)
Kyle Orton (1)
David Garrard (3)
Matt Ryan (1)
Kurt Warner (3)
Jason Campbell (1)


After taking the time to actually compile this list (yes, I'm bored), I found a couple of things interesting. One, there are some terrible names on this list. Kevin Kolb, Jake Delhomme, Brady Quinn, and Jason Campbell come to mind. That just tells me that it really isn't that hard to throw for over 300 yards, even if the QB and team are terrible. In fact, Kolb did it twice this season in his only two career starts. Either the Eagles are sitting on a real gem that nobody knows about, or Kolb is just a lucky guy. Two, besides Matt Schaub and the Texans, look at the top half of that list and tell me what they all have in common. That's right, most are playoff bound. It's no coincidence that the top two on the list are currently sporting 11-0 records. The Patriots, Cowboys, Vikings, Steelers, Packers, Chargers, Cardinals, and Ravens all have a pretty good shot at the playoffs, so apparently having a really good passing game is pretty important.

Sorry for the little tangent, but I just find this little fact amazing, simply amazing. So you can see my dilemma. Do I secretly wish we reach the 50 game milestone or do I pray that Fitzpatrick ends the 300 yard drought with a huge night against a hated rival?

I think if this game were being played in Buffalo, it would be a slam dunk to pick to the Bills. Unfortunately, it's not. It's in a comfortable dome up in Toronto. So basically the Bills have taken what could be a very important division game and nullified the biggest advantage by playing in a dome and saving the Sanchize from facing the elements and throwing at least four interceptions. Remind me again why these games in Toronto are a good idea. At the very least, make these games against NFC opponents. Stop playing division games away from Ralph Wilson Stadium for crying out loud!! I'm using multiple exclamation marks!!! Can't you see what you've done to me??

Philadelphia Eagles @ Atlanta Falcons

Whoa, wait a second. How is this game not being thrown in our face by ESPN and other media outlets? I didn't even realize it until I thought about the matchup for a few minutes. It's Michael Vick's return to Atlanta. That's huge, right? It has to be. I guess it is no Brett Favre return to Lambeau, but this is still a pretty big homecoming. Maybe the Falcons would even want to borrow him for the afternoon seeing that Matt Ryan is out and their slim playoff hopes are resting on the shoulders of Chris Redman. Not good times in Atlanta right now.

St Louis Rams @ Chicago Bears

The Bears are a pretty bad team and Jay Cutler is having a miserable first season in Chicago, but even they can handle the Rams. Two things are for sure with this game. One, it will be extremely ugly. Two, I will refuse to watch one second of the game, even the highlights.

Detroit Lions @ Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals should be able to stretch their division lead with an easy win against Detroit, or at least maintain that lead. After slipping up against Oakland, there was no way they were going to lose to Cleveland and there is even less of a chance they lose at home to Detroit. What else can I say about this game? Am I supposed to break down this terrible matchup? Am I supposed to tell you that Carson Palmer is much better than Matthew Stafford? Should I bring up how good the Bengals defense is? Let's just move on now.

Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts

It's the upset of the week folks. (One of these weeks I'm bound to get this right). The Titans are on a roll and desperately need this win to continue their epic chase for the playoffs after a 0-6 start. The Colts haven't exactly looked great the past few weeks, almost lost against Houston, and have already clinched their division. With New England losing last week, I'd guess they just about have home field advantage locked up as well. Really, what else are they playing for? Sure they would like to finish the season 16-0, but they've had multiple chances to do that in the past and it never really seemed to be a priority. Instead they usually rest their players so they are just rusty enough to lose in the first round of the playoffs.

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

Denver got back on the winning track and was rewarded with a long 10 day break before facing the woeful Chiefs in Arrowhead. This really should be an easy game but probably won't. Division matchups are almost always played closer than they should be and games involving Kyle Orton don't always go according to plan.

New Orleans Saints @ Washington Redskins

If this were any other team facing Washington in similar circumstances, I'd say this has letdown game written all over it. Flying high, undefeated, huge win on national TV, easy road game against a terrible team…yep, all signs point to a letdown game. But it won't happen. The Saints are way too talented and Drew Brees is way too focused to let it happen. In fact, Vegas couldn't make the spread high enough for this game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers

This must be my lucky day. I woke up this morning a little bit late and naturally forgot/didn't have time to post my picks. I figured, I'll just post them after work and it will be fine because it will still be hours before the first game of the week. Little did I know that later this morning I would read the news that Jake Delhomme won't be starting for the Panthers this week, Matt Moore will get the nod instead. Um…who? Oh right, the guy with these stellar career stats. 11 games played, 56.1 completion percentage, three touchdowns, six interceptions and a 63.5 rating. Granted the chance remains that removing Jake Delhomme from the starting lineup will actually be an improvement for Carolina, but I'm going with my gut on this one and my gut tells me that Matt Moore sucks. Let's just hope the rest of my pick league members don't read my articles.

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

The Texans will win this game and here is why.

1. It's a road game they probably shouldn't win, and those are the ones they always do.

2. They are pretty much out of the playoff race, so they will win this game to string along their fan base just a little bit more before ultimately letting them down…again.

3. They have lost three games in a row so they are due.

4. I can't stand Jacksonville.

Oakland Raiders @ Pittsburgh Steelers

It's still early in the week but I'm hearing that Ben Roethlisberger will probably play this Sunday. I guess he doesn't want to further upset his model teammate and resident tough guy, Hines Ward. Truth is, he could probably rest this week and next to make sure he is 100% healthy. I saw enough in Dennis Dixon to be fully convinced he could lead Pittsburgh to victory over both Oakland and Cleveland.

New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins

Normally I would pick Miami in this game because they are usually good for one win per season against New England, but not this week. The Patriots are coming up an embarrassing loss against New Orleans and will surely be looking for revenge. Plus, after watching Buffalo beat down Miami, I'm not sure I can ever pick the Dolphins to win again. The Patriots just have to focus on stopping Ricky Williams and Chad Henne will do the rest.

San Diego Chargers @ Cleveland Browns

If I'm a Browns fan, I'm only going to this game to tailgate and only if the weather is nice. Otherwise, I'm staying home and watching the blowout from the comfort of my living room in glorious HD.

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks

This is a tough game to pick. The 49ers aren't a terrible team; in fact, Seattle has looked much worse this season in the few games I've seen. But for some reason, I just don't trust Alex Smith on the road in a somewhat hostile environment like Seattle. I'm assuming the weather will be bad and Seattle's crowd really brings it, so I'm going with the Seahawks. Sometimes my picks really come down to something simple like that. Maybe that's why I've missed 72 games so far this season.

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants

Ugh, this was a much harder game to pick than you think. I know the Giants have been very bad lately but they are a desperate home team playing their hated rival, which usually brings out the best in a team. Combine that with the fact that Tony Romo is now playing December football and it's almost a sure Giants win. However, Eli Manning is banged up and kind of wishy-washy when playing in poor elements, so I just have to go with the better team.

Minnesota Vikings @ Arizona Cardinals

I was inclined to pick Arizona because they are at home and need this game much worse than Minnesota. Then I remembered that Minnesota blew Arizona out at home last year without Brett Favre. I was also reminded that Matt Leinart might be starting his second straight game. If Leinart starts, Arizona has no hope. If Warner starts, well, they still probably have no hope.

Baltimore Ravens @ Green Bay Packers

The Ravens are flying high after a huge win against Pittsburgh last week, but they will come crashing down to Earth this Monday night. The Packers have been rolling lately and Baltimore isn't exactly the greatest road team this season. I almost wish both teams could win for various reasons, but it isn't possible, so my gut says Green Bay will win.

Last Week: N/A

NFL Season: 117-72



Scott's Picks:



New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills (Thurs-Toronto)

Philadelphia Eagles @ Atlanta Falcons

St Louis Rams @ Chicago Bears

Detroit Lions @ Cincinnati Bengals

Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

New Orleans Saints @ Washington Redskins

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Oakland Raiders @ Pittsburgh Steelers

New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins

San Diego Chargers @ Cleveland Browns

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants

Minnesota Vikings @ Arizona Cardinals

Baltimore Ravens @ Green Bay Packers

Last Week: N/A

NFL Season: 119-70

NFL Power Rankings – Week 12

The power rankings are back after a one week hiatus. I want to apologize for that hiatus, but it really wasn't my fault. You see, I started writing the rankings last week and took a look at Brady Quinn's stat line from the Detroit game and immediately blacked out and fell face first on the keyboard. Luckily, I woke up just in time for the games this week, so let's get to it.

LEGIT SUPER BOWL CONTENDERS

1. New Orleans Saints (1) – Wow. What else can I say about the Saints? They took the biggest game of the season and simply blew New England out of the water. Take a quick peek at their remaining schedule and you'll see that they are a legit shot to finish 16-0. And with that, cue the Mercury Morris footage.

2. Indianapolis Colts (2) – Did anybody actually think Houston was going to beat Indianapolis? Even with the 20-7 lead at halftime, everybody had to know the Colts were going to come back. They are just too good and Matt Schaub is just too shaky to ever win an important game. The Colts are five games away from a perfect regular season but they still have some tough games remaining. Combine that with the fact that they already won the AFC South; I don't see 16-0 happening.

3. Minnesota Vikings (3) – The magic number for the Vikings and the NFC North crown sits at two. The next two games for Minnesota are clearly the hardest of the five remaining so they might have to hold off the celebration just a little bit (but they will win the division eventually).


POTENTIALLY FRISKY PLAYOFF TEAMS

4. Cincinnati Bengals (5) – The Bengals slipped up a bit against Oakland but slightly redeemed themselves against Cleveland on Sunday. They now have a full two game lead in the AFC North, actually 2.5 games if you factor in the division head-to-head tiebreaker, so they are sitting pretty right now. With a win this Sunday against Detroit they can officially clinch a winning season.

5. San Diego Chargers (8) – The Chargers have been on a roll lately and have already matched their win total from last season. Seeing how an 8-8 Chargers team upset the Colts last season in the Wildcard round, I wouldn't put it past the Chargers to really make some noise this year. I fear for whoever plays them in the opening round.

6. New England Patriots (4) – I really wanted to leave the Patriots at number four because quite simply, I still would have a very difficult time picking against them in the playoffs. Maybe it's me, but I just can never fully think that a Tom Brady team won't get it done when it truly counts. However, they had to drop for now because of their performance on Monday Night. I was willing to accept the loss to Indianapolis but they didn't even stand a chance in New Orleans.

For the time being, look at some of these results from last season:

- Pittsburgh (14) at Tennesse (31)

- Indianapolis (24) at Pittsburgh (20)

- Indianapolis (23) at San Diego (20)

- Arizona (7) at New England (47)

- Minnesota (35) at Arizona (14)

What is the point of this exercise? The point is to prove that regular season results don't always carry over to the playoffs. Indianapolis beat San Diego during the regular season but lost to the same exact team in the same exact stadium in the first round of the playoffs. Arizona got absolutely manhandled by one non-playoff team and one Tarvaris Jackson led team, yet still won the NFC Championship and came very close to winning the Super Bowl. My point is, don't be so quick to bury the Patriots just yet. I'll leave it at that.

7. Dallas Cowboys (9) – It's the dreaded month of December for the Cowboys and Tony Romo. The worst (or best) part is that the schedule isn't kind to them at all. The Giants aren't a good team at all, but never underestimate them in a division game at home. After that, Dallas has the Chargers and Saints in back-to-back weeks. If they win the division it will definitely be earned.

8. Denver Broncos (7) – Denver finally got back in the win column with a Thanksgiving blowout of the Giants. Three of their five remaining games are against the Chiefs and Raiders so a wildcard spot is looking pretty good for Josh McDaniel's bunch.

9. Baltimore Ravens (10) – Baltimore got a huge victory Sunday night against the hated Steelers, but they will need to play much better if they want to continue their push for the playoffs. They won't get to face a third string QB making his first career start every week.

10. Pittsburgh Steelers (6) – The Steelers suffered a big letdown Sunday night but it was to be expected with Dennis Dixon making his first career start. I will give credit where credit is due and Dixon played well for the most part in getting the game to overtime which is more than I thought would happen at kickoff. However, when the going gets tough, the young QB usually makes a costly mistake that gives away the game, which is exactly what Dixon did. Pittsburgh has two easy games coming up against Oakland and Cleveland so you can't count them out just yet. One thing I'll be interested in seeing is how they respond from Hines Ward calling out Ben Roethlisberger. I guess the one thing I don't understand is if Ward is going to do all this talking about how it was essentially a playoff game; shouldn't he contribute more than three receptions and 47 total yards?

11. Arizona Cardinals (11) – Not only did the Cardinals completely screw over my picks by losing at Tennessee, but Kurt Warner completely screwed over my fantasy team with his late game scratch. Luckily I was able to put in Matt Leinart so I didn't completely lose out. On a side note, if it wasn't for having Twitter on my phone and following ESPN's Adam Schefter, I wouldn't have known in time that Warner was inactive. Just another advantage of new social media.

12. Philadelphia Eagles (12) – Believe it or not, the Eagles still control their own destiny. They sit only one game back of Dallas and still face the Cowboys at home in Week 17. According to my math, if the Eagles won out and the Cowboys only loss came against Philadelphia in the final week, the Eagles would own the tie-breaker due to the division record (since a win would give them a head-to-head split).

13. Green Bay Packers (14) – The Packers are hanging on to the last wild card spot in the NFC but they are going to have some tough games coming up, including this Monday night when the face Baltimore. If they can go 4-1 down the stretch then the playoffs shouldn't be an issue. Maybe at that point they will get a rematch against Minnesota. I bet FOX is praying for that right now.

14. Atlanta Falcons (13) – Atlanta is on the outside looking in, but are still being considering in the discussion for the playoffs. Personally, I'm not so sure right now. They have been struggling quite a bit and Matt Ryan has already been ruled out for the game against Philadelphia, which is a pretty big game in terms of the playoffs. I'll leave them in this bracket for now, but if the Eagles hand them another loss they will be finished in my eyes.

15. Tennessee Titans (23) – The Titans are rolling right now and have vaulted up my rankings since the last time I wrote them. I have no problem putting a 5-6 team in the frisky group because that is exactly what Tennessee is right now. After this week's game against Indianapolis, they have the Rams, Dolphins, Chargers, and Seahawks. Assuming at by Week 16 that San Diego has their division wrapped up, I can easily see the Titans finishing 9-7 and snatching up a wild card berth. In fact, beating Indianapolis is definitely in the discussion this week.


MATHEMATICALLY IN IT (BUT REALLY OUT OF IT)

16. New York Giants (15) – True story. I was finishing up my second Thanksgiving meal of the day last Thursday as the clock hit 7:45. Those of us at the table began discussing the game between the Giants and Broncos that was coming up. I began stating that the Giants are traveling to the West Coast on a short week and will most likely lose. I then added that I picked the Giants so they will definitely lose. I then proceeded to change my pick to Denver as fast as possible on my phone. Sometimes things are just too easy.

17. Jacksonville Jaguars (17) – Sometimes I need to trust my instincts a little more. For instance, I was ready to write off Jacksonville about five weeks ago but kept being talked back into them as they won a game here and there. Well, that is no more. I'm done with Jacksonville. It's not happening this year.

18. Houston Texans (16) – Have the Texans ever won a big game? Ever? Every time they put together a little winning streak and start discussing the playoffs, they immediately fall flat on their face. When you're at home and up 20-7 on the division leader, you don't blow that lead. Well, unless you're a Houston Texan.

19. Miami Dolphins (18) – If the Dolphins want to blame anybody for losing in Buffalo on Sunday, they can blame the coaches. How else do explain the decision to let Ricky Williams throw the ball after he had run all over the Bills to get inside the five? Not to mention he was still running them over in the second half before they started letting Chad Henne throw the ball and wheels came flying off. It's a simple concept. The Bills pass defense is good, their run defense isn't. If you want to beat them, run the ball.

20. San Francisco 49ers (21) – The Niners had themselves a nice little Sunday with a victory against Jacksonville and an Arizona loss against Tennessee. They are still a full two games behind Arizona with one game remaining against them, so they will need a little help. Luckily they still have Seattle, Detroit, and St Louis on their remaining schedule.

21. New York Jets (20) – Did the Jets actually win on Sunday or did Jake Delhomme just gift wrap the game instead? Hard to say but I'm going with the latter choice. Mark Sanchez should be thanking his lucky stars that this Thursday's game against Buffalo is in the dome in Toronto and not in Ralph Wilson Stadium.

22. Buffalo Bills (25) – It was nice to see a Bills victory but I think people are getting way ahead of themselves. Perry Fewell shouldn't (and won't) be the permanent coach once this season is over. He sure has the Bills looking better than they were under Dick Jauron, but I think it's more a lack of Jauron than Fewell himself. No offense to Coach Fewell.

23. Carolina Panthers (19) – The Panthers will be lucky to finish the season with six victories. After this week's game against Tampa Bay, they have the Patriots, Vikings, Giants, and Saints to finish off the season. At what point does Jake Delhomme get benched?


BOTTOM OF THE BARREL

24. Chicago Bears (22) – Jay Cutler has been awful for the Bears this season. This has been his worst season so far as his 20 interceptions are a current career high for one season and his 74.4 QB rating is currently a career low. As a Bills fan wanting Mike Shannahan to be the coach, the Bears concern me. Lovie Smith has to be on his way out and if he is, the Bears would be very smart to pair Shannahan and Cutler up again.

25. Seattle Seahawks (24) – I know the Seahawks won on Sunday but I really have no idea if they looked good or it was just because they played the Rams. I guess my lack of interest has to do with the entire NFC West. What a horrible division.

26. Washington Redskins (26) – Firing Jim Zorn is a foregone conclusion for the Redskins so they will be in the discussion for one of the big name coaches. For me personally, I don't understand what would attract them to the team. They have an owner who throws his money around more foolishly than a drunken guy at a strip club, they definitely don't have a QB, so what is so great about coaching in Washington? Bigger market? More media scrutiny? Higher expectations? Crazy owner breathing down your back? Please, enlighten me.

27. Kansas City Chiefs (28) – I can see the Chiefs finishing with four victories at a minimum which means my prediction before the season of 6-10 is looking pretty good with a few upsets along the way. They still have two games against Denver which means at the very least they could play spoiler and ruin a rival's playoff chances.

28. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (27) – The Bucs are one of those ferociously bad teams but you can tell they are just a little dangerous. Like if I'm the Jets and play them in two weeks, I'm not 100% sold on it being an easy victory. It's kind of sad that it took this long for them to start Josh Freeman but I guess it's better late than never.

29. Oakland Raiders (29) – The Raiders still have games against Washington and Cleveland remaining on the schedule, but my gut is telling me that they have maxed out their win total for the season. I would be nervous that they will take a QB in the draft that I'd like to see in Buffalo, but that would be banking on Oakland doing the right/smart/logical thing come April.

30. St Louis Rams (30) – I don't think I've seen one second of live Rams football this season and that is probably for the best. I did see the opening game for the UFL so I imagine it was about the same.

31. Detroit Lions (31) – The Lions almost made their Thanksgiving day game exciting and a huge upset, but they forgot to play the remaining 58 minutes. Oops.

32. Cleveland Browns (32) – I really have nothing to say about Cleveland at this point of the season. Just look at the picture of the "Mangenius" to the right. That says it all.

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