Showing posts with label Fred Jackson. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fred Jackson. Show all posts

Bills vs Jaguars Review

The irony was off the charts last Thursday when the Bills announced that Sunday’s home game against Jacksonville was going to be blacked out locally because they had somewhere between 10 and 12 thousand unsold tickets.

Of all teams to play against and not sell out, it just had to happen against the poster children for the NFL blackout rule. As most Bills fans know by now; the NFL was doing us a favor by blacking it out.

The Good: Ryan Fitzpatrick, Fred Jackson and Steve Johnson.

Fitzpatrick finished the game 20/30, 220 yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions. No joke, I have a two QB fantasy team where I normally start Peyton Manning and Tom Brady. With Brady being on the bye, I actually picked Fitzpatrick up and he almost tripled Manning for the afternoon. Since taking over for awful Trent Edwards, Fitzpatrick has thrown for 595 yards, seven touchdowns and only two interceptions. The Bills really can’t ask much more out of Fitz. He has his moments, like when he horrendously botched two consecutive screen passes, but we also know what we’re getting from Fitz before heading into the game. To get the kind of production from him that we have, well, it’s been pretty amazing to be honest.

In his first full game as a starting RB this season, Jackson ran for 73 yards. So why is this good? Because he was only given the ball 12 times. 12 TIMES!! How is that even possible? Jackson averaged 6.1 yards per carry and looked downright dominant almost every time he touched the ball. So of course, let’s take it out of his hands. I’ve been giving Chan Gailey the benefit of the doubt for most of this season, but I’m starting to really doubt his play calling abilities.

Steve Johnson caught two more touchdown passes and now has four in the past three games. Not bad for a seventh round pick that has been rarely used before this season. Especially considering that the Bills drafted James Hardy in the second round of the same draft. Johnson has now accounted for 50% of the Bills receiving touchdowns so far this season. The Bills haven’t had a receiver catch 10 or more touchdowns since Eric Moulds did it in the 2002 season. So needless to say, Johnson is on quite a pace for the Bills right now.

The Bad: The defense. They are really bad right now. They can’t stop the run. They can’t stop the pass. They get no pressure on the QB. They don’t force any turnovers. They literally can’t do anything defensively. If I’m calling plays for the Bills; I’m going for it on fourth down every single time because the defense isn’t stopping the other team anyways. But hey, let’s extend Chris Kelsay for another four years.

Also bad, the story about how the Bills didn’t shop Marshawn Lynch around enough. And by bad, I mean for anybody that believes that story. There were teams like Green Bay and Philadelphia that were rumored to be interested in Lynch. So when they didn’t get him, of course they’re going to say that the Bills didn’t shop him around enough. It’s called the blame game and they’re shifting the blame off themselves and on to the Bills. It’s an excuse to get the fans of their back. I know people think Buddy Nix isn’t a smart man, but do you really think he’s dumb enough to just take the first offer and not shop around? No, he isn’t. He wouldn’t have lasted a day in this league if that were the case. Give it a rest you idiots.

The Ugly: Yes, it’s  the defense again. Since allowing 13 points to Miami on opening day, the Bills have since allowed 34, 38, 38 and 36 points in consecutive weeks. Even when the Bills offense can score points (and they have in two of the losses), they don’t even stand a chance because the Bills defense is just so friggin bad.

On average, they allow 182.4 yards per game on the ground. I can’t remember in my lifetime seeing a Bills team be so inept on defense. I’m being completely honest here. For everyone that plays fantasy football, you may want to consider adding whatever RB is facing the Bills that week (assuming they aren’t taken already). Here is a list of the RBs they’ll be facing in the upcoming weeks: Ray Rice/Willis McGahee, Jamaal Charles/Thomas Jones, Matt Forte, Jahvid Best, Cedric Benson, Rashard Mendenhall, Adrian Peterson, Peyton Hillis and the list goes on.

Seriously, Adrian Peterson is going to set the single game rushing mark against the Bills. I will bet anything on it. (Yes, I know he already has the record, he will break it again)

Getting Called Out

Sometimes when writing about sports you're wrong. I'm not talking about the type of wrong where you purposely write something because you believe in crazy things like jinxes or reverse jinxes. Because really, who would actually believe those things? I'm talking about just being flat out wrong in every way imaginable. It happens, its part of the gig, and I'm here to come clean.

I made a promise to myself recently that things are going to be different next decade. I'm even calling it "The Decade of Devin" and considering making a website for it. Seriously. I figure that everyone makes resolutions on December 31st and usually breaks those by January 10th, myself included. Well I wanted this year to be different. There is a huge list of things I want to change and I figured what better way to usher in those changes than to coincide them with the new decade.

(I'm aware that the 'end of the decade' could be 2010. I've really heard it both ways and I'm not sure which is right anymore. All I know is that when people talk about the 80's, they are talking about 1980-1989, so therefore I'm considering 2009 as the end of the decade. If you don't like it, tough.)

On my somewhat enormous list of changes, one is to hold myself more accountable. Hence the reason I'm calling myself out. Regular readers of the site may remember an article I wrote called Five Pre-Training Camp Predictions for the Buffalo Bills, where I posted my somewhat optimistic predictions for the current NFL season. They almost didn't make sense when you realize I also wrote about the Bills in my AFC East preview 45 days later and predicted a 5-11 record for the Bills. Of course this was after the preseason was played out and I saw what a steaming pile the Bills were going to be this year, but it was also a classic example of how I can't control my homer tendencies with my realistic tendencies. Remember, I'm the same person who once sat with my Dad at his birthday dinner in late October of 2008 and proclaimed Trent Edwards to be the real deal and said how nice it was that the Bills finally have a franchise QB, only to turn around one month later in a loss to San Francisco and scream so loud at Edwards on TV that I surely frightened members of my family that were in the room.

So as this year and decade come to a close, I want to come clean and hold myself accountable for things I've said. This is one of them. Here is a recap of my five predictions.


1. The Bills will eclipse 400 points scored for the entire season.

Where do I start with this? It seemed so easy on paper. Naturally I ignored the patchwork offensive line that was supposed to protect Trent Edwards. I also ignored the inadequacy of Trent Edwards as an NFL quarterback. When you go into the season fearing that Ryan Fitzpatrick might play any meaningful minutes, and then you're excited he is starting by late October, there is something seriously wrong.

As it stands with four games remaining in the season, the Bills have racked up an impressive 199 points scored. That is a mere 201 short of my prediction. Basically, they need to score 51 points per game in the next four games to just barely eclipse the 400 point barrier. I wouldn't rule it out against Kansas City after last year's game, but to be honest, they will be lucky to score 25 per game for the rest of the season.

In my defense, I wrote this prediction before they fired offensive coordinator Turk Schonert. Was he a good coordinator? Not so much. But it surely didn't help the offense that 10 days before opening night they had to adjust to a brand new coordinator. Then again, this one was doomed from the start.

2. Despite missing the first three games due to suspension, Marshawn Lynch will set a career mark for rushing yards.

Believe it or not, I'm listing these exactly like I had them in my original article and not ranking them on a level of how ridiculous they were.

I have to say, I really had faith in this one. Lynch had missed games in the past due to injury, so this was really no different on the surface. After seeing how well Fred Jackson ran in the first three weeks, I surely thought Lynch could pick up on that and run away with this one. Well so far in nine games; Lynch has a whopping 338 yards, or 37.5 per game. So much for Beast Mode, eh?

But I'm not worried. He only needs to average around 180 yards per game for the final four weeks to make me look like a smart guy. I suppose I could ignore the fact that Fred Jackson has rightfully reclaimed his spot as starting running back, so this definitely isn't even close to happening. Lynch will probably be lucky to average 18 yards per game to round out the season. On a more positive note, Jackson currently has 632 yards rushing this season, which puts the combination of the two players near 1000 yards with four more games to play. So I suppose if you could combine them into one running back, Marshawn Jackson, my prediction would be pretty spot on.

3. Aaron Schobel will finish with a double digit sack total for the first time since 2006 when he finished with 14.

Now this my friends, this is the crown jewel of my predictions. As I sit here today typing this, Schobel has seven sacks on the season, which is the most he's had since 2006. If you were to remove the words "double digit" from my prediction and just say "highest total since 2006", I'd be dead on with this one. Yes!!

Unfortunately, I did say double digit. Schobel will have to get at least three sacks in the next four games to make this come true. Luckily for the Bills, they have the Chiefs this weekend. Matt Cassel has been sacked 37 times in 11 games this season. My optimistic side says that Schobel could very well get all three sacks this Sunday. If he doesn't, they play the Falcons in two weeks who might be without Matt Ryan. Worst case, they have the Colts in the final week who may be resting Peyton Manning and throwing Joe Schmo in as starting QB.

This one has to happen, right?

4. The Bills will finish .500 or better within the AFC East this season.

There is hope for this one, albeit a slim amount of hope. The Bills are currently 2-3 in the division with one game remaining against New England. They met my expectations by splitting with the Dolphins, but fell short in splitting with the Jets. Of course, had they played the second game in Orchard Park, they surely would've won with another five interception game for The Sanchize.

The only issue with counting on a win against New England is that the Bills haven't defeated them since the opening of the 2003 season. So realistically, I don't see it happening. Although, the Patriots are starting to fall apart and this may be the perfect opportunity for the Bills to get a win against their somewhat hated rivals. Hell, the Browns just beat the Steelers so anything is possible.

I'm putting this one in the 'maybe' column with Aaron Schobel.

5. The Bills run defense will be in the top ten in the league.

Just kidding, that wasn't my fifth prediction. If it was, I'd be forced to turn in my fan card and start following the WNBA from now on. Alas…

5. The tight end position will once again become relevant for the Buffalo Bills.

I was really starting to believe this one on opening night when Shawn Nelson immediately contributed with a touchdown reception. Unfortunately, that was the highlight of his season. Nelson has battled through several injuries this season and has only amassed 11 receptions. To break that down, he needs roughly 7.25 receptions in the final four games to reach 40. The odds of this happening are right up there with me winning the Powerball this weekend.

On the positive side, the combination of Derek Fine, Derek Schouman, and Jonathan Stupar have contributed 20 receptions this season. This puts the entire set of tight ends just short of 40 with 31 receiptions. Much more attainable when you think about it that way. It also would have been a sure thing if Captain Checkdown has remained under center.

Oh well, you can't get everything right, much like my beloved Buffalo Bills.

Good thing we're both starting the next decade with a fresh start.



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