Showing posts with label NHL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NHL. Show all posts

2010 Buffalo Sabres Season Preview

Editor's Note: This article was actually written by Devin Dombrowski, I'm simply posting it on his behalf.


Last season was an exciting one for Buffalo fans as the Sabres ended their two year playoff hiatus by winning the Northeast Division and eventually winning the Stanley Cup flopping in the first round to the sixth seeded Boston Bruins. This was due in large part to Ryan Miller and the best season of his career. To many Buffalo fans, Miller has always been that "really good" goalie that had trouble crossing over into the great category. Not only did he affirm himself as a top three goaltender in the NHL, he almost helped lead Team USA to a stunning gold medal victory in the Olympics. The big question this season will be whether or not he builds on that success or slips a little now that greatness will be expected of him.

Key Additions: Rob Niedermayer (F), Jordan Leopold (D), Shaone Morrisonn (D)

Key Losses: Toni Lydman (D), Henrik Tallinder (D), Tim Kennedy (F), Adam Mair (F)

As usual, it wasn't an exciting offseason for Buffalo (unless you count the death of the slug). On the surface, it would appear that losing Lydman and Tallinder will hurt the blue line quite a bit. But as you'll remember, I've never been overly impressed with either player. Last offseason I was hoping they would both get traded and the Sabres would get something in return for them. Naturally this didn't happen, but the Sabres essentially traded in these two guys for Leopold and Morrisonn during the summer. Are they an upgrade? Well, let's take a look.

2008-09

GP

Goals

Assists

+/-

Blocked Shots

T. Lydman

80

3

20

0

166

H. Tallinder

66

1

11

-2

81

J. Leopold

83

7

17

-15

100

S. Morrisonn

72

3

10

+4

98







2009-10






T. Lydman

67

4

16

+2

98

H. Tallinder

82

4

16

+13

95

J. Leopold

81

11

15

-2

138

S. Morrisonn

68

1

11

+8

104


Use those numbers and draw whatever conclusion you would like. But I have two last things to consider when evaluating these players. Toni Lydman is 32 years old and Henrik Tallinder is 31. Jordan Leopold is 30 years old and Shaone Morrisonn is 27. Also, Tallinder and Lydman were signed by their new teams for a total of $6,675,000 against the cap. Leopold and Morrisonn will count for a combined $5,075,000 against the cap. Sounds to me like a pretty solid deal.

But enough with the defensemen, let's talk about the forwards.

The only notable addition via free agency is Rob Niedermayer. He won't light up the score sheet for sure, but he provides some good veteran depth and leadership. I don't think it's a coincidence at all that the Sabres matured last season when Mike Grier came back for his second stint with the team. I think the Niedermayer signing is a similar one in that aspect. It's also worth noting that Niedermayer is now the only player on the Sabres current roster with his name on the Stanley Cup. That has to count for something, right?

Leaving the team is Adam Mair and Tim Kennedy. Mair was on the outside looking in when last season started and struggled for the bulk of the season. To his credit though, when the playoffs started, Mair was very noticeable on the ice. Unfortunately for him, Cody McCormick was called up during the playoffs and seemed to play just as well. With that, McCormick looks like he'll be a permanent Sabre this season and Mair was sent packing. I have nothing against Adam Mair and wouldn't have minded it if he came back, but I do like this move. McCormick is younger, might have a little more scoring in him and will definitely drop the gloves when necessary. We've already seen that much so far in the preseason.

Kennedy was the hometown boy that impressed many last season. He definitely had his rough spots during the season and was horrid at taking faceoffs, but overall it would've been worthwhile to bring him back. Kennedy was a RFA and there was little doubt that he'd be back this season. The Sabres offered him a little over $800,000 and a two way contract to remain with the team. Kennedy balked at that offer, mostly the two way part, because he didn't want to be held accountable for his play. If he were to slip up like he did last season, the Sabres would now have the option to send him down to Portland. So Kennedy took the team to arbitration and was rewarded with a $1 million/1 year deal. Because the amount was under a certain limit, the Sabres had no choice but to accept the offer. So the Sabres promptly bought out his contract and sent him packing. Recently, Kennedy has been waived by the Rangers. This means he'll either be playing in the AHL or be unemployed. One has to think that maybe he should've just shut up and taken the Sabres initial offer.

One of the biggest reasons that Kennedy was expendable to the Sabres was the emergence of Tyler Ennis and possibly Nathan Gerbe. Gerbe has had plenty of opportunities to impress the Sabres during numerous call-ups and could never really accomplish much. I'm absolutely in that crowd as I was just about sick of hearing about Gerbe and his "potential". To his credit though, Gerbe got increased playing time during the playoffs and started to impress me. If he can bring that type of game every night, he surely deserves a roster spot.

Ennis got his call-up later than Gerbe or Kennedy, but blew both out of the water when his style of play. In 10 regular season games, Ennis contributed nine points. Similarly, in six playoff games, Ennis chipped in four points. Granted it's a small amount of games, but Ennis has shown the ability to be a near point per game player and I'm all for that. Last time the Sabres thought they had one on the roster they signed him to a 2 year/4.5 million dollar deal.

It's no secret that by the end of last season, I was about as down as you could be on the "core" of the Sabres. But this is where selective memory comes into play. I've all summer to calm down and relax about them. I'm taking a homeristic view into the season that they have another season under their belts and will be more experience and ready to contribute. Just as a disclaimer though, this goes for about the first 10 games of the season. If it becomes more of the same (I'm sure it will) from Pominville, Connolly and the gang; I'll be all for trading them and getting fresh faces in Buffalo. I can only take so much ineptitude and I get the bulk of that from the Bills already.

Looking at the Northeast Division, Boston is really the only team I see as a legit threat to take the title away from Buffalo. Ottawa is getting older and signing Sergei Gonchar didn't exactly address that particular issue. I'm still not enamored by their goaltending situation, though I never really have been. Montreal will be a solid team, but I'm pretty sure trading Halak and keeping Carey Price was the textbook definition of a wrong move. Price has already been booed mercilessly after allowing four goals in the preseason opener. I see that ending well. The Leafs will be improved with J.S. Giguere in net, but well, they're still the Leafs.

And because of the reasons listed above (barring some major injury), I fully expect the Sabres to make a trip to the playoffs again. Realistically I see them as a 4-6 seed, but winning the division is definitely in play.



Struggling


As you can see by the lack of content lately, the Sabres aren't the only ones struggling. I have to admit, I never thought I would suffer from this much writer's block when it came to writing about my two favorite teams. I partially blame the NFL offseason and I partially blame the Sabres for their lackluster effort lately.

However, the Bills actually decided to jump into the free agency mix yesterday. Both Andra Davis and Dwan Edwards made a visit to One Bills Drive and both came to an agreement with Buffalo yesterday. I'm rather excited for both signings because both players should play a significant role on defense. Plus it showed me that Buddy Nix wasn't sleeping in his office and actually has a plan in place to make the Bills better…I hope. For now, it's a start. We'll have more on the Bills as draft time comes closer, including our second annual mock draft.

Now, let's discuss the Sabres, who dropped yet another game against an inferior Atlanta team on the road. Let me just say this about the Thrashers, I hate them. I hate that my local OHL team draws more of a crowd. I hate their blue uniforms. I hate the entire idea of hockey in Atlanta. I hate the fact that they always give Buffalo fits at the worst possible times.

Knowing all of this in advance, you would think I expected a road loss, but no, I didn't. I expected a win, 2-0 to be exact. Of course this means Ryan Miller lets up three goals in the first six minutes and gets chased from the net. Patrick Lalime came in and played well, holding it at three goals until it was tied with six minutes remaining and then he promptly let up the game winning goal. But I'm not going to bash Lalime for this; he played well under less than ideal circumstances. I still don't like him as a backup and I'm still angry that I paid hundreds of dollars to watch him last Friday night against Minnesota, but I won't hang this game on him.

The entire Sabres team hasn't been playing well lately, minus Miller, who seems to be the only consistent one of the bunch. They regularly sleepwalk through at least half of the first period and often times find themselves trailing by multiple goals at the end of the first period. Then they decide to start playing, try to make a furious comeback, and often times come up just short (like last night, last Saturday night, last Friday night, etc…)

It is beyond frustrating. And yet somehow they still hold a three point lead over Ottawa in the Northeast with two games in hand. Amazing. I'd like to be happy about this but I'm not. Ottawa has fallen back down to Earth since the Olympic break losing their last three and going 3-6-1 in their last 10. If Buffalo were actually able to take advantage of this situation, they could have at least an eight point lead right now. Instead they have lost to three straight teams that might not even make the playoffs.

I was going to make a little chart to keep track of their magic number for the division, but I'm too irritated right now with the team. I often times find myself thinking that they don't even deserve to win the division playing like this. However, I haven't lost all hope. They have 14 games remaining in the regular season to figure it out or they will be facing an early exit for sure.

(Just for the record, Ottawa can finish with a maximum of 103 points if they go 12-0-0 in their remaining games, which would put Buffalo's magic number at 22 points.)

Just so this blog post isn't entirely all doom and gloom, according to SportsClubStats.com, the Sabres currently have a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs.

Here's to hoping that I lose my writer's block by Thursday and that the Sabres left their struggling ways in Atlanta.

Cheers.


 

Just What the Doctor Ordered


If you asked me before the trade deadline what the Sabres needed to acquire to improve their chances for a deep playoff run, here is how I would've answered the question.

Grit. Toughness. Scoring. Competent backup goaltender.

Ok, so the Sabres didn't get their competent backup goaltender. The only thing that means is that Lindy Ruff will either drill Ryan Miller into the ground so that he is completely worn out by the time the playoffs start, or the Sabres will toss away a handful of games by starting Patrick Lalime. Awesome.

But I didn't write this blog to complain about that. No, I want to actually applaud the Sabres for making the right move on the deadline.

Before the deadline I had written several times that the Sabres were in need of a serious shakeup. I still feel that way, but it wasn't realistic. This isn't a video game where the GM can pull off lopsided trades with the computer and make everything better. This is real life where good trades are sometimes hard to make.

The Sabres wanted to keep their basic core together but they obviously had to make a move to improve their grit, toughness, and scoring. Luckily for them, they did the job with one trade.

Of course, I'm talking about trading Clarke MacArthur to the Thrashers for a 3rd and 4th round pick. Ok, I'm kidding, but I did like this trade. The Sabres flipped an upcoming restricted free agent that had worn out his welcome in Buffalo for two draft picks. This helped make up for the loss of their second round draft pick, which went to Columbus along with Nathan Paetsch for Raffi Torres, a potential rental player.

Prior to the deadline, Torres was one of the names being talked about the most. At one point, there was word that at least 10 teams had made contact and inquired about Torres. While I don't know the validity of this statement, I had read that Columbus was asking for a first round pick in return. That is relatively high for a potential rental, but seems about right considering what rentals have cost before.

So knowing that information, I think the Sabres got a great deal in giving up a second round pick and Paetsch. Don't get me wrong, I have nothing against Nathan Paetsch and always liked him in Buffalo, but he needed to play and that playing time obviously wasn't coming to him in Buffalo. I'm sure he appreciates the opportunity to move on and hopefully get playing time in Columbus.

So as I said in the beginning, the Sabres needed to improve their grit, toughness, and scoring. Torres obviously fills the first two needs as he is known as one of the harder nose players in the league and should greatly improve those areas on a rather soft team. But surprisingly enough, he also greatly improves their scoring. Most of this can be attributed to the team's overall lack of scoring, but Torres comes to Buffalo and is now their leading goal scorer with 19. Yes, you read that correctly.

Right off the bat, I want to say that I hope he isn't a rental player and that something can be worked out in the offseason. Of course, I haven't seen Torres play very often since watching him in the OHL so I need to take in these final 20 regular season games and get a more solid evaluation of his play.

As it stands, he is skating with two of the softer players in Buffalo, Derek Roy and Jason Pominville. It's been over a full day since the trade has been announced and I'm still very upbeat about it. Time will tell whether or not that will last, but I'm excited to find out starting with tonight's game against Philadelphia.


 


 


 


 


At The Break


So we're finally here; the Olympic break. A two week rest from NHL hockey while we focus on the world's best playing in Vancouver for the 2010 Winter Games. The Sabres ended their longest losing streak of the season in good fashion last Saturday night against San Jose and head into the break on a positive note, so let's review the team 60 games into the season.


 

Where They Stand

The Sabres are currently second in the Northeast Division and fifth in the Eastern Conference with 75 points. They trail the Ottawa Senators by one point in the division and have three games in hand on them. They trail Pittsburgh by one point in the conference with two games in hand on them. Out of the four teams ahead of them in the conference, the Sabres have played the fewest games, which means they have the best opportunity to gain the most points once play resumes. This is a HUGE advantage.


 

If the Playoffs Started Today

This is highly unscientific and subject to change on a near nightly basis when the games are on, but here is what the playoff matchups would look like if the playoffs started today.

Washington/Montreal, New Jersey/Boston, Ottawa/Philadelphia, and Buffalo/Pittsburgh.

Missing from the playoffs: New York Rangers. Odd. I never would've guessed that.


 

Projecting the Playoffs

When projecting the playoffs, things look much different. On their current pace, the Sabres are projected to still win the Northeast Division and finish third in the Eastern Conference. These projections are very muddled at the bottom of the conference, but that is to be expected when there is a boat load of parity in the East. Here is what the projected matchups look like.

Washington/Tampa Bay or Atlanta, New Jersey/Boston, Buffalo/Philadelphia, and Pittsburgh/Ottawa.

Missing from these projections: New York Rangers. Shocking!

I like this scenario better. I would be very confident with a first round matchup against Philadelphia. Of course, much of this would depend on what the Flyers do at the trade deadline to shore up their goaltending. If they do nothing, it will be a very quick exit for Philly. Ironically enough, Philly could bring back Martin Biron for the stretch run after letting him walk last summer for Ray Emery. Biron has had very good success against the Sabres since leaving Buffalo so this would definitely make the series more difficult.

The other matchup I really like is Pittsburgh and Ottawa. Both of these teams frighten me for different reasons so a matchup where they both beat each other up and one of them definitely gets eliminated in the first round sounds great to me.

Ottawa has owned Buffalo as of late and it really seems like they are in their head. Of course, it was the same way back in 2005-06 until the Sabres defeated them 4-1 in the second round of the playoffs, so you never know. Regardless, avoiding Ottawa would be a good thing for the Sabres. Until Buffalo proves to me that they can actually beat them, my confidence in that matchup will remain at an all time low.

I also don't like the possible matchup against Pittsburgh, but that is for all personal reasons. I live in the heart of bandwagon Penguins/Steelers country and the last thing I want to deal with is Penguins fans crawling out of the woodwork for a playoff series against Buffalo. Minus the fans, the actual matchup doesn't scare me a great deal. The Sabres have taken three of a possible six points from the Penguins so far this season while the Penguins have grabbed four out of six points. Neither Ryan Miller nor Marc-Andre Fleury has played great in these games, besides the first matchup of the season where the Penguins won 2-1 in a shootout. Backup goaltender Patrick Lalime took the loss in that particular game. Miller let up three goals in the next game against Pittsburgh before being pulled and allowed five more goals in their next game.

As you can see, the Sabres haven't had great success against Pittsburgh this season, but they also haven't played their best game. This is why the matchup doesn't register an automatic loss with me. In my mind, Pittsburgh has yet to see the Sabres at the top of their game. Then again, have the Sabres seen the Penguins with their "A game" yet? The two teams return from the Olympic break to face each other for the fourth and final time of the regular season so maybe we will get a sneak preview.


 

Grading the Forwards

Before I get to anything else on the forwards, I need to correct a mistake from a previous blog that I wrote. In this blog, I wrote that every forward that played for Buffalo last season is on pace to score fewer points this season than last besides Patrick Kaleta. That is in fact false, as Jochen Hecht is also on pace to score more this season than he did last season. To be more specific, Hecht and Kaleta have already exceeded their point totals from last season and still have 22 more games to add on to that total.

Also at this point in the season, Clarke MacArthur is on pace to finish with the same amount of points as he did last season. MacArthur started off on a hot streak but tailed off right around mid-season. At the break he is currently on a two game point streak so there is some potential for MacArthur to join Hecht and Kaleta as players who improved from last season.

Speaking of Hecht, he is on pace to finish with approximately 39 points this season, which would be 12 better than last season. While that is a nice improvement, this only magnifies just how poorly he played last season. Add to that the fact that he currently makes around 3.5 million per season and is under contract for the next two seasons, and all of a sudden this doesn't sound that great. I'd be fully on board with dumping his salary at the trade deadline if the opportunity were there.

Patrick Kaleta has only played in 41 of 60 games this season as he has recently battled some minor injuries. The good news for Buffalo is that he should be back after the two week break and ready to go for the final 22 games. Anybody who watches the Sabres on a consistent basis will tell you, the Sabres are a much different and better team with Kaleta in the lineup.

The rest of the forwards are still on pace to finish with fewer points. The two closest to last year's production are Tim Connolly and Drew Stafford. Because Connolly only played in 48 games last season, he has already exceeded his point production from last season. The reason I still have him on the list is because he roughly averages .92 points per game compared to .98 last season. So far the contract that the Sabres gave Connolly at last year's trade deadline has been a good one.

The three biggest and most obvious names on this list are Derek Roy, Thomas Vanek, and Jason Pominville. The only positive spin I can put on this for Sabres fans is that they are all currently picking up their pace in the last few games. Specifically, in the last eight games before the break; Vanek had seven points, Roy had six, and Pominville also had six. Needless to say, if this continues, the Sabres will be in a good shape going forward. Still, I think the Sabres need to make a deal or two for some more scoring before returning to action against Pittsburgh.

The name on my list is Ray Whitney from Carolina. And yes, I'm perfectly ok with them giving him a two year extension along with the trade. Whitney makes almost an identical amount of money as Jochen Hecht and out performs his greatly. Since the lockout, Whitney has finished the regular season with 55, 83, 61, and 77 points. He has 48 so far this season.

In the same amount of time, Hecht has contributed 42, 56, 49, and 27 points. He has 29 so far this season.

So again, Darcy, please make the deal for Whitney. Give him his two year extension. Even at his age, he is well worth that amount of money. Please…I'm begging you.


 

Grading the Defense/Goaltending

It's no secret that any Sabres defenseman not named Tyler Myers has struggled for a good part of the season. While I advocated for the signing of Steve Montador in the summer and applauded the Sabres for actually signing him, Montador is doing his best to make me look like a fool. His latest slip up (literally) cost the Sabres the game in overtime against Carolina.

Captain Craig Rivet has also struggled a great deal this season and has even had me saying that he should be stripped of the C. While that might have been an overreaction, I'll stand by that statement. Hopefully the two week break gives these two guys a nice rest because they definitely need to be playing better if the Sabres want to do anything in the postseason.

The break also comes at a great time for Myers, because it has appeared lately like he is hitting the rookie wall. Myers has played in all 60 games for Buffalo this season and leads the team in average ice time with 23:33 per game. The next closest person is almost a full three minutes less, as Chris Butler averages 20:55 per game.

I've already documented the goaltending situation ad nauseam, so I'll spare everyone my rants about Miller, the Olympics, and the backup goaltender situation this time. Just let it be known, I will definitely have a say by the trade deadline whether the Sabres make a move or not.

So there you have it. This will most likely be the last piece on the Sabres for quite a while since nothing new will be happening. Our focus will turn more towards the Olympics and more specifically Team USA. Once the Olympic roster freeze expires, expect quite a bit about the action (or lack thereof) by the Sabres.


 


 


 


 


 


 


 

Sabres Thoughts from the Arena

Last night was the first of two games that the Sabres play in the RBC Center in Raleigh, North Carolina, which means it was also my first opportunity to see the team in person this season. Of course I always look forward to Buffalo coming to town, and for the second straight year, I was forced to wait until late into the season before it happened, but last night I wasn't quite as excited as I normally am. It only took 19:59.9 of game time for me to be reminded why that was.

It's very clear that the Sabres have been in a serious slump as of late, a quick glance at the standings can tell you that much. Last night's game ultimately epitomized why the slump is happening though. Buffalo came out and showed a much better effort in the first 15 minutes than they have displayed in most any game as of late, but it didn't last much beyond that. After generally outskating the Hurricanes and moving the puck well in the early going, Buffalo had a 2-0 lead to show for it after Jochen Hecht scored at 14:01 in the 1st period. I was quite pleased as the team seemed determined to bust their slump before they hit the Olympic Break this weekend. Even after Carolina scored a power play goal a little over 2 minutes later, I was still alright. Then they took a third straight penalty with under 13 seconds left in the period as Toni Lydman was called for high sticking. As soon as the penalty was called, that feeling came creeping into my stomach. I said to myself, 13 seconds left in a period where we were up 2-0 and now we're shorthanded... If they give up a goal before the period ends, it's going to be disastrous. As I said that, I fully expected it to happen too. Sure enough, Ray Whitney snuck one in the back of the net with .1 second left on the clock.

It took the wind right out of the sails of all the Sabres fans who were sitting near me, and clearly it did the same to the team for the majority of what was left in the game. The effort in the 2nd period and the first half of the 3rd was nothing short of pathetic as the Hurricanes, who despite playing much better as of late remain one of the worst teams in the East, skated circles around Buffalo and actually showed some heart and determination in the process. Two things the majority of the Sabres roster wouldn't understand at all lately. The only defenseman that even looked competent for Buffalo all night long were Henrik Tallinder and Tyler Myers. In fact, Myers at several points looked like he was specifically trying to take charge of things on the ice and make something happen. It's incredibly sad when a 20 year old kid is trying harder than anybody else to be a leader on the team. Lydman made several mistakes throughout the course of the game including several key turnovers. He wasn't even the worst offender in my view though. The two veterans of the group, the guys that were supposed to bring the grit and toughness to the team, Craig Rivet and Steve Montador, were flat out terrible all night long. Rivet is the captain of the team, but you'd be puzzled trying to figure out why by watching him on the ice. He gives little effort and seems lost half the time anymore. Montador is basically a mirror image at this point, except he directly gave away the game in overtime.

Derek Roy managed to tie up the game mid way through the 3rd after the Sabres finally seemed to have a little spark and started putting in some effort. They forced the game to overtime and secured the team at least a point, which I'm somehow happy about simply because of how awful they actually were. In overtime though, Montador managed to skate behind his own net with the puck and promptly tripped over his own feet and gave it away. A quick pass and shot later, and Sergei Samsonov had scored the game winner. Again, I'm actually happy that we got a point out of this game, because quite honestly it wasn't at all deserved.

It's not just the defense that is the problem though. Despite what had been a very good record and a spot near the top of the East for most of the season, the offense has been lacking on this team all year. It's not a secret, it was just something the team was able to overcome through solid defending and stellar goaltending from Ryan Miller. With the defense faltering and Miller having too much asked of him though, the lack of scoring becomes a much more glaring issue. The guy that needs to be picked on in particular is Thomas Vanek. Vanek is making a great deal of money to be the team's top offensive player and his numbers don't match the paycheck at this point. Understandably, he can't do it alone, but last night's game is a classic example of him becoming completely invisible at times. In fact, the only combination that impressed me much at all last night was the line of Grier, Gaustad, and Ellis in the 3rd period. Every time they came on to the ice you could see the intensity pick up and momentum move towards the Sabres end of the ice. They are the only line that hit anybody at all throughout the game.

I'll give Derek Roy's line some credit as well, as they did produce 2 goals, but they were amongst those that vanished in the 2nd period. Overall, the team should be embarrassed by what they're doing on the ice right now though. The passing was sloppy almost all night long and the hitting was just non-existent. Faceoffs are another huge area of concern as Buffalo won just 21 of 60 on the night. Granted Rob Brind'Amour is one of the best in the league on the draw and went 10/11, but every single player for the Sabres that took a faceoff was under 50% on the night, including a stellar performance from Tim Kennedy who went 1 for 10. Sloppy play galore was the theme of the night and was probably never more obvious than when the Sabres got caught making a line change and gave up a 3 on 0 break. Luckily, Miller was able to shut it down, but he should have never been put in that position at all. In fact, Miller seems to have finally been pushed to the edge and his post game statements reflect as much.



It's great that Miller is saying these things, only because it's the first sign of anybody in the organization admitting publicly that there is a definite problem. All reports I've seen indicate that the front office is content with their roster and thinks they have everything they need already to be a contender. Going so far as to say that unless a perfect deal comes along, they expect to stand pat and not make any moves. This seems to be the theme every year near the deadline and it's yet to pay off. The only thing the Sabres have done in recent memory is some very minor deals to pick up a player that doesn't end up contributing much along the way. At the very least, a legit backup goalie needs to be brought in. Miller has played in 50 of 58 games so far this year and is about to take on the task of being the starting keeper for Team USA in the Olympics. He's going to need rest down the stretch if he is going to be playing in top form come playoff time. Quite honestly, the only way this team goes anywhere once the playoffs start is if Miller is playing out of his mind, and that's not going to happen if he's dead tired. It wouldn't hurt to bring in somebody that can actually put the puck in the net as well, because that is yet another glaring issue.

Sabres GM Darcy Regier has a reputation of falling in love with his own players far too often and it's hindering the Sabres yet again this season. He thinks the talent is already here to get the job done, and it seems to create a sense of complacency amongst the roster. That's the only excuse I can think of for watching the team fall into another late season slump and showing such little effort after looking so good early on. If nothing else, this team could simply use a shake up to change the chemistry and prove that nobody is untouchable. Other than Miller, Tyler Myers, and maybe Tim Connolly, everybody should be considered tradable on this team. I know it's not always as easy as just saying that, because contracts and what not have to allow for deals to make sense, but theoretically speaking, everybody else should be on notice.

Ultimately, this team needs some sort of change, whether it's a trade or some magical spark igniting during the long layoff for the Olympics, it doesn't matter how it happens to me. It's pretty obvious though that if they continue to play like they have been for the past few weeks, they are going nowhere and fast. This team displayed for better than half the season that they are capable of being a top tier team and making some serious noise in the playoffs, and they better find a way to get back to that point quickly, because as of right now teams such as Washington, Pittsburgh, and Ottawa have no reason to fear us.

2/11/10: Three Stars/Something to Ponder


Before I get to the three stars from tonight's game in Carolina, I wanted to dive back into the trade talk a little bit more. The NHL roster freeze hits all teams tomorrow afternoon at 3PM, so there is a good chance we'll be seeing quite a few deals get done in the next 16 or 17 hours. Teams don't have to feel rushed though, as the regular NHL trade deadline isn't until Wednesday March 3rd. It is my understanding that teams can still talk and discuss trades, but nothing can be announced during the Olympics, so we might be gearing up tomorrow for trades that won't be announced for a couple of weeks.

In my last Sabres article, I was pretty adamant that the Sabres needed to swing a trade with the Islanders for Martin Biron. Don't get me wrong, I haven't backed off of that stance one bit. But instead of harping on that topic even more, I want to explore other goaltender options. More specifically, Marty Turco.

Earlier this week the Stars acquired Kari Lehtonen from the Thrashers. Lehtonen's contract will expire at the end of the season, but one would have to assume that he wasn't brought into Dallas simply to give the Thrashers any cap relief. Lehtonen is only 26 years old and has shown (when healthy) that he can be a number one goalie in the NHL. He has been injured for the better part of this season, but is healthy now and was subsequently traded by Atlanta.

To me, this spells the end of Marty Turco's tenure in Dallas. He is in the final year of a 5.7 million dollar contract and Dallas most likely has zero interest in bringing him back at that price tag. Even before the Lehtonen trade, Turco's name was thrown out in multiple trade rumors. Normally I wouldn't even give this a second thought in terms of Buffalo, but it may be worth thinking about. According to CapGeek.com, Turco is owed right around 1.7 million for the rest of this season. It is no doubt a hefty price to pay with Buffalo only having 22 games remaining before the playoffs, but it could be worth it. Ryan Miller has already played in 51 of 59 games this season and he will no doubt need to rest a bit before the playoffs.

So what if the Sabres entertained the idea of bringing in Turco, strictly as a rental, to play 10-12 of those 22 games leading up to the playoffs. Would you do it? Would you feel comfortable in letting him play that many crucial games and allowing Miller to properly rest before the second season starts? Would you feel more comfortable with Biron filling that role? Or is the best course of action to allow Miller to wear himself out as Lalime plays poorly in a handful of those games? It's an interesting thought to say the least.

PlayerApprox. Remaining SalaryGPWLOTGAASave %
Patrick Lalime310,881103323.21.896
Martin Biron435,2331831123.20.899
Marty Turco1,772,02141171592.73.911

 

There are a few other factors in this decision. Buffalo would have the cap room to make the deal, but it would definitely make things tight if they were looking at any other deals. Of course, that would all depend on what they give up in a deal like this. Dallas is currently on the outside of the Western Conference playoff picture, but they are far from out of it and might not want to throw the towel in just yet in order to make a run. Also, Turco would have to waive his no-trade clause for anything like this. I'm not saying there is any substance to Turco being traded at all, let alone to Buffalo, just something for us to think about as we hit the first of two trade deadlines tomorrow afternoon at 3PM.

Now, on to the three stars from tonight's game.

Tonight's game started out like the perfect slump buster as the Sabres stormed out to a 2-0 lead in Raleigh. Apparently they weren't informed of playing all three periods because that lead quickly dissipated. Carolina was able to tie the game right before the first period ended and Stephane Yelle gave the Hurricanes the lead in the second period. The Sabres tied in late in the third but failed to get two points again and are now looking up at Ottawa in the Northeast Division.


 

3. Ray Whitney (Carolina) – Ray Whitney had quite a few chances in the first period and finally cashed in on the power play with 0.1 seconds remaining in the period to tie the game at two. Whitney is most likely playing in one of his last games in Carolina, so scoring will only help up his stock a little bit as we inch closer to both deadlines. Buffalo has been a team mentioned in the trade rumors so hopefully Darcy Regier was watching this game with a keen eye.

2. Derek Roy (Buffalo) – I was impressed with the entire MacArthur/Roy/Stafford line in the first period and even more impressed with the play of Roy. He chipped in two goals tonight including the crucial game-tying third goal with less than 10 minutes remaining in the third period. Just in case anybody was wondering, Roy has now scored three goals in the last two games since I last wrote a Sabres article and ripped him. I need to start using these jinxes to my advantage. And also if you're wondering, I'm still all for trading him.

1. Brandon Sutter (Carolina) – The soon to be birthday boy chipped in a goal and two assists including the first of the game for Carolina on the power play. His last assist was the biggest as he took the puck from Steve Montador and found Sergei Samsonov for the game winner.


 

Falling Asleep at the Wheel


It's true. It seems the Sabres are starting to fall asleep at the wheel. A team that was once in clear control of the Northeast Division is now clinging to a one point lead over Ottawa with just three games remaining before the Olympic break. So how did this happen? Well, there is a good chance I jinxed the team by writing one of my biggest homer articles ever, however, I refuse to take full blame for this. You see, I wrote that article on January 23rd, which was just after two straight losses and just before two more losses. So it's not all my fault.

Teams go through slumps; I understand this fact, so I don't want people to think I'm just overreacting. But there is a definite cause for concern in Western New York right now, or at least there should be. In their most recent stretch, the Sabres have lost eight out of 10 games. Combine that with the recent hot stretch by Ottawa and you can see how the division lead has dwindled down to nothing. They have lost games to the Kings, Sharks, Canucks, Penguins, Senators, Hurricanes, and Blue Jackets. The last two being the most disturbing seeing that they are two of the worst teams in the league. To put things lightly, this two week break is coming at the absolute perfect time for Buffalo.

But even before that, the Penguins and Senators were also huge losses. For one, they might play one of those two teams at some point in the playoffs. And two, they were clearly in both games before suffering massive meltdowns. They actually held a 3-1 lead over Pittsburgh before laying down in the fetal position and watching Sidney Crosby take the game over. Very few things have been more painful for me this season than to watch the second half of that game. Against Ottawa, they were tied 2-2 with less than a minute remaining in regulation before Daniel Alfredsson scored the game winner on a wide open net. In both of these games, the exact opposite happened of what I wrote about.

So what is going on with the Sabres? Is it just a late season slump or is it something more? Personally, I think it's a combination of the two.

Contributing to the slump is goaltender Ryan Miller. It's no secret that Buffalo will only be as good as Miller is and lately, he has struggled. To be fair, when you barely ever get a night off, you're bound to wear down as the season goes on. In the month of January, Miller played in 13 of 14 games. Backup goaltender Patrick Lalime started two of those games, but Anaheim chased him out so fast that Miller had to play on his night off. But don't worry; Miller should get some rest during the Olympic break. Oh wait, he is playing every game for Team USA too. This would be best addressed if the Sabres acquired another backup goaltender either before the Olympic freeze or before the trade deadline. They need a guy who can spot Miller every five or six starts and make sure he is fresh for the playoffs. Lalime doesn't appear to be that guy, despite what I thought earlier this season.

Not to be left out, the Sabres forwards have also contributed to the slump in a major way. While I marveled at the Sabres in my homer article referenced above for having balanced scoring, I also mentioned that not one forward has 20 or more goals. To say the least, I was clearly ignoring an alarming stat in order to make the forwards still look good. So far this season, the Sabres have scored an average of 2.72 goals per game which is good for 12th best in the league so far. While that doesn't sound terrible, take note that this would be the lowest scoring Sabres team since year before the lockout. If it wasn't for the stellar play of Ryan Miller this season, the Sabres wouldn't even be where they are right now.

I've crunched a few numbers for the forwards so far and the results have been alarming. So far this season, every single forward that played for Buffalo last season is on pace to score fewer points this season than last season, except Patrick Kaleta. Kaleta has already exceeded his nine points last season with 11 this season in 10 less games. He has been the lone improvement.

Adding to that, the Sabres have shown themselves to be softer than a bulk pack of Charmin lately. As recently as last week against Ottawa, Ryan Miller got completely plowed over behind the crease and the only player to even show a hint of anger was Tyler Myers, and it was a lame attempt at that. But I won't fault the rookie; there are other players on Buffalo who should know better. I can guarantee that the same thing would not happen if someone plowed into Brodeur, Luongo, or any other top tier goalie. This only seems to happen with the Sabres, or so I've noticed.

If it wasn't for the last game in Columbus, I would tend to think that the Sabres are incapable of even fighting anymore. Steve Montador and Drew Stafford did their best to remind me that there is still a hint of toughness on the team, with Stafford clearing leading the charge in that department. It's just a shame that his fight didn't happen before the Sabres were down 4-0 to the Jackets.

And now it's time for a quick rant.

On the topic of toughness, where has Craig Rivet been this season? The guy came into Buffalo last year and was given the C and definitely earned it last season, but he has been sleepwalking this season. If it wasn't for seeing replays of the other teams scoring, I wouldn't even be so sure that Rivet is on the ice half the time. If he doesn't want the C anymore, that is perfectly fine with me, but at least say something. If I were running the team, someone like Paul Gaustad would be given the C in a heartbeat. That guy is one of the few players on this team that seems to give a damn on every single shift. While we're at it, Roy and Hecht could stand to lose the A as well. There are players like Mike Grier who are better suited for that role.

Ok, that is my rant, and now back to the topic at hand.

I mentioned this during my Columbus/Buffalo running diary, a player like R.J. Umberger would be perfect for Buffalo. It was a snap judgment statement (that happens often during a running diary), but I said I would gladly trade Derek Roy for Umberger if the offer was on the table. I actually thought I was crazy the next morning (from a Buffalo perspective) until I attempted the trade in NHL 10 and Columbus turned it down. Yikes. There goes that thought.

This is the biggest problem with Buffalo though. The front office has the idea in place to keep the core group together and make multiple runs at the Stanley Cup. I like the theory, but what if this group needs tweaked here and there in order to improve their chances at the run? I mean, New Jersey just went out and grabbed Ilya Kovalchuk to increase their odds. I'm not saying the Sabres should've definitely gone after Kovalchuk, but it would be nice to know that they are least attempting to improve their odds. Right now I'm not so sure.

Don't get me wrong; I love the current team. Like I've stated numerous times, I'm a huge Sabres homer. I've defended them up and down since I've been a fan, even when they have made it incredibly difficult to do so. I really like Pominville, Vanek, Roy, Stafford, Hecht, etc… but something has got to give. The Sabres have too many players that they consider untouchable. They have to be willing to cut the cord with some of them in order to improve the team. I wish I knew who was widely available for trade so I could put together a few scenarios, but unfortunately the only source I know for hockey rumors is as reliable as an old rickety wooden bridge over the Grand Canyon.

I do know that Martin Biron will be available for trade and in fact, will be traded. Islanders GM Garth Snow has said as much since Rick DiPietro returned to the lineup. Now I'm well aware that Biron's numbers haven't been great this season, but he is still a good and serviceable goalie. And on top of that, he is familiar with the Sabres and their system. In fact, Biron has been pretty bad in Long Island, going 2-11-2 in 17 games played. Still, I'm all for this trade. I'm sure Patrick Lalime is a good guy so this isn't personal, but I have next to no confidence in him as the Sabres goaltender.

Biron stated during this season that Buffalo actually contacted him prior to signing in New York but he turned it down because he still wanted to start 40-50 games per season. Needless to say, that hasn't happened at all for him. Both his and Lalime's contract is up at the end of the year, so Biron could be a serviceable backup and a deal could surely be made. If he doesn't want to stay in Buffalo and wants a chance to play, fine by me, he deserves that opportunity. But if he wants to stay, I don't see why the Sabres wouldn't allow him to play up to 30 games per season and make sure Miller is always well rested. Lindy Ruff has been quick to lose confidence in backup goaltenders, primarily Jocelyn Thibault and Lalime, but he never seemed to have that problem with Biron. To me, it's the perfect situation. Biron is giving up a few games, but he is sacrificing that for winning. Seeing how his gamble worked out this year, I like my choice better.

Now that my love-fest for Biron is over, back to the forwards. The only rumor I've read that makes any sense is a deal with Carolina for Ray Whitney. On the surface it doesn't sound bad, but there are a lot of strings attached. For instance, Whitney is 37 years old. His scoring so far this season is on par with Pominville and Roy. He has a no-trade clause. It has been rumored that in order to agree to a trade, Whitney would want a three year deal with whatever team is receiving his services. I've been told by people more familiar with him that he is also a fairly soft player. Like I said, quite a few strings attached to this one.

That being said, the Sabres absolutely have to make a deal or two before the actual trade deadline. If anything, they need a little shakeup in order to show the current group of players that they aren't untouchable. It would be ideal if any trade wasn't for Dominic Moore or Steve Bernier either. Of course, that is what they will do. And unless something dramatic happens, that will be good for a second round exit in the playoffs. Buffalo can handle teams like Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Montreal, Boston, or whoever else squeaks into the playoffs in the first round. I'm not so sure they can handle the other teams in the East over the course of a seven game season.

Then again, check with me after the Olympic break and after the trade deadline. There is a good chance my mood might have changed again. It's known to happen from time to time.

Buffalo Sabres: Running Diary I


What better way to break in my new laptop than to churn out my first running diary for D and S Sports. One thing is for sure, this laptop is going to turn me into a giant couch potato. So far today I've watched bits and pieces of the Boston/Vancouver, Pittsburgh/Montreal, and Detroit/Los Angeles games. Not bad for day one.

So tonight we get the pleasure of seeing the Sabres take on the Blue Jackets, a team they aren't very familiar with. They last time they met, it was last season when the Blue Jackets crushed the Sabres 6-1. Patrick Lalime allowed all six goals before being pulled in the third period for Ryan Miller. It kind of sounds like Lalime's last game in Anaheim, except he didn't even make it through the first period of that game. In other news, Patrick Lalime is starting tonight. I might be overreacting, but tonight is going to be a telling game for me in terms of Lalime. The Sabres need exceptional play from their backup goaltender with Ryan Miller heading to Vancouver next week. I had lost just about all confidence in Lalime last season, and then gained it back earlier this season before having it sucked back out of me in Anaheim. If he plays poorly tonight, it's time to pick up another backup and say good day to the Lalime era.

6:58 PM – Greetings all! We're just about to get started as I'm waiting for Center Ice to kick in the broadcast. Of course it isn't in HD, why would Time Warner want us to see that?

7:01 PM – Two other games of interest tonight; Senators/Leafs and Rangers/Devils. If the Sabres lose in regulation and the Sens win, say goodbye to the division lead for the Sabres. If the Rangers beat the Devils, say goodbye to my current streak in Streak for the Cash on ESPN.

7:04 PM – The announcers on Fox Sports Ohio just said it was a packed house tonight in Columbus. Really? They sell out games in Columbus. I need to research this further.

7:05 PM – According to ESPN's NHL Attendance Page, Columbus is 22nd in the league in attendance and on average fills 83.1% of their arena. Hmmm…something is up. I think the announcers might be exaggerating a little.

7:07 PM – Tonight's goaltenders are Patrick Lalime and Steve Mason. Last time I saw Mason, he was a high draft pick on my keeper team before I quickly gave up on him.

7:08 PM – The announcers claim the game is a sell-out again. They quickly follow that up by saying there are "a lot of Buffalo fans made the trip". It all makes sense now.

7:10 PM – Two minutes into the game and we've already seen the Jackets' first odd-man rush. Puck goes right through Lalime's legs but somehow misses the net completely. Good stuff.

7:14 PM – FSN Ohio announcers think Lalime looks shaky in the first few minutes. Actually guys, he looks like this all the time.

7:18 PM – I just realized that I have yet to mention the firing of Ken Hitchcock just a few days ago by Columbus. I was very saddened to see one of my favorite coaches get canned. /sarcasm off

7:20 PM – Roughly 8 and ½ minutes into the game and we have the first penalty against Columbus. This would be relevant news if the Sabres had a semi-competent power play.

7:26 PM – Buffalo managed one shot on the power play. Needless to say, they didn't score. In more positive news, Phil Kessel has scored and the Leafs are up 1-0 on Ottawa.

7:31 PM – Wow. I just witnessed a solid two or three minutes of straight end-to-end hockey. Good exciting stuff. Buffalo is headed to their second power play. I wonder if the Sabres can start declining these.

7:37 PM – Well, the Sabres are now two for two in brutal power plays. Seriously, just decline them. They are painful to watch.

7:41 PM – End of a frantic first period and no score. So far the Gaustad/Grier line has looked the best, which should be no surprise at all. Still 1-0 in Toronto and 0-0 in New York.

7:44 PM – During the intermission, I was going to make a list of players who I wouldn't hate to see traded before the deadline, but then I realized it would be easier to make a list of people that shouldn't be traded at all. Ryan Miller, Tyler Myers, and Tim Connolly. Everybody else should be fair game. Now I'm not saying that I hate Pominville, Vanek, Roy, etc… it's just that they shouldn't be untouchable if the right deal comes along. Of course, this would all depend on the Sabres actually making a trade before the deadline. As of right now, they seem content with what they have, and I'm not totally sure that's good enough. Meanwhile teams like New Jersey go out and acquire Ilya Kovalchuck. I love being a Buffalo sports fan.

7:47 PM – 2-0 Toronto. For once the Leafs are really helping out. Of course, they were up 3-1 last night with just about four minutes remaining against New Jersey before suffering an epic collapse. My fantasy acquisition of J.S. Giguere might prove to be very worthwhile.

7:56 PM – 3-0 Toronto at the end of the first period. It's not looking good for Ottawa's winning streak. I briefly touched on this before the season, but the Leafs aren't going to be walked on for much longer. Brian Burke is going to build a winner in Toronto sooner than later

8:00 PM – Paul Gaustad takes the Sabres first penalty for going after a Columbus player after his "questionable" hit on Henrik Tallinder from behind. Great penalty to take. It's nice to see someone on Buffalo stand up for his teammates. Gaustad should be the captain of this team.

8:03 PM – Patrick Lalime puts the puck in his own net and the Sabres are down 1-0. Not a good way to get your 200th win Patrick.

8:04 PM – Steve Montador drops the gloves for the first Sabres fight in a loooooong time. Pretty uninspiring fight. Maybe Montador is mad about being a healthy scratch the last few games.

8:12 PM – Is R.J. Umberger available? He has 40 points in 59 games and only makes 3.75 million per year through 2011-12. Who does Columbus want for him? Roy? Hecht? Let's make a deal.

8:16 PM – I LOVE the fans who keep banging the glass behind Lalime. Hey people, we get it, you have good seats. KNOCK IT OFF. What is this, amateur hour in Columbus?

8:21 PM – Double minor on Craig Rivet for high sticking. It's a good thing he took this penalty because I wasn't even sure if he was playing tonight.

8:24 PM – I have been making fake trade proposals in my head since mentioning Umberger and I'm fairly certain that I pull the trigger on that trade if I'm Darcy Regier. Maybe I'm just a little salty over the latest woes for the Sabres, but I definitely think I would trade Roy for Umberger. Roy has scored more throughout his career, but it's not nearly consistent enough. And while Umberger might not score as much, I think he brings a better work ethic and some more toughness. I'd take it.

8:27 PM – WOW. Those fans will not stop banging on the glass. Can't FSN do something about that?

8:27 PM – Just as the Sabres get ready to fully kill off the four minute power play, Lydman takes a holding penalty. Nope, being a Sabres fan isn't insanely frustrating at times.

8:30 PM – 2-0 Columbus. Well done guys. Nash scores from…wait for it…R.J. Umberger.

8:31 PM – Apparently the Rangers are up 3-0 over the Devils. While that is good for the Sabres, it's not so good for my streak. Oh well, I've still yet to get over six straight. Maybe New Jersey should hold off on planning the parade?

8:41 PM – End of two and it's still 2-0 Columbus. I'm about 20 minutes away from going on and on about how the Sabres should trade for Martin Biron. I know the Sabres already want him and he only went to New York because he wanted to play more games. Well, with DiPietro back in the fold, Biron will definitely be traded before the deadline this year. I know he wouldn't stay after this season, but that's fine with me. Rent him until the end of the season and let him walk if he wants to play somewhere else to get more time. Lalime will also be a UFA at the end of this season so the Sabres can try for a third time to get a competent backup for Ryan Miller. Who knows, maybe next year they will make Jhonas Enroth the backup.

8:45 PM – Still 3-0 in both of the other games I'm following. I guess that is the positive out of this negative. At least they will still be in first place in the division. Of course, they only need one goal per 10 minutes in the third period to knot this thing back up.

8:48 PM – On a non-hockey side note, I see that Emmitt Smith made the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Personally, I can't wait to hear his induction speech. I see this being some of the best unintentional comedy.

8:57 PM – Here we go for the third period. Sabres start off on the power play. Let's see if they can look decent on this one and maybe even put a dent in the scoreboard.

8:58 PM – Nevermind. Jason Pominville nullified the power play by taking a high sticking penalty.

8:59 PM – And now another goal for Columbus, 3-0 Jackets. Hello Garth Snow, we have Darcy Regier on the phone for you.

9:02 PM – 4-0 Columbus. This game went down the crapper in record time. Less than three minutes into the third and now I'm just wondering if Lalime can finish out the game.

9:04 PM – Holy cow…Drew Stafford in a fight. Really nice fight between him and…wait for it…R.J. Umberger. I gotta say, Stafford taking his helmet off was a total badass move. Nice to see the Sabres getting a little upset. Too bad they are about a week late to that party.

9:09 PM – If the Sabres are going to fight again, can they take out those idiots who are STILL banging on the glass? 9:27 PM

9:17 PM – Since this game is a complete debacle, let's review some fun facts. With 10:52 remaining in this game, the Jackets have outscored the Sabres 10-1 in the past two meetings.

9:17 PM – Oooh wait! We have another Sabres power play. I can barely contain my excitement.

9:19 PM – I suppose I should explain why my mood is so bitter in this running diary and it was so overly positive a few weeks ago in my review of the Sabres. Well since that time, the Sabres have lost games to Pittsburgh, Ottawa, Carolina, and now Columbus. The first two are concerning because there is a decent chance that they will face one of those two teams in the playoffs. The last two are even more concerning because they are two of the worst teams in the league and they look awful.

Plus I'm a little upset that the Devils went out and got Kovalchuk and the Sabres seem to think that they are just fine with the current group of players. They aren't. Thomas Vanek is a good goal scorer but he needs more help around him. Players like Derek Roy, Jason Pominville, Jochen Hecht, and Drew Stafford aren't nearly consistent enough to get it done. While I applaud the Sabres for trying to keep the core group together, they are way too hesitant to make any deals and it is going to hurt the team in the long run. And please don't mistake this as me making excuses for Thomas Vanek. For the amount of money he makes, he should be scoring way more goals.

I guess you could say that I'm overly frustrated right now and with good reason. Extended losing streaks will do that to you. Needless to say, I'm looking forward to the two week Olympic break so I can regroup my thoughts and take a little time off.

9:27 PM – With that out of the way, let's get back to the game. The Sabres are heading to their fifth power play. No word yet on whether or not they will actually try and score on this one.

9:29 PM – Scoring a goal on this power play will not salvage this thing. They are mind boggling bad on the power play lately. Like a bunch of chickens with their heads cut off…on skates. Imagine that.

9:30 PM – The Leafs are now up 5-0 over Ottawa. Nice. The Devils are down 3-1 with time winding down in the third. I doubt they make another late game comeback tonight. The only thing that would've made this night better is if the Sabres had won their game and gained two points over both of these teams.

9:35 PM – We're a little over two minutes away from a shutout. What an awful way to spend my Saturday night. Maybe this is karma for trading Mason on my fantasy team so early in the year.

9:39 PM – Great, Sabres lose 4-0 to Columbus. I can see these running diaries becoming a long running tradition. Ottawa, Pittsburgh, and New Jersey all lost tonight so at least the Sabres didn't drop any in the standings. With that, I'm off to do something more productive. Like laundry. Or brushing my teeth.


 

Please note, because I wanted to post this as quickly as possible, I didn't go through and re-edit the diary. There may be some typos and grammar mistakes. This can happen when I'm trying to type along with the game as a quick pace. I apologize in advance.


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 

How Good Are The Sabres?

How good are the Sabres? It's a question that I find myself asking quite often. Usually it's a multiple choice question with three answers.

A) Really good. Potentially scary good. 
B) I'm not sure. They have potential, but I'm nervous of a letdown. 
C) Not very good at all. They are a huge tease.


Sometimes when I answer this question, I answer with choice B.

Like the other night in Anaheim when I blinked my eyes and Patrick Lalime had helped dig an early 4-0 hole that forced Ryan Miller into action. The obvious key to the Sabres success for the remaining 33 games and playoffs is Ryan Miller. It doesn't exactly give me warm and fuzzy thoughts when Miller is forced to play 48 minutes and 27 seconds on his night off. But hey, I'll give Lalime a pass on that one game, just as long as it doesn't become a habit. Unfortunately for him, the Sabres might have had enough of him. He has had his moments this season, like coming off the bench for Miller down 3-0 to Pittsburgh, and helping Buffalo get the 4-3 win. To be honest, I don't answer with choice B very often.

Most times I answer with choice A. This is partly because I'm a huge Sabres homer, and partly because this is the best Sabres team we've seen since the lockout. Or at least on par with those teams.

Buffalo is on pace to finish the season with approximately 112 points this season. They finished with 113 points in 2006-07, which was good enough to win the President's Trophy. I don't think I'm saying anything outlandish when I say that the 2005-06 team was much better as a whole. That particular team finished 110 points, but that year it only netted them fourth in the Eastern Conference.

The 2006-07 team looked great on paper. Best team in the league. Most goals scored. Four players with 30 or more goals. They had everything in their favor. Except they crumbled in the playoffs. That Sabres team only averaged 2.75 goals per game in the postseason after averaging 3.63 during the regular season.

In 2005-06, the Sabres averaged 3.33 goals per game in the playoffs, and many would argue that injuries to the defense were what really caused their demise. Seriously, what are the odds that your top four defensemen all suffer major injuries during a playoff run? Slim to none would be my guess.

Anyways, back to the main point. Yes, I really think the 2009-10 Sabres team is better than those two teams, or at least equal to them, and it goes without saying that they are better than the last two non-playoff teams. I know I'm going to catch some flak for that because they have had some obvious issues so far, but I am pretty confident in stating that they will easily overcome them down the stretch and into the playoffs. Let's break it down a little more.

Reasons Why They Are Better: Younger players assuming more leadership; Ryan Miller/overall team defense; balanced scoring; regaining the ability to come back/ability to hold on to a lead/finishing a team off instead of letting them back into the game.

When the Sabres allowed Chris Drury and Daniel Briere to walk in free agency, it caused an uproar from the fan base, and rightfully so. To let two of your top scorers AND co-captains walk for nothing was a hard pill to swallow. However, there were several Sabres fans that felt like this was part of the plan. Let's be honest, the Sabres probably weren't going to win the Cup with the team they had after the 2006-07 season. Anybody that saw that playoff run could see they were severely lacking in several departments. So instead of investing even more money in those two players, who weren't exactly very young, they let them walk and invested their money into the younger players to develop a core.

Judging by both players output for the Rangers and Flyers, I'd say I'm perfectly okay with that decision.

I'm not going to lie and say it was an easy transition. The last two years have been extremely painful to watch at times. But it appears as if things are coming together this year and they are poised for a real run. There is even better news, but I'll defer to the Sporting News for the quote:

"Eleven of the Sabres' top 15 scorers are age 28 or under, six are 24 or under and no key forwards, besides Tim Connolly in 2011, are scheduled for unrestricted free agency, meaning this is a collection that will be competitive for years to come."

Personally, I like the way that sounds. Included in the discussion of younger players assuming more leadership is a fellow on defense by the name of Tyler Myers. Myers is only 19 and has appeared in all 49 games this year. He is fifth on the team with 28 points, which is obviously first for all defensemen, and he leads the team in average ice time by a fairly large margin. If you were a casual person just watching the game, it would be very difficult to tell that he is a rookie by the way he plays and by the way the coaching staff and team trusts him. Needless to say, far fewer people are crying about losing Brian Campbell this season.

That brings us to Ryan Miller. Miller has easily been one of the top two goaltenders this season and has been mentioned several times as a serious candidate for the Vezina and Hart trophy this season. While it might sound ridiculous, it really isn't. Think about the true definition of an MVP. To me, most valuable is defined as what the player means to the team. Without Miller, the Sabres are nowhere near the top of the conference and are most likely on the outside of the playoff picture. For evidence of that, take a look at last season once Miller got injured. The Sabres took a seemingly good position in the Conference and it all slipped away as they went 4-7-2 through a crucial part of the season and never really recovered.

Last season Miller had a 2.53 GAA, .918 save percentage, and five shutouts. So far this year he has put up a 2.02 GAA, .935 save percentage, and five shutouts. Mind you, that is in 17 less games than last season. To say Miller has dramatically improved is an understatement. He went from being Tim Thomas' backup in the Olympics to the definite starter for Team USA. As Miller goes, so go the Sabres. The evidence is in the standings.

As an overall team, the Sabres have a 2.29 GAA this season. The last time it was lower than that was the 2000-01 season when the Sabres had some guy named Dominik Hasek in net for 67 games. Oh by the way, he won the Vezina Trophy that season. I'm not comparing the two players by any means, just pointing out how good the Sabres defense/goaltending really has been this season.

The Sabres have always had a decent balance of scoring, but this year it appears to be much more evident. In 05-06, they had one 30 goal scorer and five with 20 or more. In 06-07, they had one 43 goal scorer, three 30+ goal scorers, and two 20+ goal scorers. This year the leading goal scorers have 14, 13, 13, 12, 12, 12, 11, 9, 8, and 8. Yes the numbers are down as a whole right now, but look at how well balanced that is. (I should also point out that Buffalo has 33 more games to play this season) The Sabres currently have 13 forwards who have appeared in at least 36 of the 49 games this season. The numbers above represent 10 of those 13 forwards. Just curious, but how does the opposition effectively game plan for the Sabres? It's not like there is one major line to focus on and shut down. The Sabres are rolling four lines and quite frankly, anybody on the ice at any given time can potentially score. Call me crazy, but that sounds like it is much more difficult to stop.

The final three reasons why I feel they are better can be rolled into one giant reason for the purposes of explaining it. Any Sabres fan can tell you, they were never out of it during the playoff years. There was always that potential to make a comeback and many times they actually did. The previous two years definitely lacked that luster. In addition to that, they seemed to fall apart in the third period when holding the lead or being tied and would eventually lose it. It was extremely frustrating.

Not this year. This was evident in game number two when the Sabres were trailing Phoenix 1-0 to start the third and walked away with a regulation win, 2-1. Two nights later in Nashville, the game was tied 0-0 late in the third when Mike Grier scored the game winner and Buffalo walked away with a 1-0 win. More recently, Buffalo was trailing Colorado 3-1 and scored two in the third to force overtime before eventually losing the shootout. (Had they continued to just play hockey, Buffalo would've definitely won. A skills competition is a stupid way to settle the tie) Prior to that, in two consecutive games against Pittsburgh and Atlanta, the Sabres overcame 3-0 deficits and won 4-3. I could go on and on all day about this, but these examples should be sufficient enough.

This team is definitely different. They don't fall apart late in the game. They do find a way to come back against seemingly impossible odds. They have balanced scoring from all four lines. They have an even better defense. Ryan Miller has been dominant so far.

To put it simply, this reminds me exactly of the playoff years, only better. I almost never turn a game off or walk away during a game, but I especially wouldn't think of it this year. As long as time remains in the game, the Sabres have a chance.

And as long as Ryan Miller is in net, the possibilities are endless.

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