Showing posts with label Louisville. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Louisville. Show all posts
Elite 8 Preview: Sunday Games
I'm not sure that I can recall a set of Sweet 16 games with so many blowouts, but that's what we've seen so far this year. With the exception of one game last night, there was little drama to be found. The trend of top seeds continued on as well as both the 1's and 2's advanced on Friday. With those things in mind, let's take a look at Sunday's Elite 8 matchups to determine the remaining Final Four participants.
(1) Louisville vs. (2) Michigan St.: CBS - 2:20pm
Speaking of lack of drama, it was most apparent when Louisville faced off with Arizona in Indianapolis. Rick Pitino moved to 9-0 all time as a coach in the Sweet 16 round as the Cardinals simply dismantled the Wildcats, winning the game 104-64. The Cardinals never trailed in the game and continually expanded their lead throughout, never letting off the gas pedal. Louisville put 5 players in double figures while shooting nearly 58% from the field. Earl Clark's 19 points and 9 rebounds lead the way, but this was a full team effort without a doubt. All 13 Louisville players found their way to the score sheet and the celebrating came early in this one. The Cards are leaving little doubt in anybody's mind as to why they were named the top overall seed in the tournament.
Michigan St. did not have quite as easy of a night on Friday, battling Kansas until the very end. Down by as much as 13 late in the first half, the Spartans battled their way back and edged ahead for good in the final minute, winning the game 67-62. Big Ten player of the year Kalin Lucas struggled for most of the game, but in crunch time, his star shined brightest. He scored 7 points in the last 49 seconds to advance Tom Izzo's squad to the Elite 8. Lucas finished with 18 points and 7 assists, while center Goran Suton was the only other player in double figures with 20 points and 9 rebounds. Suton was battling head to head with Cole Aldrich and effectively counter balanced him. The Spartans didn't shoot particularly well as a team, but their defense made up for it, forcing 19 Kansas turnovers, including 13 steals for Michigan St.. The Spartans remained undefeated in the NCAA tournament as a 2 seed.
I've been reluctant to give Michigan St. much credit up until this point, but they proved they belong by holding off Kansas last night. However, they know face a buzzsaw in the Louisville Cardinals. Pitino is a master at having his teams ready for March, and this year has proved no exception. A brief moment of doubt against Siena is about the only adversity the Cardinals have faced thus far, but the Spartans will certainly be the highest quality opponent Louisville has seen in this tournament. Still, the Cardinals are battle tested after winning the Big East which has proved how good it is by placing 4 teams in the Elite 8. The Spartans will surely keep it closer than Arizona could manage, but in the end, I think Louisville's full court pressure and endless bench is going to prove more than Izzo's bunch can handle.
(1) UNC vs. (2) Oklahoma: CBS - 5:05pm
North Carolina has had a very similar tournament to Louisville thus far, with only a momentary concern in the 2nd round slowing them down up to this point. Friday night was more of the same for the Tar Heels as they faced Gonzaga in Memphis. Ty Lawson again proved he was healthy enough to contribute as he scored 17 of his 19 points in the first half and propelled Carolina to an 11 point lead at the break. The game never got any closer than that margin in the 2nd half as UNC pulled away to the 98-77 win. Lawson also had 9 assists and just on turnover in his 27 minutes of action. Tyler Hansbrough was solid as usual, contributing 24 points and 10 boards to the effort. The Tar Heels out rebounded Gonzaga 40-28 and has 23 assists compared to the Bulldogs 10. North Carolina will be looking for it's 100th tournament win on Sunday when they face off with Oklahoma.
Blake Griffin continues to be a tour de force in his effort to get Oklahoma a National Championship. Friday night was more of the same as Syracuse, like so many before them, had no answer for the soon to be Naismith Award winner. On this night, it was 30 points and 15 rebounds on 12/15 shooting. Jim Boeheim was denied his 800th career victory and will have to wait until next season to join that club now, as the Sooners knocked off the Orange, 84-71. Griffin didn't do it all by himself however, junior guard Tony Crocker chipped in 28 points including 6 baskets from beyond the arc. Syracuse on the other hand was stone cold from 3 point land, missing it's first 10 attempts and finishing 7/24. The Orange never lead in this one and the Sooners enjoyed a margin as large as 27 points in the 2nd half before sealing the deal and moving to the Elite 8.
Oklahoma vs. North Carolina was one of the first potential matchups of the tournament that I noticed and anticipated. A classic "irresistible force meets immovable object" matchup, although perhaps both qualify as irresistible forces in this instance. Last year's Player of the Year, Tyler Hansbrough will do battle with this year's soon to be award winner Blake Griffin, and it should be an entertaining matchup. Carolina is averaging over 94 points per game so far in the tournament, just about their average for the year at 90.5. Griffin on the other hand is yet to have a game under 25 points and 15 rebounds. Blake Griffin is likely going to get his numbers yet again, despite Carolina's ability to throw multiple, talented big men at him, but the question falls on the supporting cast. Oklahoma will need Tony Crocker to keep up his hot shooting if they want to hang with the likes of Ty Lawson's dynamic point guard play and talented swingman Wayne Ellington's ability to get to the basket and score. This will likely be a very offensive based game and I think in the end, the Tar Heels simply have more weapons to rely on. This should be a fun one to watch, but I think in the end, Carolina advances to the Final 4 next weekend.
(1) Louisville vs. (2) Michigan St.: CBS - 2:20pm
Speaking of lack of drama, it was most apparent when Louisville faced off with Arizona in Indianapolis. Rick Pitino moved to 9-0 all time as a coach in the Sweet 16 round as the Cardinals simply dismantled the Wildcats, winning the game 104-64. The Cardinals never trailed in the game and continually expanded their lead throughout, never letting off the gas pedal. Louisville put 5 players in double figures while shooting nearly 58% from the field. Earl Clark's 19 points and 9 rebounds lead the way, but this was a full team effort without a doubt. All 13 Louisville players found their way to the score sheet and the celebrating came early in this one. The Cards are leaving little doubt in anybody's mind as to why they were named the top overall seed in the tournament.
Michigan St. did not have quite as easy of a night on Friday, battling Kansas until the very end. Down by as much as 13 late in the first half, the Spartans battled their way back and edged ahead for good in the final minute, winning the game 67-62. Big Ten player of the year Kalin Lucas struggled for most of the game, but in crunch time, his star shined brightest. He scored 7 points in the last 49 seconds to advance Tom Izzo's squad to the Elite 8. Lucas finished with 18 points and 7 assists, while center Goran Suton was the only other player in double figures with 20 points and 9 rebounds. Suton was battling head to head with Cole Aldrich and effectively counter balanced him. The Spartans didn't shoot particularly well as a team, but their defense made up for it, forcing 19 Kansas turnovers, including 13 steals for Michigan St.. The Spartans remained undefeated in the NCAA tournament as a 2 seed.
I've been reluctant to give Michigan St. much credit up until this point, but they proved they belong by holding off Kansas last night. However, they know face a buzzsaw in the Louisville Cardinals. Pitino is a master at having his teams ready for March, and this year has proved no exception. A brief moment of doubt against Siena is about the only adversity the Cardinals have faced thus far, but the Spartans will certainly be the highest quality opponent Louisville has seen in this tournament. Still, the Cardinals are battle tested after winning the Big East which has proved how good it is by placing 4 teams in the Elite 8. The Spartans will surely keep it closer than Arizona could manage, but in the end, I think Louisville's full court pressure and endless bench is going to prove more than Izzo's bunch can handle.(1) UNC vs. (2) Oklahoma: CBS - 5:05pm
North Carolina has had a very similar tournament to Louisville thus far, with only a momentary concern in the 2nd round slowing them down up to this point. Friday night was more of the same for the Tar Heels as they faced Gonzaga in Memphis. Ty Lawson again proved he was healthy enough to contribute as he scored 17 of his 19 points in the first half and propelled Carolina to an 11 point lead at the break. The game never got any closer than that margin in the 2nd half as UNC pulled away to the 98-77 win. Lawson also had 9 assists and just on turnover in his 27 minutes of action. Tyler Hansbrough was solid as usual, contributing 24 points and 10 boards to the effort. The Tar Heels out rebounded Gonzaga 40-28 and has 23 assists compared to the Bulldogs 10. North Carolina will be looking for it's 100th tournament win on Sunday when they face off with Oklahoma.
Blake Griffin continues to be a tour de force in his effort to get Oklahoma a National Championship. Friday night was more of the same as Syracuse, like so many before them, had no answer for the soon to be Naismith Award winner. On this night, it was 30 points and 15 rebounds on 12/15 shooting. Jim Boeheim was denied his 800th career victory and will have to wait until next season to join that club now, as the Sooners knocked off the Orange, 84-71. Griffin didn't do it all by himself however, junior guard Tony Crocker chipped in 28 points including 6 baskets from beyond the arc. Syracuse on the other hand was stone cold from 3 point land, missing it's first 10 attempts and finishing 7/24. The Orange never lead in this one and the Sooners enjoyed a margin as large as 27 points in the 2nd half before sealing the deal and moving to the Elite 8.
Oklahoma vs. North Carolina was one of the first potential matchups of the tournament that I noticed and anticipated. A classic "irresistible force meets immovable object" matchup, although perhaps both qualify as irresistible forces in this instance. Last year's Player of the Year, Tyler Hansbrough will do battle with this year's soon to be award winner Blake Griffin, and it should be an entertaining matchup. Carolina is averaging over 94 points per game so far in the tournament, just about their average for the year at 90.5. Griffin on the other hand is yet to have a game under 25 points and 15 rebounds. Blake Griffin is likely going to get his numbers yet again, despite Carolina's ability to throw multiple, talented big men at him, but the question falls on the supporting cast. Oklahoma will need Tony Crocker to keep up his hot shooting if they want to hang with the likes of Ty Lawson's dynamic point guard play and talented swingman Wayne Ellington's ability to get to the basket and score. This will likely be a very offensive based game and I think in the end, the Tar Heels simply have more weapons to rely on. This should be a fun one to watch, but I think in the end, Carolina advances to the Final 4 next weekend.
Sweet 16 Preview: Friday Games
We've already taken a look at Thursday's games, so now we'll move ahead to the lineup for Friday's Sweet 16 matchups. Like the East and West regions, the Midwest and South regions only have one oddity in terms of seeding. 12 seed Arizona, one of the last teams to make the field of 65, has advanced through the first 2 rounds. Will they continue their improbable run, or will the higher seeds continue to move on? Here's the schedule for the 3rd round.
Thursday's West Region (Glendale) Games:
(1) Connecticut vs. (5) Purdue, 7:07pm
(2) Memphis vs. (3) Missouri, 9:37pm
Thursday's East Region (Boston) Games:
(1) Pittsburgh vs. (4) Xavier, 7:27pm
(2) Duke vs. (3) Villanova, 9:57pm
Friday's Midwest Region (Indianapolis) Games:
(1) Louisville vs. (12) Arizona, 7:07pm
(2) Michigan St. vs. (3) Kansas, 9:37pm
Friday's South Region (Memphis) Games:
(2) Oklahoma vs. (3) Syracuse, 7:27pm
(1) UNC vs. (4) Gonzaga, 9:57pm
(1) Louisville vs. (12) Arizona:
Rick Pitino's Louisville squad finished the season as one of the hottest teams in the country, winning the Big East tournament and grabbing the #1 overall seed for the NCAA Tourney. So far they haven't disappointed, first beating (16) Morehead St. by 20, 74-54 in the first round. While only able to manage a 2 point lead at the half, the Cardinals flew past the Eagles in the 2nd without much trouble. Louisville shot 58% from the field in that game and used a balanced scoring attack to advance on. The next round presented a bit more of a challenge in (9) Siena. The Cards trailed briefly in the 2nd half, but regained the lead with about 5:00 left and held on for the 79-72 victory. Turnovers were a problem for Louisville in this one, but Terrence Williams' 24 point, 15 rebound effort helped them get by the Saints. A 49% shooting night and a large advantage in the rebound category didn't hurt matters either.
Much has been made about Arizona barely getting into the tournament, but regardless of that fact, they've played well through 2 rounds. The Wildcats had little trouble in dispatching (5) Utah in their first game, knocking off the Utes, 84-71. Virtually all their scoring came from their starters, including 20 from Chase Budinger and 29 from Nic Wise. Arizona was amongst the many teams who put on fantastic shooting performances the first weekend, knocking down 54.5% in the first game. The second round was more of the same as the Wildcats handled upset minded (13) Cleveland St. with relative ease as well, 71-57. Another 50% shooting effort along with an efficient 24/28 night at the free throw line were key components of this win. Nic Wise again lead the scoring effort, putting in 21.
Two key items feed into each other to help me shape my opinion of this game. The Cardinals use a full court pressure defense frequently that makes the other team work very hard and forces many turnovers. Arizona on the other hand, barely uses their bench at all. Their 5 starters have been averaging in the 36+ minute range in two games that weren't even that close. That tells me that interim coach Russ Pennell doesn't have much confidence after his starting 5. Look for Pitino to run them ragged and the Cardinals to pull away late in the game.
(2) Michigan St. vs. (3) Kansas:
Michigan St. used a 21-0 run to move past a 30-30 tie against (15) Robert Morris in the first round. The Spartans eventually walked away with a 77-62 win, and moved on to the round of 32. 5 players scored in double figures including 16 each from Draymond Green and Raymar Morgan, along with 11 points and 17 boards from Goran Suton. Tom Izzo's group had to contend with a very good 10 seed in USC in the 2nd round. In a game that never saw a lead of more than 6 points for either team, the Spartans beat the Trojans 74-69 in a battle that would have done Ancient Greece proud. Michigan St. relied heavily on it's bench and got well distributed scoring, including 18 points from Travis Walton. The win marked the Spartans 8th trip to the Sweet 16 in the past 12 years.
It's hard to remember that Kansas is the defending national champion, since most of that team is no longer around, but Sherron Collins is still around and proving his importance. The Jayhawks withheld a (14) North Dakota State second half rally to pull out the 84-74 win in the opening round. Collins was a very large part of that, dropping a season high 32 points. Sophomore big man Cole Aldrich helped out with 23 points and 13 rebounds to help Kansas advance. (10) Dayton hoped to pulled off the upset in the 2nd round, but the Jayhawks would have none of that. Cole Aldrich again came through, this time putting up a triple double as Kansas cruised to a 60-43 win. 13 points, 20 rebounds, and 10 blocks add up to one of the more impressive tournament performances in recent memory. The Flyers were held to a woeful 22% shooting, which meant that even though Kansas couldn't hit a 3 to save their lives (3/16), the Jayhawks were heading to the Sweet 16. Collins added another 25 point effort for Kansas as well.
I didn't really have much confidence in Michigan St. heading into the tournament and they haven't done much to improve my perception at this point. I don't think the Spartans have what it takes to stop both Aldrich and Collins. One or the other at least will have another big game and the Jayhawks should be heading to the Elite 8.
(2) Oklahoma vs. (3) Syracuse:
Much like Duke/Villanova, this game would seem to be the other premiere matchup of the weekend to most. Oklahoma has essentially ridden one man's back to get where they are, and don't expect that to change. The Sooners crushed (15) Morgan St. to start off the tournament, winning 82-54. Despite being slammed judo style to the court by the opposition, Blake Griffin was dominant as always, scoring 28 points and adding 13 rebounds. The team shot a ridiculous 60.4% and never trailed in the game. (10) Michigan came into their 2nd round matchup playing very well, and hung with OU for a half, but just like many before them, had no answer for Griffin. Oklahoma won 73-63, powered by Blake's 33 points and 17 rebounds. The win marked Oklahoma's first trip to the Sweet 16 in 6 years.
Syracuse seemingly came out of nowhere with their Big East run and by virtue of beating UConn in their 6OT thriller, seemingly became a favorite for many heading into the NCAA tourney. Their first round game against (14) Stephen F. Austin saw the Orange run out to a huge lead and then coast home for the 59-44 win. Outstanding point guard Johnny Flynn lead the way with 16 points and 7 assists while the team as a whole held the Lumberjacks to just under 25% from the field. While the margin was much tighter, the layout was generally the same in Syracuse's second round win over Arizona St. They took control early and kind of coasted on home for the win. This time by only 11, 78-67. 5 players put up double figure scoring efforts, lead by Eric Devendorf's 21. 'Cuse managed a 55% shooting night, including 45% from 3 point land.
Let me say right up front that Syracuse will not stop Blake Griffin. Nobody has done it all year and I don't expect it to start now. The guy is the obvious Naismith Player of the Year Award winner and #1 pick in the NBA Draft and he has steamrolled all opposition. The question instead will be can the Syracuse guards due enough to overcome him? Oklahoma has had spotty guard play during the year, and will need to find a way to try and keep Johnny Flynn and Eric Devendorf in check. I think the Orange finally lose the magic and run out of steam in this one. The Sooners advance, but barely.
(1) UNC vs. (4) Gonzaga:
After UConn, North Carolina has probably been the most impressive team thus far in the tournament. That comes as little to surprise many, as UNC seemed to be the odds on favorite to win going into the tournament amongst public opinion. (16) Radford didn't have a prayer really, as the Tar Heels just thrashed them from start to finish, 101-58. Tyler Hansbrough set the all time ACC scoring record en route to his 22 points, and Wayne Ellington cashed in for 25 more. Nobody had to play more than 30 minutes in this one and every bit of rest helps as UNC moved on to the next round. (8) LSU battled back in the 2nd half to make the game interesting, but the Tar Heels closed on a 21-7 run to put away the Tigers, 84-70. Ty Lawson made his return from a toe injury and started off shaky, but scored 21 of his game high 23 in the second half to help North Carolina advance. Ellington matched the 23 of Lawson and UNC shot over 54% in moving to the Sweet 16.
Gonzaga has officially shed their "Cinderella" tag now. They entered the tournament as the 10th ranked team in the nation and grabbed a 4 seed in the process. The Bulldogs faced (13) Akron in their first game and actually trailed well into the 2nd half before burying the Zips with a 31-6 run, eventually winning 77-64. Josh Heytvelt had an efficient shooting night on his way to a game high 22 points. The Zags would go on to face a tough and experienced 12 seed in Western Kentucky in the 2nd round and had their hands full throughout. The back and forth game would result in the most exciting finish of the tournament thus far when freshman Demitri Goodson went the length of the court and put in a layup with .9 left on the clock, giving the Bulldogs the win, 83-81. 5 Bulldogs scored in double figures, lead by Matt Bouldin's 20. He also added 8 rebounds and 6 assists in a solid all around game. Gonzaga returns to the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2006 after consecutive 1st round losses the past 2 years.
Gonzaga is experienced and athletic, two good combinations for the NCAA tournament. The only problem... UNC is more experienced and more athletic. The Bulldogs are probably one of the few teams that could keep pace with the Tar Heels, but with Ty Lawson back in the lineup, Carolina just has too many weapons. Between Hansbrough, Ellington, and Lawson, there is almost always an option for the Heels. Look for Roy William's team to move on to the Elite 8 for a potential matchup of the reigning and soon to be crowned Players of the Year.
Thursday's West Region (Glendale) Games:
(1) Connecticut vs. (5) Purdue, 7:07pm
(2) Memphis vs. (3) Missouri, 9:37pm
Thursday's East Region (Boston) Games:
(1) Pittsburgh vs. (4) Xavier, 7:27pm
(2) Duke vs. (3) Villanova, 9:57pm
Friday's Midwest Region (Indianapolis) Games:
(1) Louisville vs. (12) Arizona, 7:07pm
(2) Michigan St. vs. (3) Kansas, 9:37pm
Friday's South Region (Memphis) Games:
(2) Oklahoma vs. (3) Syracuse, 7:27pm
(1) UNC vs. (4) Gonzaga, 9:57pm
(1) Louisville vs. (12) Arizona:
Rick Pitino's Louisville squad finished the season as one of the hottest teams in the country, winning the Big East tournament and grabbing the #1 overall seed for the NCAA Tourney. So far they haven't disappointed, first beating (16) Morehead St. by 20, 74-54 in the first round. While only able to manage a 2 point lead at the half, the Cardinals flew past the Eagles in the 2nd without much trouble. Louisville shot 58% from the field in that game and used a balanced scoring attack to advance on. The next round presented a bit more of a challenge in (9) Siena. The Cards trailed briefly in the 2nd half, but regained the lead with about 5:00 left and held on for the 79-72 victory. Turnovers were a problem for Louisville in this one, but Terrence Williams' 24 point, 15 rebound effort helped them get by the Saints. A 49% shooting night and a large advantage in the rebound category didn't hurt matters either.
Much has been made about Arizona barely getting into the tournament, but regardless of that fact, they've played well through 2 rounds. The Wildcats had little trouble in dispatching (5) Utah in their first game, knocking off the Utes, 84-71. Virtually all their scoring came from their starters, including 20 from Chase Budinger and 29 from Nic Wise. Arizona was amongst the many teams who put on fantastic shooting performances the first weekend, knocking down 54.5% in the first game. The second round was more of the same as the Wildcats handled upset minded (13) Cleveland St. with relative ease as well, 71-57. Another 50% shooting effort along with an efficient 24/28 night at the free throw line were key components of this win. Nic Wise again lead the scoring effort, putting in 21.
Two key items feed into each other to help me shape my opinion of this game. The Cardinals use a full court pressure defense frequently that makes the other team work very hard and forces many turnovers. Arizona on the other hand, barely uses their bench at all. Their 5 starters have been averaging in the 36+ minute range in two games that weren't even that close. That tells me that interim coach Russ Pennell doesn't have much confidence after his starting 5. Look for Pitino to run them ragged and the Cardinals to pull away late in the game.
(2) Michigan St. vs. (3) Kansas:
Michigan St. used a 21-0 run to move past a 30-30 tie against (15) Robert Morris in the first round. The Spartans eventually walked away with a 77-62 win, and moved on to the round of 32. 5 players scored in double figures including 16 each from Draymond Green and Raymar Morgan, along with 11 points and 17 boards from Goran Suton. Tom Izzo's group had to contend with a very good 10 seed in USC in the 2nd round. In a game that never saw a lead of more than 6 points for either team, the Spartans beat the Trojans 74-69 in a battle that would have done Ancient Greece proud. Michigan St. relied heavily on it's bench and got well distributed scoring, including 18 points from Travis Walton. The win marked the Spartans 8th trip to the Sweet 16 in the past 12 years.
It's hard to remember that Kansas is the defending national champion, since most of that team is no longer around, but Sherron Collins is still around and proving his importance. The Jayhawks withheld a (14) North Dakota State second half rally to pull out the 84-74 win in the opening round. Collins was a very large part of that, dropping a season high 32 points. Sophomore big man Cole Aldrich helped out with 23 points and 13 rebounds to help Kansas advance. (10) Dayton hoped to pulled off the upset in the 2nd round, but the Jayhawks would have none of that. Cole Aldrich again came through, this time putting up a triple double as Kansas cruised to a 60-43 win. 13 points, 20 rebounds, and 10 blocks add up to one of the more impressive tournament performances in recent memory. The Flyers were held to a woeful 22% shooting, which meant that even though Kansas couldn't hit a 3 to save their lives (3/16), the Jayhawks were heading to the Sweet 16. Collins added another 25 point effort for Kansas as well.I didn't really have much confidence in Michigan St. heading into the tournament and they haven't done much to improve my perception at this point. I don't think the Spartans have what it takes to stop both Aldrich and Collins. One or the other at least will have another big game and the Jayhawks should be heading to the Elite 8.
(2) Oklahoma vs. (3) Syracuse:
Much like Duke/Villanova, this game would seem to be the other premiere matchup of the weekend to most. Oklahoma has essentially ridden one man's back to get where they are, and don't expect that to change. The Sooners crushed (15) Morgan St. to start off the tournament, winning 82-54. Despite being slammed judo style to the court by the opposition, Blake Griffin was dominant as always, scoring 28 points and adding 13 rebounds. The team shot a ridiculous 60.4% and never trailed in the game. (10) Michigan came into their 2nd round matchup playing very well, and hung with OU for a half, but just like many before them, had no answer for Griffin. Oklahoma won 73-63, powered by Blake's 33 points and 17 rebounds. The win marked Oklahoma's first trip to the Sweet 16 in 6 years.
Syracuse seemingly came out of nowhere with their Big East run and by virtue of beating UConn in their 6OT thriller, seemingly became a favorite for many heading into the NCAA tourney. Their first round game against (14) Stephen F. Austin saw the Orange run out to a huge lead and then coast home for the 59-44 win. Outstanding point guard Johnny Flynn lead the way with 16 points and 7 assists while the team as a whole held the Lumberjacks to just under 25% from the field. While the margin was much tighter, the layout was generally the same in Syracuse's second round win over Arizona St. They took control early and kind of coasted on home for the win. This time by only 11, 78-67. 5 players put up double figure scoring efforts, lead by Eric Devendorf's 21. 'Cuse managed a 55% shooting night, including 45% from 3 point land.
Let me say right up front that Syracuse will not stop Blake Griffin. Nobody has done it all year and I don't expect it to start now. The guy is the obvious Naismith Player of the Year Award winner and #1 pick in the NBA Draft and he has steamrolled all opposition. The question instead will be can the Syracuse guards due enough to overcome him? Oklahoma has had spotty guard play during the year, and will need to find a way to try and keep Johnny Flynn and Eric Devendorf in check. I think the Orange finally lose the magic and run out of steam in this one. The Sooners advance, but barely.
(1) UNC vs. (4) Gonzaga:
After UConn, North Carolina has probably been the most impressive team thus far in the tournament. That comes as little to surprise many, as UNC seemed to be the odds on favorite to win going into the tournament amongst public opinion. (16) Radford didn't have a prayer really, as the Tar Heels just thrashed them from start to finish, 101-58. Tyler Hansbrough set the all time ACC scoring record en route to his 22 points, and Wayne Ellington cashed in for 25 more. Nobody had to play more than 30 minutes in this one and every bit of rest helps as UNC moved on to the next round. (8) LSU battled back in the 2nd half to make the game interesting, but the Tar Heels closed on a 21-7 run to put away the Tigers, 84-70. Ty Lawson made his return from a toe injury and started off shaky, but scored 21 of his game high 23 in the second half to help North Carolina advance. Ellington matched the 23 of Lawson and UNC shot over 54% in moving to the Sweet 16.Gonzaga has officially shed their "Cinderella" tag now. They entered the tournament as the 10th ranked team in the nation and grabbed a 4 seed in the process. The Bulldogs faced (13) Akron in their first game and actually trailed well into the 2nd half before burying the Zips with a 31-6 run, eventually winning 77-64. Josh Heytvelt had an efficient shooting night on his way to a game high 22 points. The Zags would go on to face a tough and experienced 12 seed in Western Kentucky in the 2nd round and had their hands full throughout. The back and forth game would result in the most exciting finish of the tournament thus far when freshman Demitri Goodson went the length of the court and put in a layup with .9 left on the clock, giving the Bulldogs the win, 83-81. 5 Bulldogs scored in double figures, lead by Matt Bouldin's 20. He also added 8 rebounds and 6 assists in a solid all around game. Gonzaga returns to the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2006 after consecutive 1st round losses the past 2 years.
Gonzaga is experienced and athletic, two good combinations for the NCAA tournament. The only problem... UNC is more experienced and more athletic. The Bulldogs are probably one of the few teams that could keep pace with the Tar Heels, but with Ty Lawson back in the lineup, Carolina just has too many weapons. Between Hansbrough, Ellington, and Lawson, there is almost always an option for the Heels. Look for Roy William's team to move on to the Elite 8 for a potential matchup of the reigning and soon to be crowned Players of the Year.
Quick Thoughts on Selection Sunday
The brackets have only been out for an hour and a half now, but I've had a chance to look them over pretty well and have some quick thoughts to share. Make sure you check back in the coming days as both Devin and I present our full selections for the entire tournament.
Let's start with the #1 seeds. Looking back quickly at my last AP Top Ten article, my picks for top seeds proved prophetic as Louisville, Pitt, UNC, and UConn grabbed the top spots. This proves the power of the Big East this season as it's the first time that I can remember 3 teams from the same conference have managed to all grab #1 seeds. Additionally, I pegged Memphis, Michigan St., and Oklahoma as 2 seeds, only missing out on Duke, whose strong performance in winning the ACC tournament grabbed them the 2 slot in the East regional. There really isn't much in the way of surprises in terms of the top seeds, but this biggest debate seemed to come in whether Memphis or UConn would get the last 1 seed. Memphis playing in Conference USA obviously bit them here, dropping them to the 2 spot in the West, but putting them in the same bracket as UConn tells me that the selection committee couldn't make up it's mind and decided to let them play it out.
The most intriguing first round matchups in my opinion include Oklahoma St. playing Tennessee, Texas vs. Minnesota, Butler vs. LSU, and Michigan taking on Clemson. I would consider all these games as toss ups and should make for some entertaining basketball early on. As far as upsets go, I see quite a few possibilities early on, but I think most of the top seeds will progress deep into the tournament. Amongst my first round notable upsets are Arizona over Utah and Western Kentucky over Illinois in the dreaded 12/5 matchup. At least one if not two upsets come from the 12/5 games every year, and I don't see that changing now. I also picked 3 out of 4 of the 11 seeds to move on in the first round, with Utah St. defeating Marquette, Temple over Arizona St., and Virginia Commonwealth knocking off UCLA.
I'll save the later round stuff for another time, but suffice it to say I'm finding it hard to pick against the 1 and 2 seeds for the most part. Once again, be sure to check back and see how Devin and I break down the whole tournament in the coming days. It's March Madness and it's my favorite sporting event of the year, so I'll be bringing you loads of coverage throughout!
Let's start with the #1 seeds. Looking back quickly at my last AP Top Ten article, my picks for top seeds proved prophetic as Louisville, Pitt, UNC, and UConn grabbed the top spots. This proves the power of the Big East this season as it's the first time that I can remember 3 teams from the same conference have managed to all grab #1 seeds. Additionally, I pegged Memphis, Michigan St., and Oklahoma as 2 seeds, only missing out on Duke, whose strong performance in winning the ACC tournament grabbed them the 2 slot in the East regional. There really isn't much in the way of surprises in terms of the top seeds, but this biggest debate seemed to come in whether Memphis or UConn would get the last 1 seed. Memphis playing in Conference USA obviously bit them here, dropping them to the 2 spot in the West, but putting them in the same bracket as UConn tells me that the selection committee couldn't make up it's mind and decided to let them play it out.
The most intriguing first round matchups in my opinion include Oklahoma St. playing Tennessee, Texas vs. Minnesota, Butler vs. LSU, and Michigan taking on Clemson. I would consider all these games as toss ups and should make for some entertaining basketball early on. As far as upsets go, I see quite a few possibilities early on, but I think most of the top seeds will progress deep into the tournament. Amongst my first round notable upsets are Arizona over Utah and Western Kentucky over Illinois in the dreaded 12/5 matchup. At least one if not two upsets come from the 12/5 games every year, and I don't see that changing now. I also picked 3 out of 4 of the 11 seeds to move on in the first round, with Utah St. defeating Marquette, Temple over Arizona St., and Virginia Commonwealth knocking off UCLA.
I'll save the later round stuff for another time, but suffice it to say I'm finding it hard to pick against the 1 and 2 seeds for the most part. Once again, be sure to check back and see how Devin and I break down the whole tournament in the coming days. It's March Madness and it's my favorite sporting event of the year, so I'll be bringing you loads of coverage throughout!
A Look at the AP Top Ten
We've reached the end of the regular season and it appears things have come full circle as UNC has regained the top spot. Smaller conference tournaments are already in full swing and the big boys get under way on Wednesday. More importantly, Selection Sunday is less than a week away now. The two conferences that got all the attention all year long have proven why as 7 of the Top 10 teams come from either the ACC or Big East. Let's take one last look at the AP Top Ten for this season.
1. North Carolina (27-3)
UNC finished up only 3 points ahead of Pitt in the polls, but they're back at #1 where they spent a good portion of the early part of the year. The Tar Heels finished strong with wins over Virginia Tech and #9 Duke last week, and going 13-1 since mid-January, losing only to Maryland in overtime. Carolina is essentially assured a #1 seed in the tournament regardless of how they do in the ACC tourney this week. The only question mark this team faces right now is the health of Ty Lawson. The star junior guard has an injured toe and some have suggested he might sit out part or all of the ACC tournament in order to be healthy for the following week.
2. Pittsburgh (28-3)
The Panthers final week of the year saw them beat both Marquette and UConn with relative ease at home. The Panthers swept the Huskies this season in impressive fashion and wind up 2nd in the Big East behind #5 Louisville. Pitt seems to be firing on all cylinders at this point, and while they might get tripped up in the Big East tourney, it's doubtful that it would cost them a #1 seed. The Panthers are going to be a force in the NCAA tourney and are my early favorites to win, pending how the brackets turn out next Sunday.
3. Connecticut (27-3)
If it weren't for Pitt, Connecticut would have spend the entire 2nd half of the season at #1. The Huskies have been viewed by many as the best team in the country, but a 2nd loss to the Panthers puts that in serious doubt. Finishing 3rd in the Big East assures them 2 extra days of rest while the rest of the conference does battle, and barring a very poor performance, many expect UConn to grab one of the #1 seeds as well. Connecticut has blown out almost all their competition this season, with the obvious exception of their losses, so expect them to go deep in the NCAA tourney. I'd be quite surprised if they didn't make it to the Elite 8 at the very least.
4. Memphis (28-3)
Every week I write virtually the same thing about the Tigers. They continue to pound away on Conference USA like the biggest bully on the playground and all the while, they lose credit with experts around the country because of it. They haven't lost since before Christmas, and barring a miracle, they aren't going to lose in their conference tournament either. Memphis will likely pull down a 2 seed, again because of their lack of competition, but the question on everybody's mind is how long will they last in the Big Dance? I don't think this team has the talent of the last few years, and I expect them to make a fairly early exit, likely on the 2nd weekend.
5. Louisville (25-5)
The Big East regular season champion Cardinals finished out their season with wins over Seton Hall and West Virginia. If Rick Pitino's squad puts in a solid showing in the conference tourney, they could very well be the 3rd #1 seed out of the Big East next Sunday night. The Cards have taken two poundings at the hands of UConn and Notre Dame, but remained otherwise flawless in 2009. This team kind of snuck up on everybody and I think many are still unsure just what they're capable of. I don't like to bet against Pitino in March however, and won't be surprised to see them last deep into the NCAA tourney.
6. Oklahoma (27-4)
The Sooners hit another bump late in the year, dropping a surprise game at #14 Missouri last Wednesday, before knocking of in state rival OSU to finish out the season. This loss likely cost them a 1 seed, but they should still fair well at the #2 spot they are likely to get. I'd be rather surprised if Oklahoma doesn't at least make the finals of the Big 12 tournament, about as surprised as I would be if Blake Griffin doesn't win the Naismith Award this year. The Sooners will go just as far as Griffin can carry them in the NCAA tourney, and I'd be willing to bet that it's quite aways. I still think that OU has what it takes to make it to Detroit and the Final Four.
7. Michigan St. (25-5)
Sparty just keeps on chugging along, finishing up with wins against Indiana and Purdue last week. Of their 5 losses, 3 of them came against quality teams, but UNC and Maryland both destroyed them, which makes you question how they will fair outside of the Big 10. Michigan St. is likely on point for a 2 seed, barring a complete collapse in the conference tourney this week. Tom Izzo has his work cut out for him though in my opinion, as I see MSU having trouble getting past the Sweet 16.
8. Wake Forest (24-5)
Wake Forest polished off their regular season with wins against Maryland and Clemson en route to a 2nd place finish in the ACC. The ACC Tournament should be crazy this week as always and the Demon Deacons will probably be playing for a 2 or 3 seed depending on their performance. The athleticism of this team is going to be very hard for teams outside of the ACC to deal with, and regardless of their seed, I like them to make at least the Elite 8 in the NCAA Tournament.
9. Duke (25-6)
The Blue Devils won a tight game against Florida St. on Wednesday but couldn't overcome #1 UNC in Chapel Hill on Sunday afternoon, winding up 3rd in the ACC. On the plus side for Duke, their top 3 players have established themselves late in the year and the insertion of freshmen Elliot Williams into the starting lineup has paid off for Coach K's squad. Adversely however, their depth has been a question down the stretch with their bench players not performing at the level their capable of. Barring a lousy performance in the ACC Tournament, Duke looks poised for a 3 seed and should finally make it past the Sweet 16 once again in the NCAA Tourney. I expect them to make it to the Elite 8 before a patented cold shooting nice bounces them back to Durham.
10. Villanova (25-6)
The Wildcats trampled Providence on Wednesday to finish the regular season at 4th in the Big East. Georgetown is really the only disappointing loss on their schedule this season, but for the most part Villanova has managed to stay under the radar in their loaded conference. Dynamic guard play from Scottie Reynolds and Corey Fisher has helped propel Nova this far, but they lack a true big man, which usually proves important in the NCAA tournament. I expect Villanova to last about as long as they don't have to face a Blake Griffin, Hasheem Thabeet, or DeJuan Blair.
1. North Carolina (27-3)
UNC finished up only 3 points ahead of Pitt in the polls, but they're back at #1 where they spent a good portion of the early part of the year. The Tar Heels finished strong with wins over Virginia Tech and #9 Duke last week, and going 13-1 since mid-January, losing only to Maryland in overtime. Carolina is essentially assured a #1 seed in the tournament regardless of how they do in the ACC tourney this week. The only question mark this team faces right now is the health of Ty Lawson. The star junior guard has an injured toe and some have suggested he might sit out part or all of the ACC tournament in order to be healthy for the following week.
2. Pittsburgh (28-3)
The Panthers final week of the year saw them beat both Marquette and UConn with relative ease at home. The Panthers swept the Huskies this season in impressive fashion and wind up 2nd in the Big East behind #5 Louisville. Pitt seems to be firing on all cylinders at this point, and while they might get tripped up in the Big East tourney, it's doubtful that it would cost them a #1 seed. The Panthers are going to be a force in the NCAA tourney and are my early favorites to win, pending how the brackets turn out next Sunday.
3. Connecticut (27-3)
If it weren't for Pitt, Connecticut would have spend the entire 2nd half of the season at #1. The Huskies have been viewed by many as the best team in the country, but a 2nd loss to the Panthers puts that in serious doubt. Finishing 3rd in the Big East assures them 2 extra days of rest while the rest of the conference does battle, and barring a very poor performance, many expect UConn to grab one of the #1 seeds as well. Connecticut has blown out almost all their competition this season, with the obvious exception of their losses, so expect them to go deep in the NCAA tourney. I'd be quite surprised if they didn't make it to the Elite 8 at the very least.
4. Memphis (28-3)
Every week I write virtually the same thing about the Tigers. They continue to pound away on Conference USA like the biggest bully on the playground and all the while, they lose credit with experts around the country because of it. They haven't lost since before Christmas, and barring a miracle, they aren't going to lose in their conference tournament either. Memphis will likely pull down a 2 seed, again because of their lack of competition, but the question on everybody's mind is how long will they last in the Big Dance? I don't think this team has the talent of the last few years, and I expect them to make a fairly early exit, likely on the 2nd weekend.
5. Louisville (25-5)
The Big East regular season champion Cardinals finished out their season with wins over Seton Hall and West Virginia. If Rick Pitino's squad puts in a solid showing in the conference tourney, they could very well be the 3rd #1 seed out of the Big East next Sunday night. The Cards have taken two poundings at the hands of UConn and Notre Dame, but remained otherwise flawless in 2009. This team kind of snuck up on everybody and I think many are still unsure just what they're capable of. I don't like to bet against Pitino in March however, and won't be surprised to see them last deep into the NCAA tourney.
6. Oklahoma (27-4)
The Sooners hit another bump late in the year, dropping a surprise game at #14 Missouri last Wednesday, before knocking of in state rival OSU to finish out the season. This loss likely cost them a 1 seed, but they should still fair well at the #2 spot they are likely to get. I'd be rather surprised if Oklahoma doesn't at least make the finals of the Big 12 tournament, about as surprised as I would be if Blake Griffin doesn't win the Naismith Award this year. The Sooners will go just as far as Griffin can carry them in the NCAA tourney, and I'd be willing to bet that it's quite aways. I still think that OU has what it takes to make it to Detroit and the Final Four.
7. Michigan St. (25-5)
Sparty just keeps on chugging along, finishing up with wins against Indiana and Purdue last week. Of their 5 losses, 3 of them came against quality teams, but UNC and Maryland both destroyed them, which makes you question how they will fair outside of the Big 10. Michigan St. is likely on point for a 2 seed, barring a complete collapse in the conference tourney this week. Tom Izzo has his work cut out for him though in my opinion, as I see MSU having trouble getting past the Sweet 16.
8. Wake Forest (24-5)
Wake Forest polished off their regular season with wins against Maryland and Clemson en route to a 2nd place finish in the ACC. The ACC Tournament should be crazy this week as always and the Demon Deacons will probably be playing for a 2 or 3 seed depending on their performance. The athleticism of this team is going to be very hard for teams outside of the ACC to deal with, and regardless of their seed, I like them to make at least the Elite 8 in the NCAA Tournament.
9. Duke (25-6)
The Blue Devils won a tight game against Florida St. on Wednesday but couldn't overcome #1 UNC in Chapel Hill on Sunday afternoon, winding up 3rd in the ACC. On the plus side for Duke, their top 3 players have established themselves late in the year and the insertion of freshmen Elliot Williams into the starting lineup has paid off for Coach K's squad. Adversely however, their depth has been a question down the stretch with their bench players not performing at the level their capable of. Barring a lousy performance in the ACC Tournament, Duke looks poised for a 3 seed and should finally make it past the Sweet 16 once again in the NCAA Tourney. I expect them to make it to the Elite 8 before a patented cold shooting nice bounces them back to Durham.
10. Villanova (25-6)
The Wildcats trampled Providence on Wednesday to finish the regular season at 4th in the Big East. Georgetown is really the only disappointing loss on their schedule this season, but for the most part Villanova has managed to stay under the radar in their loaded conference. Dynamic guard play from Scottie Reynolds and Corey Fisher has helped propel Nova this far, but they lack a true big man, which usually proves important in the NCAA tournament. I expect Villanova to last about as long as they don't have to face a Blake Griffin, Hasheem Thabeet, or DeJuan Blair.
A Look at the AP Top Ten
Here we are in the final week of the regular season and the top teams continue to shuffle around and nobody wants to keep the #1 ranking it seems. Lots of shifting again in the past 2 weeks since our last look, so let's dive right in.
1. Connecticut (27-2)
Two weeks ago I wrote that UConn would likely fade away from the top spot after a loss to Pittsburgh. Well, I was right about that, but they quickly regained the spot today. Since the lost to Pittsburgh, the Huskies have taken down South Florida, Marquette, and Notre Dame. Oh, and Jim Calhoun had a little incident you might have heard about as well. Connecticut can relax this week as they don't play again until Saturday, but that game is a big one as they have their shot at redemption on the road at Pittsburgh. Regardless of the outcome of that game, the Huskies only need a solid showing in the Big East Tournament to get a #1 seed in the Big Dance.
2. North Carolina (25-3)
UNC has continued to climb back towards the top of the rankings where they were for much of the early part of the season, falling just short of the top spot. Since we last looked, the Tar Heels have knocked off neighboring NC State, as well as ACC bottom dweller Georgia Tech. They dropped a tough battle in College Park in between however, falling to Maryland in overtime thanks in large part to a triple double from Greivis Vasquez. UNC has 2 games left in their regular season, first against a desperate Virginia Tech team who needs one more big win to ensure themselves a spot in the tourney on Wednesday, followed up by a season ending show down at home against #7 Duke on Sunday. Much like the Huskies, a solid performance in the ACC will all but lock up a #1 seed in the NCAA tourney.
3. Pittsburgh (26-3)
Pitt managed to claim the top spot last week after their strong performance at UConn, but it was fleeting as they dropped a game at Providence, where they were outplayed the entire way. Wins over DePaul and Seton Hall didn't do much to help the Panthers as those teams sit near the bottom of the Big East. Jamie Dixon's squad finishes up with 2 tough games though, hosting Marquette on Wednesday and then UConn on Saturday. If the team can at least split those games and make it to the semi-finals of the Big East Tourney, they will likely grab a #1 seed on selection Sunday as well. I personally still think this team will be a beast in the NCAA tournament due to the presence of big man DeJuan Blair.
4. Oklahoma (26-3)
Just as they looked poised to finally take the #1 ranking when Pitt beat UConn, the Sooners had a decided setback. Early in the first half of a big matchup with Texas, Player of the Year favorite, Blake Griffin took a shot to the head and ended up leaving the game with a concussion. Oklahoma battled hard, but couldn't overcome their loss. Further proving how much Griffin means to them, Oklahoma then went on to lose it's next game at home against Kansas as well. Blake is back now though and OU is right back to it's winning ways, winning easily against Texas Tech on Saturday. Oklahoma wraps up at #15 Missouri on Wednesday and hosts Oklahoma St. on Saturday. Barring something unexpected, Oklahoma figures to grab the last of the 4 top seeds.
5. Memphis (26-3)
Memphis just keeps on winning, but can't seem to move up the rankings at all. The Tigers have now won 20 straight games this season and a ridiculous 56 consecutive conference games. But there in lies the problem. Memphis just doesn't get the respect that Big East or ACC schools get due to their vastly inferior conference. The last legit competition they faced (and you might say the only legit competition they've faced all year) was Syracuse, Georgetown, and Xavier. Those 3 teams happen to represent all 3 losses for the Tigers. As I've mentioned before, John Calipari has a way of having his team ready come tourney time despite this, but I won't be all that surprised to see the Tigers make an early exit this time around.
6. Lousiville (23-5)
The Cardinals are perhaps the forgotten Big East team at this point, but they certainly should not be overlooked. Since our last look, they've reeled off 4 straight wins including beating Marquette yesterday. They finish up hosting Seton Hall on Wednesday and at West Virginia on Saturday. Both games should result in wins for Louisville and I would look out for them as a #2 seed in the NCAA tourney. Rick Pitino is a master come March, and with the 1-2 punch of Earl Clark and Terrence Williams, the Cards could make some noise.
7. Duke (24-5)
It took a while, but Duke finally managed to turn things around. After some lineup changes, Coach K seems to have hit upon a winning combination by starting freshman guard Eliott Williams. Williams has provided a big spark since being given the opportunity and it's translated to success for the Blue Devils. They've won their last 4 in a row including an outstanding performance in a rematch against Wake Forest, going for 101 in the 10 point victory. John Scheyer and Gerald Henderson both had career games with 30 and 35 respectively and momentum seems to be back on Duke's side. They close with two tough games, hosting #24 Florida State on Tuesday and then heading 8 miles down the road to Chapel Hill to face the #2 Tar Heels on Sunday. Duke is looking at a 2 or 3 seed for the tournament and seem poised to make their deepest run in the past several years.
8. Michigan St. (23-5)
The Spartans fell off a bit after getting blown out at #19 Purdue two weeks ago, but have rebounded with wins against Wisconsin, Iowa, and #23 Illinois since. Michigan St. heads to Indiana to face a pretty awful Hoosier squad on Tuesday before finishing up at home in a rematch against Purdue. That game should mean a lot to Tom Izzo's squad as they look for redemption and possibly a higher seed for March Madness. Kalin Lucas and Raymar Morgan have been solid for the team all year, but they'll need to be at their best come tournament time if the folks in East Lansing have hopes of making it very far.
9. Kansas (24-5)
The Jayhawks have quietly chugged along unnoticed for most of the year and now find themselves in the Top Ten in March. Kansas has lost only once in it's last 14 games, that being a narrow 2 point loss on the road at #15 Missouri. Along the way, they've knocked off #4 Oklahoma (without Blake Griffin it should be noted) but not much of anybody else. Still, Bill Self's squad can finish out on top of the Big 12 by winning their last 2 games, at Texas Tech on Wednesday, and home to Texas on Saturday. Junior guard Sherron Collins is extremely talented, scoring 18.5 points per game to go along with 4 assists, and sophomore center Cole Aldrich averages a double double with his 15.1 points and 10.8 boards per game. I'm not sure how well the Jayhawks will hold up against increased competition in the NCAA tournament, but they'll enter as one of the hotter teams in the country if they continue their winning ways.
10. Wake Forest (22-5)
After a bit of a cold spell, Wake Forest has seemingly found it's stride again, having won 4 of it's last 5. The lone loss coming at #7 Duke, when the Blue Devils put on perhaps their best performance of the season. Granted, the other 3 wins the Demon Deacons have had since we last looked at the Top Ten all came against the 3 weakest teams in the ACC, but it provides a confidence boost if nothing else. Wake faces Maryland on the road Tuesday before finishing up at home against #18 Clemson on Sunday. Looking at either a 3 or a 4 seed for the NCAA depending on their finish, Dino Gaudio's team can be a difficult matchup for some. They are one of the longest and most athletic teams in the country and few schools have a defensive answer to the trio of Jeff Teague, James Johnson, and Al-Farouq Aminu. Despite some setbacks, I still like Wake to make it perhaps as far as the Elite 8.
1. Connecticut (27-2)
Two weeks ago I wrote that UConn would likely fade away from the top spot after a loss to Pittsburgh. Well, I was right about that, but they quickly regained the spot today. Since the lost to Pittsburgh, the Huskies have taken down South Florida, Marquette, and Notre Dame. Oh, and Jim Calhoun had a little incident you might have heard about as well. Connecticut can relax this week as they don't play again until Saturday, but that game is a big one as they have their shot at redemption on the road at Pittsburgh. Regardless of the outcome of that game, the Huskies only need a solid showing in the Big East Tournament to get a #1 seed in the Big Dance.
2. North Carolina (25-3)
UNC has continued to climb back towards the top of the rankings where they were for much of the early part of the season, falling just short of the top spot. Since we last looked, the Tar Heels have knocked off neighboring NC State, as well as ACC bottom dweller Georgia Tech. They dropped a tough battle in College Park in between however, falling to Maryland in overtime thanks in large part to a triple double from Greivis Vasquez. UNC has 2 games left in their regular season, first against a desperate Virginia Tech team who needs one more big win to ensure themselves a spot in the tourney on Wednesday, followed up by a season ending show down at home against #7 Duke on Sunday. Much like the Huskies, a solid performance in the ACC will all but lock up a #1 seed in the NCAA tourney.
3. Pittsburgh (26-3)
Pitt managed to claim the top spot last week after their strong performance at UConn, but it was fleeting as they dropped a game at Providence, where they were outplayed the entire way. Wins over DePaul and Seton Hall didn't do much to help the Panthers as those teams sit near the bottom of the Big East. Jamie Dixon's squad finishes up with 2 tough games though, hosting Marquette on Wednesday and then UConn on Saturday. If the team can at least split those games and make it to the semi-finals of the Big East Tourney, they will likely grab a #1 seed on selection Sunday as well. I personally still think this team will be a beast in the NCAA tournament due to the presence of big man DeJuan Blair.
4. Oklahoma (26-3)
Just as they looked poised to finally take the #1 ranking when Pitt beat UConn, the Sooners had a decided setback. Early in the first half of a big matchup with Texas, Player of the Year favorite, Blake Griffin took a shot to the head and ended up leaving the game with a concussion. Oklahoma battled hard, but couldn't overcome their loss. Further proving how much Griffin means to them, Oklahoma then went on to lose it's next game at home against Kansas as well. Blake is back now though and OU is right back to it's winning ways, winning easily against Texas Tech on Saturday. Oklahoma wraps up at #15 Missouri on Wednesday and hosts Oklahoma St. on Saturday. Barring something unexpected, Oklahoma figures to grab the last of the 4 top seeds.
5. Memphis (26-3)
Memphis just keeps on winning, but can't seem to move up the rankings at all. The Tigers have now won 20 straight games this season and a ridiculous 56 consecutive conference games. But there in lies the problem. Memphis just doesn't get the respect that Big East or ACC schools get due to their vastly inferior conference. The last legit competition they faced (and you might say the only legit competition they've faced all year) was Syracuse, Georgetown, and Xavier. Those 3 teams happen to represent all 3 losses for the Tigers. As I've mentioned before, John Calipari has a way of having his team ready come tourney time despite this, but I won't be all that surprised to see the Tigers make an early exit this time around.
6. Lousiville (23-5)
The Cardinals are perhaps the forgotten Big East team at this point, but they certainly should not be overlooked. Since our last look, they've reeled off 4 straight wins including beating Marquette yesterday. They finish up hosting Seton Hall on Wednesday and at West Virginia on Saturday. Both games should result in wins for Louisville and I would look out for them as a #2 seed in the NCAA tourney. Rick Pitino is a master come March, and with the 1-2 punch of Earl Clark and Terrence Williams, the Cards could make some noise.
7. Duke (24-5)
It took a while, but Duke finally managed to turn things around. After some lineup changes, Coach K seems to have hit upon a winning combination by starting freshman guard Eliott Williams. Williams has provided a big spark since being given the opportunity and it's translated to success for the Blue Devils. They've won their last 4 in a row including an outstanding performance in a rematch against Wake Forest, going for 101 in the 10 point victory. John Scheyer and Gerald Henderson both had career games with 30 and 35 respectively and momentum seems to be back on Duke's side. They close with two tough games, hosting #24 Florida State on Tuesday and then heading 8 miles down the road to Chapel Hill to face the #2 Tar Heels on Sunday. Duke is looking at a 2 or 3 seed for the tournament and seem poised to make their deepest run in the past several years.
8. Michigan St. (23-5)
The Spartans fell off a bit after getting blown out at #19 Purdue two weeks ago, but have rebounded with wins against Wisconsin, Iowa, and #23 Illinois since. Michigan St. heads to Indiana to face a pretty awful Hoosier squad on Tuesday before finishing up at home in a rematch against Purdue. That game should mean a lot to Tom Izzo's squad as they look for redemption and possibly a higher seed for March Madness. Kalin Lucas and Raymar Morgan have been solid for the team all year, but they'll need to be at their best come tournament time if the folks in East Lansing have hopes of making it very far.
9. Kansas (24-5)
The Jayhawks have quietly chugged along unnoticed for most of the year and now find themselves in the Top Ten in March. Kansas has lost only once in it's last 14 games, that being a narrow 2 point loss on the road at #15 Missouri. Along the way, they've knocked off #4 Oklahoma (without Blake Griffin it should be noted) but not much of anybody else. Still, Bill Self's squad can finish out on top of the Big 12 by winning their last 2 games, at Texas Tech on Wednesday, and home to Texas on Saturday. Junior guard Sherron Collins is extremely talented, scoring 18.5 points per game to go along with 4 assists, and sophomore center Cole Aldrich averages a double double with his 15.1 points and 10.8 boards per game. I'm not sure how well the Jayhawks will hold up against increased competition in the NCAA tournament, but they'll enter as one of the hotter teams in the country if they continue their winning ways.
10. Wake Forest (22-5)
After a bit of a cold spell, Wake Forest has seemingly found it's stride again, having won 4 of it's last 5. The lone loss coming at #7 Duke, when the Blue Devils put on perhaps their best performance of the season. Granted, the other 3 wins the Demon Deacons have had since we last looked at the Top Ten all came against the 3 weakest teams in the ACC, but it provides a confidence boost if nothing else. Wake faces Maryland on the road Tuesday before finishing up at home against #18 Clemson on Sunday. Looking at either a 3 or a 4 seed for the NCAA depending on their finish, Dino Gaudio's team can be a difficult matchup for some. They are one of the longest and most athletic teams in the country and few schools have a defensive answer to the trio of Jeff Teague, James Johnson, and Al-Farouq Aminu. Despite some setbacks, I still like Wake to make it perhaps as far as the Elite 8.
A Look at the AP Top Ten
Another week has passed and a lot has changed amongst the AP Top Ten rankings. As March rapidly approaches, many teams are out to prove themselves as contenders while others just hope to hang on to a top seed for the tournament. Let's take a look at the current standings in the polls.
1. Connecticut (24-2)
I think it's safe to say this is the last time you'll see UConn at the top of the heap for awhile. #4 Pittsburgh came to town last night and beat them by 8, which will surely drop the Huskies a few spots next week at this time. The homestretch doesn't get any easier either as Connecticut still has to travel to #10 Marquette and has a rematch with the Panthers in Pittsburgh to finish out the regular season. Hasheem Thabeet has been a monster for UConn, but losing second leading scorer Jerome Dyson for the year could prove very costly.
2. Oklahoma (25-1)
The Sooners are one of the teams that haven't seen much change in the past week, they continue to dominate Big 12 play with no signs of slowing down. They'll surely be #1 in next week's poll and they deserve it. Blake Griffin continued his quest for the National Player of the Year honors by dropping 40 points and 23 boards against Texas Tech on Saturday. That 19 point win coupled with a 15 point victory at Baylor last week proves Oklahoma's conference dominance and a matchup at Texas on Saturday looks to be their only possible challenge between now and tournament time.
3. North Carolina (23-2)
UNC was everybody's preseason pick, but a brief stumble in early January had some wondering. The Tar Heels have been working on erasing that doubt as of late, defeating both #9 Duke and Miami on the road last week. UNC had issues with the red hot Blue Devils in the first half of their matchup, but remained cool and turned it up in the 2nd half before claiming a 14 point victory. Putting up 101 on a Duke team that was only allowing 61 per game goes a long ways towards showing just how incredible the UNC offense really is. The ACC provides a challenge in almost every conference game, but the real test for Carolina will be the season finale at home against Duke, who should be motivated more so than normal.
4. Pittsburgh (24-2)
The Panthers will be on their way up come next Monday too. Knocking off the #1 team on the road and moving within a half game of the Big East lead capped off another great week for Jamie Dixon's squad. Pittsburgh easily handled Cincinnati last Saturday and continued to get the most out of their star big man, DeJuan Blair. If Pittsburgh can finish out the season without any miscues, including hosting UConn on March 7, they should find themselves as a #1 seed in the Big Dance.
5. Memphis (22-3)
Memphis continued to embarass their Conference USA opponents since my last look at the Top 10, defeating Tulane 63-37, and Southern Miss 72-47. Memphis remains hard to gauge as they simply don't have any competition within their conference. Playing low level competition isn't likely going to help them prepare for what they'll face in the tournament, but it'll still likely earn them a 1 or 2 seed. They've fared well the past few years despite the weak conference opposition, so perhaps John Calipari will have his team ready again this season. Either way, one thing is for sure, we'll find out soon enough.
6. Michigan St. (20-4)
The Spartans haven't played since knocking off in state rival Michigan on 2/10, but face #19 Purdue for the first of two matchups tonight. Junior Raymar Morgan has been solid all year for Michigan State, averaging 12.3 points and 6 rebounds per game. He will certainly play a large role in any success they might have in the NCAA tourney, but the question is going to be who else steps up. Due to a lackluster Big Ten conference, MSU will need to essentially run the table to have a hope at a #2 seed.
7. Louisville (19-5)
Louisville has has perhaps the most unusual week of anybody in the Top Ten. They played at Notre Dame last Thursday and were absolutely dismantled 90-57 in a game where Luke Harangody went off for 32 points and 17 boards. In response, the Cardinals took Big East weakling Depaul to the cleaners on Sunday, winning 99-54. #10 Marquette is the only ranked team left on Louisville's schedule, however the Notre Dame game proves that the Big East doesn't offer many nights off. Rick Pitino certainly knows how to get it done in March, but does he have the players to aid his success this time around?
8. Wake Forest (19-4)
Wake Forest suffered another unexpected loss when they played at NC State on Wednesday, dropping the game 82-76. They then turned around and pounded on Florida State at home 86-63 on Saturday. This week brings a chance for revenge when they host Georgia Tech tomorrow night, before heading to Durham and a rematch against the Blue Devils on Sunday evening. Wake Forest currently sits tied for 3rd in the ACC with Clemson, but could find themselves as high as 2nd if they win both matchups this week. Jeff Teague continues to play at a very high level and has plenty of support from very athletic forwards James Johnson and Al-Farouq Aminu. All three will need to continue to play at their best to survive the end of the regular season and an always brutal ACC tourney.
9. Duke (20-5)
The rough stretch for Duke continues to get worse as they went 0-2 last week. The Blue Devils played perhaps their best half of basketball against UNC on Wednesday night before falling apart in the 2nd and giving up 101 to the Tar Heels in a tough home loss. As a followup effort, Duke headed to Boston College on Sunday night, where despite leading for the majority of the game, they eventually fell to the Eagles, 80-74. This week brings an out of conference trip to NYC to face St. John's on Thursday, followed by a home game against Wake Forest on Sunday. Revenge should be a huge motivating factor in that one as Duke lost in the final seconds in Winston-Salem on 1/28.
10. Marquette (21-4)
The Golden Eagles split last week's games, dropping a big matchup with Villanova on Tuesday and then rebounding with a 14 point win at home against St. John's on Saturday. They face Seton Hall and Georgetown this week before taking on a murderer's row of sorts to end February and begin March. 4 teams are within a game of each other at the top of the Big East standings. One of those is Marquette, and the other three are Connecticut, Pittsburgh, and Louisville, who the Golden Eagles play in consecutive games between 2/25 and 3/4. Essentially this means that Marquette has the ability to claim the top spot in the conference heading into the the Big East tourney, but it's a daunting task to say the very least.
1. Connecticut (24-2)
I think it's safe to say this is the last time you'll see UConn at the top of the heap for awhile. #4 Pittsburgh came to town last night and beat them by 8, which will surely drop the Huskies a few spots next week at this time. The homestretch doesn't get any easier either as Connecticut still has to travel to #10 Marquette and has a rematch with the Panthers in Pittsburgh to finish out the regular season. Hasheem Thabeet has been a monster for UConn, but losing second leading scorer Jerome Dyson for the year could prove very costly.
The Sooners are one of the teams that haven't seen much change in the past week, they continue to dominate Big 12 play with no signs of slowing down. They'll surely be #1 in next week's poll and they deserve it. Blake Griffin continued his quest for the National Player of the Year honors by dropping 40 points and 23 boards against Texas Tech on Saturday. That 19 point win coupled with a 15 point victory at Baylor last week proves Oklahoma's conference dominance and a matchup at Texas on Saturday looks to be their only possible challenge between now and tournament time.
3. North Carolina (23-2)
UNC was everybody's preseason pick, but a brief stumble in early January had some wondering. The Tar Heels have been working on erasing that doubt as of late, defeating both #9 Duke and Miami on the road last week. UNC had issues with the red hot Blue Devils in the first half of their matchup, but remained cool and turned it up in the 2nd half before claiming a 14 point victory. Putting up 101 on a Duke team that was only allowing 61 per game goes a long ways towards showing just how incredible the UNC offense really is. The ACC provides a challenge in almost every conference game, but the real test for Carolina will be the season finale at home against Duke, who should be motivated more so than normal.
4. Pittsburgh (24-2)
The Panthers will be on their way up come next Monday too. Knocking off the #1 team on the road and moving within a half game of the Big East lead capped off another great week for Jamie Dixon's squad. Pittsburgh easily handled Cincinnati last Saturday and continued to get the most out of their star big man, DeJuan Blair. If Pittsburgh can finish out the season without any miscues, including hosting UConn on March 7, they should find themselves as a #1 seed in the Big Dance.
Memphis continued to embarass their Conference USA opponents since my last look at the Top 10, defeating Tulane 63-37, and Southern Miss 72-47. Memphis remains hard to gauge as they simply don't have any competition within their conference. Playing low level competition isn't likely going to help them prepare for what they'll face in the tournament, but it'll still likely earn them a 1 or 2 seed. They've fared well the past few years despite the weak conference opposition, so perhaps John Calipari will have his team ready again this season. Either way, one thing is for sure, we'll find out soon enough.
6. Michigan St. (20-4)
The Spartans haven't played since knocking off in state rival Michigan on 2/10, but face #19 Purdue for the first of two matchups tonight. Junior Raymar Morgan has been solid all year for Michigan State, averaging 12.3 points and 6 rebounds per game. He will certainly play a large role in any success they might have in the NCAA tourney, but the question is going to be who else steps up. Due to a lackluster Big Ten conference, MSU will need to essentially run the table to have a hope at a #2 seed.
7. Louisville (19-5)
Louisville has has perhaps the most unusual week of anybody in the Top Ten. They played at Notre Dame last Thursday and were absolutely dismantled 90-57 in a game where Luke Harangody went off for 32 points and 17 boards. In response, the Cardinals took Big East weakling Depaul to the cleaners on Sunday, winning 99-54. #10 Marquette is the only ranked team left on Louisville's schedule, however the Notre Dame game proves that the Big East doesn't offer many nights off. Rick Pitino certainly knows how to get it done in March, but does he have the players to aid his success this time around?
Wake Forest suffered another unexpected loss when they played at NC State on Wednesday, dropping the game 82-76. They then turned around and pounded on Florida State at home 86-63 on Saturday. This week brings a chance for revenge when they host Georgia Tech tomorrow night, before heading to Durham and a rematch against the Blue Devils on Sunday evening. Wake Forest currently sits tied for 3rd in the ACC with Clemson, but could find themselves as high as 2nd if they win both matchups this week. Jeff Teague continues to play at a very high level and has plenty of support from very athletic forwards James Johnson and Al-Farouq Aminu. All three will need to continue to play at their best to survive the end of the regular season and an always brutal ACC tourney.
9. Duke (20-5)
The rough stretch for Duke continues to get worse as they went 0-2 last week. The Blue Devils played perhaps their best half of basketball against UNC on Wednesday night before falling apart in the 2nd and giving up 101 to the Tar Heels in a tough home loss. As a followup effort, Duke headed to Boston College on Sunday night, where despite leading for the majority of the game, they eventually fell to the Eagles, 80-74. This week brings an out of conference trip to NYC to face St. John's on Thursday, followed by a home game against Wake Forest on Sunday. Revenge should be a huge motivating factor in that one as Duke lost in the final seconds in Winston-Salem on 1/28.
10. Marquette (21-4)
The Golden Eagles split last week's games, dropping a big matchup with Villanova on Tuesday and then rebounding with a 14 point win at home against St. John's on Saturday. They face Seton Hall and Georgetown this week before taking on a murderer's row of sorts to end February and begin March. 4 teams are within a game of each other at the top of the Big East standings. One of those is Marquette, and the other three are Connecticut, Pittsburgh, and Louisville, who the Golden Eagles play in consecutive games between 2/25 and 3/4. Essentially this means that Marquette has the ability to claim the top spot in the conference heading into the the Big East tourney, but it's a daunting task to say the very least.
A Look at the AP Top Ten
It's been a month since I last ran down the AP Top Ten rankings in the NCAA, and a lot has changed in the meantime. Moving forward, we will keep a closer eye on college hoops as March Madness approaches. Number one seems to be a dangerous place to be the past few weeks, but UConn managed to hold on to the top spot for a second week, only time will tell if they can keep themselves there for much longer.
1. Connecticut (22-1)
Simply put, Connecticut is the best team in the best conference in college basketball. While the rest of the Big East has been busy beating up on one another, UConn has just kept plugging along with win after win. Their lone loss came at the end of December to a Georgetown team that has fallen drastically as of late. Since that point, no team has come closer than within 6 points of the Huskies and many have fallen by a far larger margin. While they only have 6 games remaining, 2 of them come against the #4 ranked team in Pittsburgh. A battle against a tough Marquette team also looms, and UConn will need to win just about every game if they want to finish the regular season at the top of the Big East.
2. Oklahoma (23-1)
Oklahoma is the best team that nobody really talks about. Sure, most people recognize Blake Griffin, and he's likely the odds on favorite for the Naismith Award at this point as the best player in the NCAA, but beyond that, Oklahoma remains largely unnoticed. Part of the reason for this is that the Big Twelve just isn't nearly as competitive as some of the other conferences out there. The Sooners haven't been challenged in conference play as of yet, with a 9-0 record , winning with ease more often than not. The only other conference teams in the Top 25 are Kansas and Missouri, both of whom Oklahoma still has a date with. Barring some unforeseen collapse, Oklahoma has a pretty easy road to a #1 seed in the NCAA tourney ahead of them, but will remain largely untested when that time comes.
3. North Carolina (21-2)
As I stated in my previous look at the Top Ten a month ago, the Big East is the best top to bottom conference, but the ACC boasts the best top 4 in the land. Those 4 teams are all in the Top 11, and UNC is at the top of the heap. A huge letdown against Boston College, who has proven to be better than most expected, and a narrow loss against a very good Wake Forest team are the only blemishes on the Tar Heels record at this point. Their remaining schedule is favorable however as #6 Duke is their only ranked opponent in regular season play. They do have to face the Blue Devils twice however, the first of which takes place at Cameron Indoor Stadium tonight. North Carolina will look to finish strong and secure a #1 seed and the ability to play in nearby Greensboro, NC in the opening rounds of the NCAA Tourney.
4. Pittsburgh (22-2)
One of the multiple teams to see #1 and fall this year are the Pitt Panthers. Conference losses to #7 Louisville and #13 Villanova, both on the road, won't hurt their ranking too badly come tournament time, but 2 matchups with #1 UConn as well as hosting #10 Marquette provide serious hurdles beforehand. The Panthers are a very tough, physical, and well-balanced team, a combination that will likely propel them deep into the NCAA tournament. DeJuan Blair has been nothing short of a beast so far this season and will wear down opponents on a nightly basis. The remaining schedule will shed a great deal of light on just how legit a team Pitt really is.
5. Louisville (18-4)
The 3rd Big East time in the Top 5, Louisville has been a bit of a surprise this season. While most expected them to be a very good team, there aren't likely to be many people that can claim they thought they were Top 5 caliber. The Cardinals have only lost one Big East game, to the top ranked Huskies, but have some puzzling losses earlier in the season, including a blowout against Western Kentucky, as well as a 1 point loss at home against UNLV. With a relatively speaking "easy" conference schedule remaining, Louisville could possibly be in line for a 2 seed come tourney time. Nothing can be taken for granted in the Big East however.
6. Duke (20-3)
The Blue Devils gained the #1 ranking a few weeks back and promptly hit a rough patch. After impressively coming back from 13 down late in the game at Wake Forest, Duke tied the game up with 10 seconds left. A turnover call against Duke gave Wake Forest the chance they needed, and after a horrible defensive effort on an inbound play, James Johnson put in an easy layup with under a second left to knock off the top ranked Blue Devils. Duke recovered by pounding Virgina at home, but then put on an abysmal performance at Clemson, losing by 27. Looking to again recover with a home game, Duke was very flat in the first half against Miami, but again made a comeback, this time hanging on for the win. It doesn't get any easier though as #3 UNC makes the 8 mile trip to Durham tonight, and the Blue Devils head to Chapel Hill to finish the regular season. Somewhere in between, Duke gets a rematch with the Deamon Deacons as well. While they would have to virtually run the table to claim a #1 seed in the NCAA tournament, a 2 or 3 seed is well within their reach with a decent finish.
7. Wake Forest (18-3)
Yet another of the teams that lost promptly after reaching #1 this season. Wake has lost 3 of the last 5, including a home game against Virginia Tech, a narrow loss at the ACC's cellar dweller Georgia Tech, and a 27 point blowout at the hands of Miami. The win against Duke was a solid one for the Deacs, but the rematch at the Blue Devils on February 22, should prove difficult. The rest of Wake's schedule looks decent on paper however, as they play the bottom 3 teams in the conference before finishing up at home against #12 Clemson. When they are on top of their game, Wake Forest has looked like the most talented team in the country this year, but they'll need consistancy to make a run in the post season.
8. Memphis (20-3)
The biggest downfall for Memphis is the fact that they play in Conference USA and have virtually no competition. The Tigers haven't lost a conference game since March of 2006. This pretty much forces Memphis to play a tough out of conference schedule each year. Their losses this season come to #14 Xavier and previously ranked Syracuse and Georgetown. They are coming off a beatdown of #18 Gonzaga in Spokane, which will help boost their RPI heading into tourney time and it would be a surprise if they didn't run the table in conference to finish the season. Memphis should finish in the Top Ten and will likely be looking at a 2 or 3 seed.
9. Michigan St. (19-4)
The Spartans are another team that has quietly gained steam throughout the year. Losing early to two ACC teams in Maryland and UNC, Michigan St. then went on an 11 game winning streak and moved out to 17-2. Losses at home to Northwestern and Penn State don't look too good at this point, but the middle of the pack teams in the Big Ten have been very competitive with one another this year. Two games against #20 Purdue as well as a tilt with #22 Illinois will give MSU a chance to prove they deserve their spot in the Top Ten. Coach Tom Izzo is one of the best in the business and will certainly look to have his team ready to play their best come March.
10. Marquette (20-3)
Most wouldn't have expected the Golden Eagles to make it until February 6th without losing a Big East matchup, but that's exactly what they did. Their first conference loss came at South Florida, and was only by a single point. Unfortunately for Marquette however, it is going to continue to get tougher from here on out. A three game stretch consisting of home against UConn, at Louisvile, and at Pitt, before finishing up at home against Syracuse, will force them to be at their best if they want to finish up in the Top Ten. Guards Jerel McNeal and Wesley Matthews are averaging 20 and 19 points per game respectively and provide one of the best backcourts in the nation, but Marquette is completely lacking of a presence inside, which will hurt them desperately against both the Huskies and Panthers.
1. Connecticut (22-1)
Simply put, Connecticut is the best team in the best conference in college basketball. While the rest of the Big East has been busy beating up on one another, UConn has just kept plugging along with win after win. Their lone loss came at the end of December to a Georgetown team that has fallen drastically as of late. Since that point, no team has come closer than within 6 points of the Huskies and many have fallen by a far larger margin. While they only have 6 games remaining, 2 of them come against the #4 ranked team in Pittsburgh. A battle against a tough Marquette team also looms, and UConn will need to win just about every game if they want to finish the regular season at the top of the Big East.
2. Oklahoma (23-1)
Oklahoma is the best team that nobody really talks about. Sure, most people recognize Blake Griffin, and he's likely the odds on favorite for the Naismith Award at this point as the best player in the NCAA, but beyond that, Oklahoma remains largely unnoticed. Part of the reason for this is that the Big Twelve just isn't nearly as competitive as some of the other conferences out there. The Sooners haven't been challenged in conference play as of yet, with a 9-0 record , winning with ease more often than not. The only other conference teams in the Top 25 are Kansas and Missouri, both of whom Oklahoma still has a date with. Barring some unforeseen collapse, Oklahoma has a pretty easy road to a #1 seed in the NCAA tourney ahead of them, but will remain largely untested when that time comes.
As I stated in my previous look at the Top Ten a month ago, the Big East is the best top to bottom conference, but the ACC boasts the best top 4 in the land. Those 4 teams are all in the Top 11, and UNC is at the top of the heap. A huge letdown against Boston College, who has proven to be better than most expected, and a narrow loss against a very good Wake Forest team are the only blemishes on the Tar Heels record at this point. Their remaining schedule is favorable however as #6 Duke is their only ranked opponent in regular season play. They do have to face the Blue Devils twice however, the first of which takes place at Cameron Indoor Stadium tonight. North Carolina will look to finish strong and secure a #1 seed and the ability to play in nearby Greensboro, NC in the opening rounds of the NCAA Tourney.
4. Pittsburgh (22-2)
One of the multiple teams to see #1 and fall this year are the Pitt Panthers. Conference losses to #7 Louisville and #13 Villanova, both on the road, won't hurt their ranking too badly come tournament time, but 2 matchups with #1 UConn as well as hosting #10 Marquette provide serious hurdles beforehand. The Panthers are a very tough, physical, and well-balanced team, a combination that will likely propel them deep into the NCAA tournament. DeJuan Blair has been nothing short of a beast so far this season and will wear down opponents on a nightly basis. The remaining schedule will shed a great deal of light on just how legit a team Pitt really is.
5. Louisville (18-4)
The 3rd Big East time in the Top 5, Louisville has been a bit of a surprise this season. While most expected them to be a very good team, there aren't likely to be many people that can claim they thought they were Top 5 caliber. The Cardinals have only lost one Big East game, to the top ranked Huskies, but have some puzzling losses earlier in the season, including a blowout against Western Kentucky, as well as a 1 point loss at home against UNLV. With a relatively speaking "easy" conference schedule remaining, Louisville could possibly be in line for a 2 seed come tourney time. Nothing can be taken for granted in the Big East however.
The Blue Devils gained the #1 ranking a few weeks back and promptly hit a rough patch. After impressively coming back from 13 down late in the game at Wake Forest, Duke tied the game up with 10 seconds left. A turnover call against Duke gave Wake Forest the chance they needed, and after a horrible defensive effort on an inbound play, James Johnson put in an easy layup with under a second left to knock off the top ranked Blue Devils. Duke recovered by pounding Virgina at home, but then put on an abysmal performance at Clemson, losing by 27. Looking to again recover with a home game, Duke was very flat in the first half against Miami, but again made a comeback, this time hanging on for the win. It doesn't get any easier though as #3 UNC makes the 8 mile trip to Durham tonight, and the Blue Devils head to Chapel Hill to finish the regular season. Somewhere in between, Duke gets a rematch with the Deamon Deacons as well. While they would have to virtually run the table to claim a #1 seed in the NCAA tournament, a 2 or 3 seed is well within their reach with a decent finish.
7. Wake Forest (18-3)
Yet another of the teams that lost promptly after reaching #1 this season. Wake has lost 3 of the last 5, including a home game against Virginia Tech, a narrow loss at the ACC's cellar dweller Georgia Tech, and a 27 point blowout at the hands of Miami. The win against Duke was a solid one for the Deacs, but the rematch at the Blue Devils on February 22, should prove difficult. The rest of Wake's schedule looks decent on paper however, as they play the bottom 3 teams in the conference before finishing up at home against #12 Clemson. When they are on top of their game, Wake Forest has looked like the most talented team in the country this year, but they'll need consistancy to make a run in the post season.
8. Memphis (20-3)
The biggest downfall for Memphis is the fact that they play in Conference USA and have virtually no competition. The Tigers haven't lost a conference game since March of 2006. This pretty much forces Memphis to play a tough out of conference schedule each year. Their losses this season come to #14 Xavier and previously ranked Syracuse and Georgetown. They are coming off a beatdown of #18 Gonzaga in Spokane, which will help boost their RPI heading into tourney time and it would be a surprise if they didn't run the table in conference to finish the season. Memphis should finish in the Top Ten and will likely be looking at a 2 or 3 seed.
The Spartans are another team that has quietly gained steam throughout the year. Losing early to two ACC teams in Maryland and UNC, Michigan St. then went on an 11 game winning streak and moved out to 17-2. Losses at home to Northwestern and Penn State don't look too good at this point, but the middle of the pack teams in the Big Ten have been very competitive with one another this year. Two games against #20 Purdue as well as a tilt with #22 Illinois will give MSU a chance to prove they deserve their spot in the Top Ten. Coach Tom Izzo is one of the best in the business and will certainly look to have his team ready to play their best come March.
10. Marquette (20-3)
Most wouldn't have expected the Golden Eagles to make it until February 6th without losing a Big East matchup, but that's exactly what they did. Their first conference loss came at South Florida, and was only by a single point. Unfortunately for Marquette however, it is going to continue to get tougher from here on out. A three game stretch consisting of home against UConn, at Louisvile, and at Pitt, before finishing up at home against Syracuse, will force them to be at their best if they want to finish up in the Top Ten. Guards Jerel McNeal and Wesley Matthews are averaging 20 and 19 points per game respectively and provide one of the best backcourts in the nation, but Marquette is completely lacking of a presence inside, which will hurt them desperately against both the Huskies and Panthers.
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