NHL Playoff Predictions - Round Two
--Written By: Devin Dombrowski --
One round down, three more to go. For the teams involved, four wins down and twelve more to glory. Before getting to my picks for round two, I’d like to discuss the first round for a little bit.
1. Welcome to the playoffs Columbus. You have a stud rookie goalie who could possibly win both the Calder Trophy and the Vezina Trophy, but none of that mattered once the second season started. The only thing I could think of when pondering the first post-season appearance in Columbus franchise history was how much it resembled Elaine dancing on “Seinfeld”. It was a nice effort but to everyone else watching, an epic disaster. Hopefully they have more playoff appearances in the future, and hopefully they actually win a game or two next time.
2. Happy 100th season Montreal! This season could potentially be classified as a natural disaster up in Montreal. I mean, I know they limped into the playoffs and definitely weren’t deserving of any playoff glory, but I thought they would at least put up a fight against Boston. This is one of their most hated rivals. Just one year ago the top seeded Canadiens were given all they could handle by the 8th seeded Bruins, couldn’t the Habs have at least returned the favor and looked like they cared? I think the only thing worse than missing the playoffs is getting swept in the first round. Embarrassing.
3. Want to win in the playoffs? Here is your key: goaltending. It’s the reason teams like Philly, Montreal, San Jose and St Louis are going home early. Nothing against their respective goaltenders, but goaltenders are the players that absolutely have to turn it up a notch once the playoffs start. It’s the reason a little seventh seeded team like the Rangers can put up such a fight against Washington (and I covered this very exact scenario in my first round picks). Despite losing in the first round and somewhat struggling, if the match-up stays Lundqvist vs. Theodore, the Rangers are moving on and not the Caps. It’s the reason why Buffalo would’ve at least put up a fight against Boston and it’s definitely the reason why the Pens went to the Finals last season (and have a great shot again this year).
4. Can we PLEASE stop with this trend of having the home crowd dress the same? PLEASE?? I’m not going to pick on crowds in Washington and Pittsburgh (the two cities where I first noticed the trend this year) because Buffalo has been guilty of this in the past as well. I’m going to pick on all crowds guilty of this trend, regardless of what city it is in. This goes for the NBA too. Nothing screams “Amateur Hour” more than this trend. Why can’t the fans just wear shirts, jerseys and related team merchandise while rooting on their team like a bunch of rabid jackals? Why do we have to hand out matching shirts and to create this illusion on television? It’s embarrassing. It started with the real fans getting priced out by corporate greed, and now we’re giving those wagon hoppers identical shirts to give this idea to the home viewer that the crowd is “crazy” and “die-hard”. I can see this for a fan base like the Carolina Hurricanes since they could easily change their team name to the Carolina Bandwagons, but please… the real fans aren’t falling for this. STOP IT ALREADY! (Ok, I’m done ranting).
5. San Jose…whoa there buddy. I mentioned in my first round picks that we’ve seen this before but that this year will be different. I guess you can count me in with the rest of the idiots who thought this year was going to be different. Once a choke artist, always a choke artist. For as bad as I’ve seen fans of other teams react (ahem Buffalo), I can only imagine what San Jose fans must be feeling right now.
6. Finally, here are the standings through the first round in our pick contest. Each person received five points for picking the series winner and an extra five points if they picked the number of games correctly.
Chuck: 35 Points (Boston, Pittsburgh in 6, Detroit in 4, Carolina, Washington)
Scott: 30 Points (Boston, Pittsburgh in 6, Detroit, Washington in 7)
Devin: 25 Points (Boston, Detroit, Vancouver, Chicago, Washington)
Brian: 20 Points (Boston in 4, Detroit, Carolina)
And now on to the picks for round two:
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Detroit Red Wings (2) vs Anaheim Ducks (8)
Luckily I’m not a fan of Detroit because this series would scare the crap out of me if I were. Remember the 2002-03 season when Anaheim came out of nowhere to take the Western Conference crown before losing to New Jersey in seven games? Few things to note:
1. Mike Babcock was the coach of that Ducks team and he is now… the coach of the Red Wings.
2. The Ducks were a 7 seed that year and swept Detroit in the first round.
This year’s Ducks remind me exactly like that team. Maybe it’s because nobody expected them to make it past the first round, maybe it’s because they are being led by a relatively unknown goaltender, I haven’t decided just yet. One thing for sure, Detroit better bring their best game or they’ll be joining San Jose on the golf course soon.
I thought Detroit would struggle a bit more with Columbus than they did. If Detroit has one glaring weakness, it’s goaltending. Combine that with the fact that Columbus was led by rookie sensation Steve Mason, I figured Columbus could steal a game or two. Granted the Jackets almost took game four as Osgood returned to form, the Wings still found a way to score more. I don’t think Detroit will be as lucky in the second round. One could argue that Mason suffered through some playoff jitters, but Jonas Hiller definitely won’t be. He already shut down the President’s Trophy winners, so I doubt he’ll care that Detroit racked up 295 goals during the regular season (3.6 goals a game).
I still can’t bring myself to pick Anaheim though. For weeks leading up to the playoffs, Detroit was my pick to repeat as the Stanley Cup Champs and I can’t change that on the fly just because of one gigantic upset. Detroit has been through the playoff grind plenty of times so they will be ready to play and not rattled by huge expectations. San Jose on the other hand…they seem rattled in every game that isn’t on the regular season schedule.
My Pick: Detroit in 6
Vancouver Canucks (3) vs Chicago Blackhawks (4)
This series has the makings of being a classic seven game slugfest. At first glance, I’d give the advantage to Vancouver because they have been the hotter team down the stretch, they have great goaltending and they dusted off the St Louis Blues like they were a minor league team. However, the Blackhawks will be much tougher competition. Not only are they are better overall team than St Louis, they have a Stanley Cup champion between the pipes. Never underestimate that experience when games are being played in May and June.
My pick in the Vancouver/St Louis series was almost dead on. In fact, my pick for the ‘Hawks was equally as close. In both series, I missed the prediction by one single game and I was the only person out of our pick group to even pick the winner for both series. If I lose this prediction contest, you can point to those two series where I left 10 points on the table.
It’s important when picking games to not over think a match-up. So for that reason alone, I’m going with the Canucks. Like I said in the first paragraph, my gut says Vancouver. Rather than sitting here and analyzing stats, I’m going with my first impression and hoping it pays off.
My Pick: Vancouver in 7
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Boston Bruins (1) vs Carolina Hurricanes (6)
Boston has had a very long layoff after dusting away Montreal which could affect them in the first game, but I don’t see it being a very big problem afterwards. With San Jose out of the way, Boston is the highest seeded team remaining which means they will have home-ice throughout the remainder of the playoffs.
The fact that Carolina is in the second round both surprises me and enrages me. If there has ever been a luckier team in the NHL, I’ve yet to see it. Twice in the series they pulled a game out when it was just about over. To give credit where credit is due, I applaud the effort of the team to not give up and to pull it out. But to think that Carolina will keep getting these lucky bounces against a far superior team, well that is just borderline crazy.
It should be interesting to see if the Hurricanes “fans” can actually sell these games out. I’m 100% positive if I were in the area I could easily get tickets on game day. I still haven’t figured out why the organization hasn’t just given up with this charade of saying what great fans they have and start covering seats up like they do in Jacksonville. Nobody is falling for it.
I’m picking Boston to win this series for a few reasons:
1. Boston is the better team
2. Boston defense > Carolina Defense
3. Tim Thomas > Cam Ward
4. I hate Carolina
My Pick: Boston in 6
Washington Capitals (2) vs Pittsburgh Penguins (4)
Oh boy. I’m sure when Gary Bettman saw this match-up he wet himself. This is the absolute dream match-up that the NHL has been wishing for since Crosby, Malkin and Ovechkin came into the league. This is so big that ESPN might even start Sportscenter with hockey highlights for the first time in the network’s history.
I’ve said it a million times so what does one more time hurt… goaltending wins above all in the playoffs. Marc-Andre Fleury absolutely saved Pittsburgh in the first round. If it weren’t for him, they might not have advanced. Then again, the Flyers were trotting Martin Biron out so who knows. I talked in my first round predictions about how Jose Theodore could be the downfall for Washington and it took only one game for that to come true. Now Washington has Simeon Varlamov in net and he has looked very solid so far. I only had the pleasure of watching him once in the regular season and I wasn’t very impressed. Regardless, he came into a pressure packed situation and helped Washington get rid of the annoying Rangers. (Has there ever been a better scene than a dejected Sean Avery sitting on the bench with his head down at the end of Game 7?)
Despite what all the media will tell you, this series is going to come down to more than just Crosby, Malkin and Ovechkin. So please, don’t fall for the media hype. It’s going to be a great series between two very good teams. I wouldn’t be shocked if the winner of this series advanced to the Finals, along with the winner of the Detroit/Anaheim series. I have to admit, Fleury knows when to turn it on and I don’t see this series being any different.
(Side Note: Remember my article a few months ago about how Ovechkin should be the face of the league and not Crosby? The very same that was chastised because the NHL wouldn't want a cocky Russian being the face of the league (as opposed to a whiny crybaby who jumps people with the same testicular fortitude of a 14 year old girl). Well look who is being nominated for the Hart Trophy this year? Crosby? Nope. It's not a coincedence. Crosby isn't even the best player on his own team, let alone the entire league. Can we finally lay this discussion down to rest? Thanks.)
When a series is very close, there has to be a few defining factors that pushes the winning team over the edge. Since I’ve been watching the NHL playoffs, these factors have been A) Goaltending B) Playoff Experience C) Luck D) Injuries. Here is how I see this series breaking down according to those factors.
Goaltending: Pittsburgh > Washington
Playoff Experience: Pittsburgh > Washington
Luck: Pittsburgh > Washington
Injuries: Pittsburgh = Washington
My Pick: Pittsburgh in 7
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--Written By: Scott Lunn –-
EASTERN CONFERENCE
#1 Boston Bruins vs. #6 Carolina Hurricanes
Boston tore through Montreal like a team on an absolute mission and earned themselves a little break between rounds. I'm not always sure that's a good thing however as it can certainly kill off any momentum a team has, and in this case, Carolina will bring a good deal in after taking out New Jersey in the final minute of a Game 7. If you ignore that aspect and simply look at ability alone, Boston is certainly the superior team. Personally, I think Carolina's luck is due to run out at this point. They scraped by against New Jersey, at one point blowing a 3 goal lead and getting a lucky bounce off a skate that ended up in the net with .2 seconds left on the clock to win one game. If the Devils win that game in OT instead, the series is as good as over. Then they win Game 7 by scraping together two goals in the last 1:20, a simply epic meltdown by the Devils. Boston is a much more physical team and will wear the Hurricanes out in this series. The only chance for Carolina is if Cam Ward catches absolute fire and can't be beat. But hey, at least those "Caniacs" get a few more chances to actually sell out a playoff game...
Boston in 5
#2 Washington Capitals vs. #4 Pittsburgh Penguins
The Capitals came out sluggish against the Rangers in their first round series and looked destined for an early exit, that is until their big guns came alive and lead them to win the last 3 games of the series. Ovechkin and Semin have started putting the puck in the net, and that's a scary trend for any opponent. In the NHL's wet dream, Pittsburgh dispatched of Philly with relative ease and set up the Ovechkin vs. Crosby/Malkin series that was made for VS. The Penguins didn't really have much trouble with Philly, though the series did go 6 games. Marc Andre Fleury was kind of up and down in this series though, and that has to concern Penguins fans. On the other hand, Malkin and Crosby combined for 17 points in those 6 games, which has to be reassuring. At any rate, the firepower is going to be unleashed between these two teams and it's going to come down to who can steal a game at the goalie position. Simeon Varlamov stepped in after Game 1 for the Caps and played fantastically, allowing only 1.17 goals against on average and showing almost no signs of pressure as a rookie in his first playoff action. I think he gets tested a little more in this series though. I expect a high scoring series and I expect to be absolutely sick and tired of hearing about 3 certain guys from the announce crews in short order.
Pittsburgh in 6
WESTERN CONFERENCE
#2 Detroit Red Wings vs. #8 Anaheim Ducks
Detroit scored 18 goals in just 4 games while dispatching of Columbus with relative ease and making goalie Chris Mason look like the rookie he is, despite a magnificent season. Meanwhile, they only gave up 7 goals in the series, 5 of which came in Game 4. The Red Wings power play is an absolutely scary thing to deal with and Anaheim better plan on not taking many penalties if they want to survive this series. The possible weak link in the armor for Detroit is Chris Osgood, who again, looked good until Game 4, but he doesn't appear to be 100% healthy and missed some fairly routine plays in that last game. Perhaps the time off between series will have helped him however. Anaheim is a team nobody really wants to face right now either. The Ducks took out the top seeded Sharks (who are making playoff choke jobs an art form these days) in 6 games. Goalie Jonas Hiller (who???) looked fantastic throughout and has a 1.65 GAA so far to show for it. As Devin pointed out the other day, and I had the very same thought myself, this Ducks team looks very much like the one that came out of nowhere to win the Cup behind the play of goaltender J.S. Giguere 2 years ago. Hiller is hot as can be and the Ducks are coming into this series with a lot of momentum on their side. I look for Detroit to stumble early because of this and their lengthy layoff and have to play catchup against the Ducks. Ultimately, I think the Red Wings simply have too much fire power to be beaten at this stage however, but the Ducks are going to put up a fight.
Detroit in 6
#3 Vancouver Canucks vs. #4 Chicago Blackhawks
My clear upset pick of St. Louis to win in the first round was obviously a foolish one, and I should be kicked for picking against Roberto Luongo. The Canucks had no real trouble at all in getting rid of the Blues in just 4 games. Luongo only allowed 5 goals in the 4 games and currently leads all net minders with a 1.16 GAA in the playoffs. The Sedin twins lead the way for Vancouver's offense, combining for 9 points in the series, though it's certainly not the offense you have to worry about when playing Vancouver. Chicago won it's first playoff series since 1996 by out battling the Calgary Flames in 6 games. This series was a very hard fought one and I was blown away by some of the physical play I saw. There is no doubt that the West is a much more physical conference. Everybody finishes their checks and it's amazing that some people walked away after the hits I saw. The Blackhawks are full of youth and energy and that ultimately seemed to propel them to the 2nd round. Khabibulin didn't look overly impressive in the net, but Chicago found plenty of offense to make up for it. 6 different players had 6 or more points in the series, lead by Kris Versteeg with 7. Patrick Sharp, Martin Havlat, and Cam Barker each chipped in with 3 goals and 3 assists apiece. So ultimatley this series would appear to be offense vs. defense, and I'm going to give the nod to great goaltending almost every time. I learned my lesson from the first round, and in Luongo I now trust!
Vancouver in 6
NFL Draft Winners and Losers
Fresh off the 2009 NFL Draft and our own D&S Sports Mock Draft, here are the winners and losers from this past weekend.
-- Written By Devin Dombrowski –-
The saying has been beaten to death recently, so I’ll spare everyone from saying “It normally takes three years to evaluate a draft class, but here are my early takes.”
Oops…
Anyways, the 2009 NFL Draft wrapped up this weekend and now we can finally move the talk from mock drafts to first round hold-outs as we await the start of “voluntary” OTA’s and training camp. I have a very brief list of winners and an even shorter list of losers from this weekend’s festivities. I try to be as simple as possible because there is no way I can possibly sit here and evaluate a draft class two days later.
WINNERS
Buffalo Bills – I love the Maybin pick. Love it. He is exactly what the Bills needed. Considering the fact that the Bills could’ve replaced Chris Kelsay with an uneven washer, this is an immediate upgrade. They also addressed the o-line effectively and grabbed tight end Shawn Nelson in the fourth round, which could be been the steal of the draft. Never have I watched the entire fourth round rooting for one guy to drop to
All of us Non-Oakland Fans – I was driving home from Buffalo Saturday afternoon listening to the draft on the radio when the first Oakland pick was announced. It took every ounce of energy to not swerve off the highway from shear laughter. I could not believe it. After taking some time to think about it, I should’ve expected it with C.A.D. (Crazy Al Davis) running the show. Their next two picks only cemented this draft as one of the most memorable for another team besides
LOSERS
OLB Jason Williams
OT Robert Brewster
QB Stephen McGee
DE Victor
DE Brandon Williams
CB DeAngelo Smith
FS Michael Hamlin
K David Buehler
SS Stephen Hodge
TE John Phillips
CB Mike Mickens
WR Manual Johnson
The Broncos defense was the definition of terrible last season. I’m talking Ashlee Simpson on Saturday Night Live bad. So they follow it up by signing Correll Buckhalter, J.J. Arrington and Lamont Jordan in the off-season. Yeah I know it’s nothing major, but a very solid combination at running back. Those three could platoon and easily provide
Let’s go back to Saturday. They have two first round picks and can easily beef up their defense with both picks. What do they do? They draft Knowshon Moreno with the 12th overall pick, leaving Brian Orakpo on the board. It was a mind blowing pick. I NEVER would’ve expected it and I doubt anybody else did. For the record,
While I’m piling on
NFL – I hate rookie contracts every season and this year is worse than ever. There is no way anybody can explain/justify the contract that Matthew Stafford was given by
-- Written By Scott Lunn –-
Winners from the 2009 NFL Draft:
While I think 28 was a small reach for Wood, the center out of Louisville, by all indications, he's a very solid player and a good fit for the "high character" players Buffalo usually covets (and needs to make up for some transgressions with the law as of late). He looks to be headed to the guard position, but seems equally capable in that role.
In the 4th round, Buffalo got very good value in tight end Shawn Nelson from Southern Miss, filling a position that has been desperately lacking for years now. Tight Ends dropped big time and that benefited the Bills, as Nelson was graded as high as the 3rd best TE by some experts heading into the draft. Overall, they hit their needs for the most part and didn't reach too much, or give up a ton in order to do so, and really that's about all you can ask for. Only time will tell if their picks really pan out or not, but short term, they did a solid job.
In the 2nd round, the Bengals found themselves staring at a gift wrapped Rey Maualuga, the LB from USC who played at 100 mph during his time with the Trojans. Manning the middle of the LB corps in
They followed this with another 3rd round pick in Chase Coffman, TE out of
Losers from the 2009 NFL Draft:
In the 2nd round,
Mock Draft Results:
In the end, it was a very close battle, but I came out the winner barely, scoring a 153 to Devin's 148. Devin picked 7 players to their correct teams, but only 6 were at the right # draft spot, thanks to
All in all, I think we did fairly well for two guys who spent a few hours each coming up with this draft, based on our limited knowledge. It's not like we're paid to watch tape on every player under the sun all year round after all!
2009 NFL Mock Draft
Everybody's favorite past time in April seems to be doing NFL mock drafts, and we're jumping on the bandwagon here at D&S Sports. Devin and I have each made our picks for the first round of this Saturday's draft, assuming no further trades from here through the draft itself. As always, comments are greatly appreciated, so please feel free to leave us any agreements, disagreements, etc in the comment section.
Matthew Stafford, QB, Georgia
Obviously
Matthew Stafford, QB, Georgia
If I’m a Lions fan, I’m not very happy with this pick. Then again, if I’m a Lions fan, it’s a shock that I haven’t attempted to hang myself in the garage yet. I almost don’t envy teams that have a top five pick because they will pay so much money for the pick and it’s a total crapshoot whether or not they will pan out. The QB position is an even bigger risk where for every Peyton Manning that gets drafted; another Ryan Leaf and Rick Mirer also get drafted. (Devin)
2. St. Louis Rams
Jason Smith, T, Baylor
Jason Smith has pulled away as the top talent at tackle in this draft, and it's become increasingly obvious to NFL teams that tackle is a hugely important position. I really think these top two picks would be better off if switched and the Rams got
Jason Smith, OT, Baylor
There are several directions
3.
Aaron Curry, LB,
Regarded by many, myself included, as the top overall talent in the draft,
Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia
I’ve seen almost every mock with
4.
Eugene Monroe, T, Virginia
As I already mentioned, tackles, and especially left tackles have become a premier spot in the NFL. The Seahawks shored up their WR issues to some extent with the signing of free agent T.J. Houshmandzadeh, so I don't think they'll be looking at Michael Crabtree as hard at this point. Instead, they need to beef up their offensive line, which really hasn't been the same since Steve Hutchinson left 3 years ago. Now Walter Jones is coming off knee surgery and is 35 years old, much like Pace in St. Louis, he's going to need replacing.
Aaron Curry, OLB,
I’ve gone back and forth on this pick and I’m going with Curry to
Michael Crabtree, WR,
In my opinion, Crabtree is perhaps the 2nd most talented player in the draft, and while WRs often take awhile to showcase their talents in the NFL, the transition should be easier for him than most. The rumors that Braylon Edwards is going to be traded seem to continually pick up steam in
Michael Crabtree, WR,
Rumors have been rampant lately that the Browns are dealing Butterfingers Braylon Edwards on or before the draft, most likely to the Giants. If they deal Edwards, they won’t have another competent receiver on the team since Donte Stallworth will be playing for the prison team next season. Unfortunately, Crabtree is a top talent but I don’t see a ton of success for him in
6.
Andre Smith, T,
Andre Smith's last few months have been nothing short of disastrous. He's left scouts concerned over his maturity level and work ethic after train wrecks at the NFL combine and his pro day. However, most still believe the talent exists and just needs to be placed in the right hands. Well,
Andre Smith, OT,
When you have a team in such disarray like
7.
Jeremy Maclin, WR,
There seems to be a consensus that the Raiders are going to take a wide receiver with their top pick, it's just a question of which one. Since I already have Crabtree off the board, that means it's going to be Jeremy Maclin. The need is unquestioned, as the Raiders leading receiver is a guy whose name you likely don't know, and he only had 22 catches. There is some chance that Maclin would be the pick even if Crabtree is still on the board because we all know Al Davis has an infatuation with speed receivers, and Maclin is certainly that. He has 4.3 speed in the 40, which will outweigh his 6', 200 lb. frame for
Jeremy Maclin, WR,
If I had the ability to read someone’s thoughts, I’d love to see what crazy Al Davis is thinking when his team is on the clock. Everyone knows that crazy Al loves speed, so crazy Al has to go with Jeremy Maclin since James Jett is no longer playing. (Devin)
8.
B.J. Raji, DT,
I think there is little doubt that
Mark Sanchez, QB, USC
I thought about this pick for a while before settling on Sanchez. I know
9.
Brian Orakpo, DE/OLB,
Green Bay will likely be looking defense first in the draft as well and as they prepare to make the switch to a 3-4 defense, they need to find some pass rushing talent to bolster their total of just 27 sacks last season. Orakpo is generally regarded as the best pure pass rusher in the draft, but there is still some question as to what position he would play in the NFL. Does he have the ability to drop back into pass coverage when needed if he plays OLB? Is he good enough to stuff the run playing DE? These questions need answering, but I think the Packers will be willing to try to figure out those issues in return for his ability to get in the backfield, which he did constantly at the college level. (Scott)
Brian Orakpo, DE,
Orakpo is a solid choice for
10.
Mark Sanchez, QB, USC
Mike Singletary will be at the controls for his first full season in 2009 and it's doubtful he wants to commit himself to either Shaun Hill or Alex Smith, and I can't say I blame him at all for that. This leads me to believe that Mark Sanchez will be their pick at #10. He's got the size and potential to be a franchise quarterback, plus he obviously has
If Sanchez falls, he would be a good fit in
Aaron Maybin, DE/OLB, Penn St.
Read what I said about Brian Orakpo and then transfer it here for Aaron Maybin. They face similar questions as Maybin is an excellent pass rusher, but undersized for the DE position at the NFL level. The Bills will almost assuredly pick a defensive end as their sack total was putrid last season. I've seen many names mentioned from Maybin, Orakpo, Everette Brown, Robert Ayers, and Michael Johnson. It seems as though most have come to their senses and realized that there is no TE worthy of the 11 pick, despite
Aaron Maybin, DE,
Most mocks have the Bills taking a DE with the 11th pick and they definitely need to go in that direction. If they don’t, they might as well concede that their defense will be a complete pushover with NFL celebrations leader Chris Kelsay starting. So when it comes to a toss-up between several players as the position, I defer to the people who watched these guys in college. When I asked an avid PSU fan about Maybin, he had nothing but good things to say, which helped make my pick. The Bills could also consider taking a tight end with this pick or Jason Peters replacement, but I’d stick with defense. (Devin)
12.
While Denver now finds itself in need of a QB after dealing away Jay Cutler, they have an extra pick to rely on now at 18 as well. I think they'll roll the dice at 12 and leave Josh Freeman on the board for later and address their primary need, which is defense. The Broncos D was awful last season and really prevented the team from having any success. They are yet another of the teams looking to switch a 3-4 scheme this season and they'll look to grab themselves somebody for OLB within that scheme here. Everette Brown is another of the "tweeners" like Orakpo and Maybin, but unlike the other two, I think he is the one that will make the switch to the linebacker position at the pro level. 23 sacks and plenty of tackles in the backfield mean he can get the job done as a blitzer, but I think he's also the best suited to convert to a linebacker who can cover a TE or RB in some passing situations as well. The potential is also here for
B.J. Raji, DT,
The only thing worse than a kick in the groin was
13.
Brian Cushing, OLB, USC
Cushing is the first of the true linebackers to come off the board here at #13. The Redskins upgraded their defensive line significantly by signing Albert Haynesworth to a huge deal in the offseason and now they'll turn their attention to linebacker. London Fletcher and Rocky McIntosh are solid starters, but another outside LB is definitely an area of need for the Redskins and Cushing's stock has been on the rise as of late. He could also possibly transition to middle linebacker as Fletcher is likely nearing the end of his career.
Robert Ayers, DE,
I’m never sure what the Redskins are thinking when it comes to the off-season. With the addition of DT Albert Haynesworth, the Redskins need to provide some help on the outside. They recently released Jason Taylor so they will need to replace him in some form and Ayers will be good for that. (Devin)
14.
Malcom Jenkins, CB/S,
Chris Wells, RB,
When the Saints had the most success as a team, the offense was clicking and they had a two headed monster at RB. They definitely need a bruiser to help out Reggie Bush and Wells fits this role. Assuming he can stay healthy, he has the chance to make an immediate impact for the Saints. (Devin)
15.
Clay Matthews, OLB, USC
Malcolm Jenkins, CB,
Dunta Robinson is a very good CB, but there isn’t anybody else on Houston who really worries me. It’s for that reason that I see them taking Jenkins. Having two elite corners is a huge deal for a team on the fringe and Jenkins has that potential. Now whether he turns into Antoine Winfield or Ashton Youboty, only time will tell. (Devin)
16.
Michael Oher, OT, Ole Miss
Oher's stock has dropped a bit after a down performance at the combine, but he's still regarded as the best offensive lineman on the board at this point, and there's not much question that
Rey Maualuga, ILB, USC
This is an interesting pick for the Chargers. After already making the playoffs last season, they have the chance to add Maualuga from the draft and Shawne Merriman back from injury. In a division that is theirs for the taking, this will be a huge step to finally advancing to the Super Bowl this season. (Devin)
17.
Chris "Beanie" Wells, RB, Ohio St.
After all the attention that has been paid to the defensive side of the ball in free agency, one would think that the offense would have to be the focus with their first pick. All 3 of the skill positions need help for the Jets, with Brett Favre and Laverneous Coles now gone, and Thomas Jones will be a free agent after the season. Jones wants a contract extension but there has been little sign that the Jets have intentions of doing so right away. The same GM that brought in Kellen Clemens is still in charge and he may think he's sufficient at QB. Fans seem to be hung up on wanting a receiver, but is anybody worth drafting at this spot? I think the Jets go with Wells, who has the making of a solid, dependable NFL running back and would allow them to let Jones move on. Other possible picks here would be Percy Harvin or Josh Freeman. (Scott)
I’m going to go ahead and ignore the Jets offense for now. Teams like the Ravens have proven that even an inept offense can win with an elite defense. New Head Coach Rex Ryan can definitely build an elite defense and has already started with the free agent signing of Bart Scott. Add in Tyson Jackson from LSU and their defense gets that much better. (Devin)
Josh Freeman, QB,
Again, we're assuming no trades here and that the Broncos didn't move up to get Sanchez, so their gamble at 12 pays off here. Freeman has good size for an NFL quarterback at 6'5 and somewhere in the 250 lb. range and the current quarterbacks on Denver's roster are Kyle Orton and Chris Simms, neither of which I would imagine the Broncos want to rely on for very long. Freeman may not have the same natural ability as
Brian Cushing, OLB, USC
I already stated earlier above that
19.
Percy Harvin, WR/RB,
Signing Byron Leftwich lessens the need for a quarterback here, and since the top 3 are all off the board, it's a moot point anyways. No other quarterback is worth going this early, so the Bucs will have to focus their attention elsewhere.
Josh Freeman, QB,
Normal logic would tell you that the Bucs won’t take a QB because they already have four on the roster. Read that again. They already have FOUR on the roster. But even with a new regime in charge, the Bucs have been known for stock piling QB’s and I don’t see it changing. They don’t have a set starter so I see no reason why they shouldn’t bring in some more competition to make sure they have the best possible talent starting on opening day. (Devin)
20.
William Beatty, OT,
Since I have the Lions taking
Michael Oher, OT,
The Lions don’t do very many smart things, but taking a tackle to help protect their number one pick would be a smart move with this selection. (Devin)
21.
Now with just one pick in the first round, I look for the Eagles to get an every down player at left defensive end. Most expected
Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia
Brian Westbrook has already gone on the record as saying that he wouldn’t mind if Philly took a RB in the draft. Westbrook is a great talent, but needs to see less wear and tear on his body so ensure that the Eagles take that final step towards a championship. (Devin)
22.
Eben Britton, OT,
It seems to be pretty unanimous amongst the mock drafts I've seen so far that the Vikings are looking for somebody to play right tackle with this pick, and Britton would fill that spot nicely for them. They shopped hard for somebody in free agency, but their main targets ended up re-signing with their teams, so now it falls to the draft to get somebody. Britton could succeed making the switch from LT to RT at the NFL level and would almost assuredly be a day one starter. Other potential picks here for the Vikings would be a CB or WR. Vontae Davis is still on the board here in this mock, and would be pretty enticing as well. (Scott)
James Laurinaitis, ILB,
The Vikings have this habit of building a great defense and leaving the offense go, aside from taking Adrian Peterson two years ago. Since they believe they have solved their QB problem with the acquisition of Sage Rosenfeles, I see them upgrade the defense a little bit more. (Devin)
23.
Rey Maualuga, ILB, USC
It's no secret that the Patriots linebackers were far from a youthful group, but the turnover has begun for Bill Belichick. Mike Vrabel is gone to KC, Tedy Bruschi is still hanging on somehow, and Adalius Thomas is now well into his 30s as well. Jerrod Mayo proved to be a great pick last year and the Patriots will go back to that well with this pick. Maualuga would step in at MLB alongside Mayo and Thomas could be moved back to the outside. I hate the term "high-motor" but that's exactly what Rey is, the guy just goes nonstop and has a nose for the ball. The Patriots have a way of making almost every pick work for them somehow, but a MLB tandem of Mayo and Maualuga is a scary thought. (Scott)
Louis Delmas, S,
The Patriots return a very good non-playoff team this season but they need to upgrade few spots on defense. One of those positions is safety and Delmas can fill that void. (Devin)
Brandon Pettigrew, TE,
Brandon Pettigrew, TE,
I’ve read rumors that
25.
Vontae Davis, CB,
Ok, so he's no longer available.
Darrius Hewward-Bey, WR,
The Dolphins have a glaring hole at the WR position and they should look to fill it as soon as possible during this draft. Bill Parcells doesn’t have an extended track record of taking a WR in the first round, but I see him going away from that slightly for this pick. (Devin)
26. Baltimore Ravens
Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR,
Derrick Mason is no spring chicken at 35 and while Mark Clayton has been decent for
Vontae Davis, CB,
The Ravens have a definite need a CB and will fill it with this pick. If there is one thing this franchise knows, it’s building a great defense is the first key, and I don’t see any reason that will change this year. (Devin)
27.
Peria Jerry, DT, Ole Miss
Jerry is another one of those almost unanimous picks in every mock I've seen and you can't argue with the logic. The Colts desperately need a DT, as their running defense is nothing short of horrible. Their current projected starters had a combined 0 sacks last year as well, so it would be nice for them to get a tackle with at least a shred of pass rushing ability too. Jerry is easily considered the #2 DT in this draft and at 6'2, 299 he has decent size. He's also got pretty good quickness for his size to compliment good strength as well. He'd be a starter right away for the Colts without a doubt. Assuming he's still on the board, I see no way he's not the pick here, but other options would include WR or OLB. (Scott)
Percy Harvin, WR,
If there is one team that can really use an overall talent like Percy Harvin, it’s the Colts. It’s almost scary to think what someone like him can do under the direction of Peyton Manning. I’ve read a few reports about Harvin’s character, but I think the Colts will ignore that risk and take a chance on the former Gator. (Devin)
28.
Larry English, DE/OLB,
After picking up this pick from
Eben Britton, OT,
The Bills created an obvious hole at LT when they traded Jason Peters late last week, so the extra first round pick they received from
Hakeem Nicks, WR,
The Giants have had a busy offseason bringing in talent, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. The glaring weak spot has to be at receiver however, now that the Giants have parted ways with sharp shooter Plaxico Burress. The remaining receivers on the roster have less combined years of service than some individuals in this league, with only Domenik Hixon having played more than 3 seasons. Nicks doesn't have particularly great size at just 6'1, 210 lbs., and he obviously just brings more inexperience, but he is a solid all around receiver. He's considered one of the better route runners of the receivers in the draft and he has very good hands. Concerns include his lack of speed and strength, which might make it difficult for him to get open at the NFL level. OLB is another area where the Giants could still use somebody and Larry English or Clint Sintim would still be available here. (Scott)
Hakeem Nicks, WR,
This pick is being made before any potential trade with
30.
Darius Butler, CB,
The Titans true need is a top receiver, but after the run in the two previous picks, there is nobody left worth grabbing with this pick. The Titans could use some help at cornerback at current starter Nick Harper will be 35 at the start of the season and will need replacing relatively soon. I've seen Butler going in the early 20s in a few mocks, so the Titans would be getting pretty good value out of this pick by taking him here. He's 5'10, 183 lbs. but makes up for a lack of size with good speed and incredible leaping ability. He ran a 4.40 at his pro day and had the best vertical of anybody at the NFL combine with a 43" leap. He was also utilized as a return man at UConn, which may be of increased interest to
The Titans thrived on defense last season and they will need much of the same this season if they want to succeed. Well, that is assuming that Kerry Collins doesn’t turn into a scoring machine, which I don’t anticipate. (Devin)
31.
Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia
Luckily for
Clay Matthews, LB, USC
Alex Mack, C,
First, I can't make this pick in good conscience without mentioning the old Nickelodeon show, "The Secret World of Alex Mack". I'm sure this guy hears about it plenty, but Larisa Oleynik deserves to not be forgotten. She's still pretty attractive after all, though she's kind of ended up in obscurity. Alright, back to business. Ben Roethlisberger is probably offering bribes to the Steelers' front office at this point to bring in some offensive line help after getting beat up all year again. While there are multiple weak spots here for the Steelers, center would probably be the most pressing, as last year's starter gave up more sacks than any other center in the NFL. Mack would be a great fit with the Steelers at 6'3, 313 lbs., he's got the size, but strength is amongst the concerns with him. Widely touted as the best prospect at center, his technique may need some work, but he has most everything else going for him and would be a good answer for
Darius Butler, CB,
If the defending champs had one glaring weakness last season, it was at the CB position. This would be a smart move for
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