NFL Power Rankings: Week 16

With only one week remaining, I decided to scrap my bracket style for the power rankings. Instead they are broken up into two groups. Playoff bound or potentially playoff bound teams, and teams that are officially eliminated. So without any further rambling, have at it.



1. San Diego Chargers (4) – With a Christmas day thrashing of the Titans in Tennessee, the Chargers won their 10th straight game and clinched the second seed in the AFC. This is the one AFC team that the Colts do not want to face in the playoffs. Last season, an 8-8 Chargers team defeated the 12-4 Colts in the playoffs. The year before that, the Chargers beat the Colts in Indianapolis in the divisional round. If there is one team that seems to have the Colts number, it's the Chargers.

2. Indianapolis Colts (2) – The Colts suck. Ok, so they are pretty good, but I'm still highly disappointed in them for pulling their starters. They had a chance at history and gave it up to "save themselves" for the Super Bowl. Terrible decision. Absolutely horrid. They are already getting a week off for the wild card round, but apparently that isn't enough. I loved how Tony Dungy defended them for the decision. It's like he completely forgot all the times he pulled a similar stunt and the Colts choked in the playoffs. Never mind the fact that the year they won the Super Bowl, the starters played through Week 17.

3. New Orleans Saints (1) – The Saints wrapped up the number one seed this past week thanks to Minnesota's loss in Chicago. . After last week I wondered if it was a good thing that they lost their game and could now focus on the Super Bowl, but now I'm not so sure. Since their Week 12 victory over New England, the Saints have been anything but spectacular. They beat both Washington and Atlanta by the skin of their teeth and followed it up with these two losses. To summarize, it's been a full month since the Saints have played well. That isn't exactly a recipe for success when heading into the playoffs.

4. Philadelphia Eagles (5) – I knew this Week 17 matchup against Dallas would be an important game. Granted I thought a playoff spot would be up for grabs, but it's still a big game nevertheless. The winner of this game will determine the NFC East champion, which also means the winner gets to host a playoff game in the wild card round. Even more interesting, if Philly and Arizona win their game, that sets up another Dallas/Philadelphia and Green Bay/Arizona matchup in the playoffs. Has there ever been a time when both NFC wild card games were the same matchups as Week 17?

5. Minnesota Vikings (3) – It was nice to see Minnesota actually show up on Monday Night Football instead of mailing it in. Ahem, that was sarcasm. In the event of a New Orleans/Minnesota matchup in the NFC Championship, at least it will still be indoors. That has to be good news for Old Man Favre.

6. New England Patriots (10) – The Patriots took back the AFC East throne after loaning it out to Miami last season by beating Jacksonville in a laugher. Literally. Randy Moss was laughing hysterically on the sidelines during the game. How does that feel Jacksonville? Eh, who cares?

7. Dallas Cowboys (9) – Dallas has proved me and plenty of other football fans wrong with their last two December victories. In fact, I think it's safe to say we can put that argument to rest. Next step, actually winning a playoff game.

8. Cincinnati Bengals (6) – The Bengals finally clinched the AFC North with a victory over Kansas City. Now it's just a matter over whether they get the three or four seed in the AFC. Either way, they are hosting a home game in the wild card round, so the game this Sunday night is somewhat meaningless for them.

9. Green Bay Packers (12) – The Packers also clinched a playoff spot this past Sunday and as highlighted above, might be facing Arizona in consecutive weeks. It presents an interesting situation. Seeing that they will definitely be on the road in the first round, do they even try at Arizona? With a chance to play Arizona twice, I would assume that they don't want to give anything away by playing all out.

10. Arizona Cardinals (7) – I'm so tempted to pick against Arizona once the playoffs roll around, but the memories of last season are still vividly ringing in my head. I couldn't be more excited for playoff football to begin. Ok, I'm lying. I would be more excited if the Bills were actually participating.

11. Baltimore Ravens (11) – Despite handing the game to Pittsburgh, the Ravens are still in a 'win and in' scenario this Sunday. Seriously, have you ever seen a team just serve the game on a silver platter and still only lose by three? It was absolutely amazing. They have the Raiders in Oakland this week, which has proven to not be a totally easy game, but it should be a game they can win, especially with a playoff spot on the line.

12. New York Jets (18) – Like Baltimore, the Jets also control their own destiny. I know I've been harsh on the Sanchise and Rex Ryan this season, but I really hope they pull this one out. I know you're probably wondering how I can root for the Jets to win and make the playoffs when my team is a division rival, but if you knew me you would understand completely.

13. Pittsburgh Steelers (16) – The Steelers have done their best to rally late in the season, but their hopes are still slim. If Pittsburgh loses, they are finished.

14. Denver Broncos (8) – Unlike the Steelers, the Broncos have done their best to crap away a good season. They were clearly in the driver's seat a few weeks ago and now need a ton of help to make the playoffs.

15. Houston Texans (20) – Houston is also still alive, but needs quite a bit of help to make the playoffs. Regardless, at least their fans have something to cheer for in Week 17. It must be nice.

16. Miami Dolphins (13) – It's nice to see Miami playing their best ball when the playoffs are on the line. Oh well, they are still in it, although barely, and the only thing they can control this Sunday is their game against Pittsburgh.

17. Jacksonville Jaguars (15) – The Jags had the playoffs clearly in their sights until they decided to lay down and die the past three weeks. Nobody wanted to see them in the playoffs anyways so this was probably the best case scenario for all football fans.



Instead of copying all the playoff scenarios into the rankings, I felt it would be easier (and more proper) to just like the page from ESPN that clearly highlights all the scenarios for Week 17. Read and enjoy! And now without further ado, the best the worst.



18. Tennessee Titans (17) – The Titans had a slim chance at the playoffs until they got throttled on Christmas night by San Diego. I still give them credit for bouncing back from a 0-6 start and playing the way they did down the stretch. Chris Johnson needs only 128 yards in the final game against Seattle to reach 2,000 for the season. In fact, he only needs 234 to surpass Eric Dickerson for the most rushing yards in one season. If I'm the Titans, I'm giving Johnson the ball as many times necessary to help him get the record. When there is nothing else to play for, might as well make the season memorable.

19. Atlanta Falcons (19) – The Falcons creamed the Bills this past Sunday, which isn't saying much, but at least they haven't totally given up on their season. A healthy Matt Ryan is probably the difference between the Falcons being out of it and the Falcons preparing for the playoffs. If they win this Sunday at Tampa Bay, they will at least finish 9-7 and have back to back winning seasons.

20. Carolina Panthers (23) – Jake Delhomme's job is officially in jeopardy, or at least it should be. Matt Moore has been impressive in the past two weeks, and even more impressive, the Panthers have handled the Vikings and the Giants. While the Giants won't be in the playoffs, they could've been if it wasn't for Carolina. In other news, John Fox and his staff were informed that they will be back in 2010, which rules out Bill Cowher coming to Carolina (if he is planning on coaching next season for sure).

21. New York Giants (14) – The Giants have been a huge disappointment this season. So what better way to cap off a wildly inconsistent year than getting blown out at home by Matt Moore and the Panthers, in the final home game in Giants Stadium for the Giants. Maybe the Jets can at least make the closing of the stadium a little more memorable next week.

22. San Francisco 49ers (21) – Barring some kind of miracle, the 49ers should be able to beat St. Louis this week and finish the season 8-8. While it wasn't good enough for the postseason, it is an improvement over 7-9 last season and should fill Niners fans up with some hope. They will definitely need a new QB this offseason but that might be all they need seeing they still play in the NFC West.

23. Chicago Bears (24) – Sometimes I love fantasy football and other times I hate it. Heading into Monday night, I was leading our very own Scott Lunn 86-85, with each of us having one player left. Scott had Minnesota's defense and I had Chicago tight end Greg Olsen. Somehow, Cutler actually played like a good QB and even hit Olsen for a touchdown ensuring me of the victory. This is why I love fantasy football. Normally I would've had no interest in this game, instead I watched with a great deal of interest.

24. Cleveland Browns (29) – The Browns have really come on as of late. I realize their last two wins were only against the Chiefs in Kansas City and the Raiders at home, but that is something Pittsburgh couldn't do this year. Speaking of that, the Browns are actually on a three game winning streak when you include their Thursday night victory over the Steelers in Week 14. It's almost like that win was enough to get a little momentum going. Unfortunately for Browns fans, this might be enough for Eric Mangini to remain the Head Coach for at least next season.

25. Oakland Raiders (27) – The Raiders should finish this season 5-11 which isn't very good, unless you consider the amount of dysfunction that they have faced this season. Did I mention that JaMarcus Russell was their starting QB for over half the season too? So as you can see, it's actually been a pretty solid season for the Raiders. In other news, while the Bills have gone 53 games with having a 300 yard passer, both Bruce Gradkowski and Charlie Frye have done it this season with the Raiders.

26. Buffalo Bills (22) – How bad was the Bills game in Atlanta? I got up and started doing household chores once halftime hit. They were literally so bad that I couldn't stomach it. Of course I had the game on in the background so I was at least following it somewhat, but there was no way I could justify wasting a Sunday afternoon watching that game when I had other things that needed done.

On the positive side of things, I was somewhat pleased with Brian Brohm in his first NFL start. When you factor in that he has only been a member of the Bills for a few weeks and hadn't even practiced with the first team until a few days before the game, he played quite well. And shall I even mention the offensive line he had protecting him? He did throw two interceptions, but I'll argue all night and day that the first one wasn't his fault. It could've been easily avoided if a certain wide receiver gave at least a 2% effort to break up the pass. Despite his mailing it in on that play, Terrell Owens did surpass 1,000 receptions for his career for that I say, congrats T.O.

27. Kansas City Chiefs (28) – I had the Chiefs a little higher, but even I couldn't rank them ahead of Buffalo. I mean, the Bills actually got one of their wins against the Chiefs, so yes, they are that bad. I'll be highly interested to see what they have planned for the draft this spring. Do they grab a QB or do they hope that Matt Cassel somehow reverts back to his Patriot form? Unless the Chiefs plan on bringing Randy Moss and Wes Welker into town, I don't see that happening.

28. Seattle Seahawks (25) – The Seahawks have pretty much mailed it in for the season. I wondered aloud before the season why Seattle didn't show any interest in signing Michael Vick and now I'm wondering about that even more. It's apparent that Matt Hasselbeck has seen better days. I'd be shocked if he was starting for Seattle next season.

29. Washington Redskins (26) – Speaking of mailing it in, the Redskins have been outscored 62-12 at home in the past two weeks by the Giants and Cowboys. Now I know both of those teams are much better than Washington, but still, they are a division rival. Shouldn't those games be a little closer? I'm fairly certain that Mike Shannahan will be the next coach of the Redskins. So ummm…good luck with that Mike.

30. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (31) – Tampa Bay shocked the football world yesterday with their win in New Orleans. Not only did they grab their third win of the season, they may have completely altered the landscape of the NFC playoff picture. We'll know more after next week but Minnesota is sending many thank you cards out to Tampa Bay right now.

31. Detroit Lions (30) – Well this has been a typical season from the Lions. I'd like to comment more on their game against the 49ers, but until I checked the box scores, I wasn't even sure the game was played.

32. St Louis Rams (32) – Not that the Rams will have to try, but they really should tank this last game and ensure themselves of the number one pick. I'm sure they have a ton of needs to address this offseason, but there is no way they can pass up Ndamukong Suh.
















NFL Picks: Week 16

San Diego Chargers @ Tennessee Titans (Fri)

I'm having trouble picking against Tennessee, however I want San Diego to win because it will clear up that AFC playoff picture a little bit more. Seriously, I've seen calculus problems that are easier than figuring out all of those tie-breakers. Plus the Chargers have a very good chance of being my pick as the AFC representative in the Super Bowl and I don't want them to screw it up with a late season loss.

Buffalo Bills @ Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons were far from impressive in their win against the Jets, although a win is a win. The Bills were also less than impressive but they got a loss last week, which is even worse. However, Brian Brohm makes his first NFL start this week for Buffalo and I'm giving them the nod for this. I'm not sure why. He is basically a rookie playing behind a horrendous offensive line. I will have fun calling him the "Brohm Bomber" though. Plus he was compared to Jim Kelly coming out of college, so he has to be good, right? All sarcasm aside, I called for the Bills to start Brohm before the season ended a week or two ago and while the injuries to both Ryan Fitzpatrick and Trent Edwards forced the decision, I'm very excited to see it.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have been reeling a bit lately but they should get back on track against Kansas City. It will be their first home game since the death of Chris Henry and the most fitting tribute they could give him would be a win at home to clinch the AFC North.

Oakland Raiders @ Cleveland Browns

Is everybody ready for Charlie Frye's long awaited return to Cleveland? It's too bad the Raiders don't play the Bills because a J.P. Losman return to Buffalo would rank right up there with this game.

Seattle Seahawks @ Green Bay Packers

When it comes to this game, I'm extremely nervous/interested in it. In fact, I would argue that this game holds more interest for me than the Bills game does. Mostly because the Bills and Falcons are irrelevant at this point, both from an NFL aspect and fantasy aspect.

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers took their first game against Baltimore to overtime before losing, mostly because of a costly interception thrown by Dennis Dixon. I said this immediately after the game, but the Ravens won't have that liberty this time. So not only do they get Pittsburgh on the road, but Ben Roethlisberger will be under center for this game. On top of that, the Steelers just got a sickening last second victory that will no doubt propel them straight into the playoffs and beyond. This whole thing has back-to-back Super Bowl Champs written all over it. You can quote me on that.

Houston Texans @ Miami Dolphins

Ok, I'll give Miami another shot. So far they lost to Buffalo when I picked them, they beat Jacksonville when I picked the Jags, and they lost to the Titans when I picked them. But you know what? They can handle Houston at home. To be honest, the only thing I care about is how well Andre Johnson does in this game. Last season, I would've considered him for the number two or three receiver in the entire league behind Larry Fitzgerald, but now I might have to reconsider that notion. Johnson has been downright amazing for the entire season.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ New England Patriots

Sure, I'll pick New England. I guess. Randy Moss can carry the world on his shoulders so they should definitely win. I'm not sure why he didn't do that in Minnesota or Oakland, but apparently he can do it now. Except for that game against Carolina where he completely mailed it in. But whatever, he really showed me last week. I'm convinced.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints

The Buccaneers aren't a very good team and the Saints just got humbled on National TV. This game has 'ugly' written all over it. I'd bet the house on New Orleans with a 20 point line right now.

Carolina Panthers @ New York Giants

The Panthers played some inspired football Sunday night against Minnesota, but I don't see it happening two weeks in a row. Meanwhile, the Giants desperately need a win to stay alive in the playoff chase. While I don't totally trust Eli Manning in the howling New Jersey wind, I think the rest of the Giants should can elevate their game enough to pick up another win.

St. Louis Rams @ Arizona Cardinals

Even though the Cardinals have won their division, have basically nothing to play for, and randomly decide to not show up for games, this should be an easy win. It's the Rams for crying out loud. Throw the ball to Larry Fitzgerald, early and often.

Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers

The Niners really have no excuse to lose to the Lions. While they did improve on last year's 0-16 record, the Lions are still the Lions and have no chance in this game.

Denver Broncos @ Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles need to keep winning in order to win the NFC East, and they should be able to handle Denver. For one, Denver is traveling all the way to the East Coast for this game. For two, they just lost at home to Oakland and I no longer have any confidence in that team. Yes, I realize that Philly also lost to Oakland, but the circumstances were a little different.

New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts

Normally I'd have a ton of confidence in picking the undefeated home team over the .500 away team, but having the game inside a dome takes away the Colts biggest advantage, the Sanchise playing outdoors. Luckily for the Colts, the Jets aren't very good as it is so they should be able to hit 15-0 with relative ease. Then the only thing standing in their way of an undefeated regular season is a trip to Orchard Park on January 3rd.

Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins

While this has the makings of a letdown game, I'm not quite sure the Redskins can even manage that these days. They looked about as lifeless as humanly possible last Monday night against the Giants. Then again, with division rivals facing each other, you never know. Or in this case, you definitely know.

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears

The Vikings haven't been especially great lately, but they should easily rebound against the Bears. Even if Brett Favre played poorly in this game, it would be immensely better than how Jay Cutler has played all season long. Speaking of Cutler, has there been a bigger disappointment in terms of offseason acquisitions? I don't think so. My initial criticism of Cutler was that he was a glorified fantasy QB, and he can't even live up to that hype this season. Along with killing fantasy owners who drafted him, he is consistently killing the owners who drafted Greg Olsen as their starting tight end.

On the topic of fantasy, in one particular league I'm in, I got saddled with the first overall draft pick. I hate drafting first. Not only do you set the tone for the entire draft, but with 12 teams in the league, you don't draft again for another 21 picks. So by that time, everyone else really good has been taken. Now you're debating on grabbing a wide receiver or QB, then you're waiting again while everyone goes off the board. It is by far the worst pick in a fantasy draft. Somehow, I managed to still make it to the Championship in this league, but no huge thanks to Adrian Peterson. He is one of three people to get me over 200 points this season, the others were drafted in rounds four and nine. It used to be a slam dunk that Peterson was the best RB in the league, but now I think someone would be crazy to make that statement. In other news, the team I'm facing has Chris Johnson.



Last Week: 10-6*

NFL Season: 145-92

*I picked Jax/NO for my first two picks in the article last week, but when transferring the picks over to my group on ESPN.com, I picked Ind/Dal. To keep things consistent in terms of overall record, those picks were counted since there was no way to take them off via ESPN.



Scott's Picks:



San Diego Chargers @ Tennessee Titans (Fri)

Buffalo Bills @ Atlanta Falcons

Kansas City Chiefs @ Cincinnati Bengals

Oakland Raiders @ Cleveland Browns

Seattle Seahawks @ Green Bay Packers

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Houston Texans @ Miami Dolphins

Jacksonville Jaguars @ New England Patriots

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints

Carolina Panthers @ New York Giants

St. Louis Rams @ Arizona Cardinals

Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers

Denver Broncos @ Philadelphia Eagles

New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts

Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears



Last Week: 9-7

NFL Season: 149-88

NFL Picks: Week 15

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars (Thurs)

Congrats to the Jaguars for actually selling out a game. Too bad it wasn't until Week 15 before they did so. The Jaguars are such an up and down team that I can't get a grasp on them at all. Their best stretch this season has been a three game winning streak where they defeated Kansas City, the Jets, and Buffalo by a combined eight points. Out of their seven wins this season, the only one that came against a team currently with a record above .500 was their win against the Jets.

So why am I picking them to knock off the undefeated Colts? Simple. I pick against the Colts every single week. But seriously, this has to be the week they finally go down. They clinched the number one seed in the AFC so they literally have nothing to play for anymore. Coach Jim Caldwell has said that the healthy starters will continue to play, but I don't believe totally believe him. That is my first factor in picking against them. Second, these two teams played on opening day and the Jags only lost by two points, which was due to a missed two point conversion late in the fourth quarter. They are division "rivals" and always tend to play close games. Third, the Jags need this game desperately to keep their playoff hopes alive and will simply be the hungrier team.

Dallas Cowboys @ New Orleans Saints (Sat)

I really could see a Dallas upset but I have to pick smart if I want to catch Scott, and picking the Cowboys in December against the best team in the NFL isn't exactly smart. I'm five games back of Scott with three weeks remaining so I have to pick and choose my upsets a little more wisely.

I highlighted this point in my rankings this week, but Dallas could very well be on the outside of the playoff picture by the end of this week if they lose to New Orleans and the Giants beat Washington. So if you're Dallas, the playoffs have basically already started. It's not inconceivable to think that if Dallas pulls off this upset, they get on a mini-run and plow through the playoffs. As recently as last year, we watched Arizona do something similar and we watched the Giants pull it off the year before. Then again, those two teams weren't coached by Wade Phillips.

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills

I suppose picking the Bills is the polar opposite of picking up upsets wisely, but hear me out. The Patriots have currently defeated the Bills 12 consecutive times. You know who else had a 12 game winning streak against a division foe? The Steelers over the Browns. What happened to that last week? The Browns finally upset the no longer dominant Steelers and ended the streak. The Patriots are in the same boat as Pittsburgh. A once dominant team suddenly isn't what they thought they were and is showing signs of demise. Randy Moss is potentially quitting on the team, the defense can't stop anybody, and Tom Brady is human. We saw this in Week One when the Bills almost pulled off the upset in Foxboro, and I think this is the week to do it.

The Patriots greatest strength is their passing game. Randy Moss and Wes Welker routinely eat them alive. I still think both of those guys have big days because Welker is still himself and Moss is probably a little pissed off over all the accusations of quitting last week against Carolina. However, the greatest strength of the Bills is their pass defense. Rookie safety Jairus Byrd is the league leader with nine interceptions on the season. They are ranked fifth overall in the NFL in pass defense. They are first in the entire NFL with 25 interceptions overall. Hell, Donte Whitner has two on the season which has equaled his career total from the previous three years.

The Bills biggest weakness is their run defense. Every single week teams just run all over them. It's almost amazing at how bad they are. Despite that fact, teams continue to pass on them for some reason. I'm not sure if they can't get over their ego or they just like throwing the ball. Luckily for the Bills, the Pats really don't have a great running game. Their leading rusher is Laurence Maroney and he has been less than spectacular, only rushing for 654 yards on the season.

So I see the Bills pulling off the upset and finally ending the 12 game losing streak to New England and it will come down to three things. One, bottle up Maroney as much as possible. It's a given that he'll get his 100 yards but if they can contain him as much as possible, they should be fine. Two, double Wes Welker at all times. He is clearly the most dangerous weapon on the Patriots offense. Watch Randy Moss going deep, but otherwise single coverage should be fine. He isn't exactly fond of going over the middle. Three, give the ball to Fred Jackson. Whether it's out of the backfield running the ball or catching screen passes, the Bills offense goes as Jackson goes. Feed him the ball early and often to help move the chains and keep the clock running.

Arizona Cardinals @ Detroit Lions

Not good news for the Lions. They already aren't a great team and would be overmatched against Arizona, but now Arizona is a little miffed after being embarrassed on Monday Night Football. You know the Cardinals will be taking out their frustrations on Detroit. Even if Larry Fitzgerald isn't completely healthy (which I pray he is), the Cards should have no issues putting 30+ points on the board. If you find yourself in the playoffs of your fantasy football league and you're playing against Kurt Warner, look out.

Miami Dolphins @ Tennessee Titans

Like my pick of Jacksonville over Miami last week, I have zero confidence in this pick. I just find myself not completely trusting this Miami team. I'm sure they realize what's at stake for them if they get the win, but I'm just not fully confident they will get it done. It doesn't help that they need to win and hope Buffalo knocks off New England.

If Tennessee has any aspirations of continuing their miracle run towards the postseason, they absolutely have to win this week. There is no way possible they will make the playoffs at 8-8, and I would even argue that 9-7 won't be good enough once it comes down to Week 17 and tie-breaking scenarios. Regardless of that, they can only control what they do on the field and that starts this week. This is a playoff game for them.

Cleveland Browns @ Kansas City Chiefs

I've seen both of these teams play several times this year and both are atrocious. However, last week Cleveland got a huge win against Pittsburgh which may get the ball rolling for them, sort of. Meanwhile, Kansas City lost by six to Buffalo and Matt Cassel threw four interceptions, three in the fourth quarter. To put that into perspective, the Bills begged the Chiefs to come back and win the game, and the Chiefs absolutely refused. On an interesting side note, the Chiefs home field advantage is completely out the window. In my brief lifetime, I've never seen a worse crowd at Arrowhead. I realize they are struggling, but come on Kansas City. That showing was terrible.

Houston Texans @ St. Louis Rams

I'm so scared of this game and its all fantasy football related. I made the playoffs in four of my eight leagues, which puts me at a neat and tidy 50% success rate. Although in my mind it will be a complete failure if I don't win and I haven't won in quite a few years. All that aside, I only really gave a crap about five of the leagues I ran, the other three were just joined out of boredom and I probably should've never joined them in the first place. So in one league I'm in, I've battled all season and clinched the number two seed last week to make the playoffs. Only four teams out of 12 make the playoffs. So I already feel somewhat accomplished. Then I realized my playoff matchup involves me playing someone who is starting Matt Schaub against the Rams. I am so incredibly screwed. Sometimes I hate fantasy football.

Atlanta Falcons @ NY Jets

The Falcons have been an epic failure this year. Of course, a lot of that has to do with injuries to their starting QB, RB, and WR. Nevertheless, their playoff hopes will officially end this Sunday in the Meadowlands. The Falcons only win on the road this year came against San Francisco, which feels like it took place 10 years ago. Granted the Falcons have been better than the Chiefs this year, but you have to wonder if Tony Gonzalez regrets his move at least a tiny bit.

I was convinced the Jets were going to lose last week to Tampa Bay. It had letdown written all over it but they kept it together for a resounding win. Of course it helps when Josh Freeman throws three interceptions and only puts up 93 passing yards, good for 12.1 rating on the day. The Jets best shot at the playoffs is the wild card. They could still win the AFC East, but it would take losses by both Miami and New England to even give them that chance. Getting swept by Miami this season and their overall poor division record is going to come back to haunt them. Normally I wouldn't care about the Jets and their playoff chances, but I do this year. There really is something about Rex Ryan that is unlikeable. Maybe he is just what I needed to spark my inner hate towards a division team that I started to care less and less about in recent years.

San Francisco 49ers @ Philadelphia Eagles

Kudos to the Niners for keeping their playoff hopes alive. It was nice to see them respond with a big win instead of rolling over and handing the division to Arizona. In fact, I would almost give San Francisco a chance at taking the division if it wasn't for the schedule in the remaining three weeks. The Cardinals have two straight games against the Lions and Rams, while the 49ers have the pleasure of taking on the Eagles this week before also getting the Lions and Rams. It would take a minor miracle for Arizona to lose those two games and have San Francisco beat Philly. If this game were happening earlier in the season, I might be able to talk myself into an upset, but the Eagles are playing their best ball right now and aren't going to let this one slip by as they already have a stranglehold on the NFC East. Although, even if San Francisco loses, they could still win the division at 8-8 if Arizona loses out. Remember, this is the NFC West we're talking about. An 8-8 division champion is a definite possibility.

Chicago Bears @ Baltimore Ravens

Getting swept by Cincinnati really killed their chances at the AFC North crown, but it's still possible for Baltimore. More realistically, their chances at the wild card are looking pretty good. Their final three games are very winnable. It started last week with a home game against Detroit and continues this week as the crappy Bears visit M&T Bank Stadium. As much as they want to scoreboard watch, they need to focus on the business at hand and that is winning. As long as they win out, things should take care of themselves. This isn't a sure thing, but it's really all they can hope for.

Cincinnati Bengals @ San Diego Chargers

Working in Baltimore's favor is the fact that Cincinnati has to travel out West to face the red-hot Chargers. I would be picking San Diego in this game no matter what, but it's even more of a sure thing since it is a home game for them. Just to review, the Bengals are 0-1 in the state of California this season and that loss came against a much worse team.

I've started to shy away from the Bengals in recent weeks. They have a great record but have been less than impressive in almost every win. I've ignored that for the most part this season because winning is all that counts, but they need to start playing much better if they want to actually advance past the first round. As it stands right now, they have one and done written all over them. I'll change that tune if they get a team like Jacksonville in the first round, otherwise it's going to be a disappointing January for Bengals fans.

Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos

The schedule makers were kind to Denver and it should provide a clear and easy path to the playoffs. Don't believe me? Let me introduce you to Charlie Frye. All signs point to him starting for Oakland this week.

On a related side note, the Raiders came to terms with UFL champion QB J.P. Losman, a former first round pick of the Bills. This isn't exactly great news for the Raiders, although I would argue that Losman is an upgrade over Frye or Russell. However, I think its good news for Losman. He could've very easily taken a backup role last summer when he was an unrestricted free agent, but he chose to go to the UFL and get some more playing time/experience with Jim Fassel. It took some guts to go that route and I'm happy he landed back on his feet. Unlike most Bills, I have no animosity towards him. Was he a great QB? No. Was he a first round bust? Yes. Do I hate him for it? No. So it didn't work out. Not all things do. The Bills fans that still spit venom when the topic of Losman is brought up need to get over it and move on.

Green Bay Packers @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Everyone has officially given up on Pittsburgh. They have lost five in a row and things are ugly. I've read several comments from die-hard Steelers fans where they are questioning just how good Mike Tomlin is and have even criticized Ben Roethlisberger. To clarify, Tomlin won a Super Bowl less than a calendar year ago. Roethlisberger has two Super Bowl titles under his belt and is only 27 years gold. I never thought I'd see the day when the fans would actually say anything negative about the guy. But this is when Pittsburgh rises from the dead. They need to win their remaining three games to even have a shot at the playoffs. The final three are against teams that all have winning records. Their current five game losing streak involves losses to three of the worst teams in the league. All signs point to a Green Bay win on the road. And that is exactly what the Steelers want.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Seattle Seahawks

Neither team is good, but there is no way the Bucs travel across the country and win in Seattle. Despite the Seahawks sucking this year, Qwest Field still gives them a home field advantage and Josh Freeman isn't going to overcome that.

Minnesota Vikings @ Carolina Panthers

If the Vikings still have any hope at all of clinching home field throughout the playoffs, they have to take care of business against Carolina. Luckily for them, they should be able to sleepwalk through this game and still come out with a win. I'm not 100% sure Matt Moore is starting his third game in a row for the Panthers, but it shouldn't really matter. Let me remind everyone that the alternative is Jake Delhomme.

NY Giants @ Washington Redskins

The Giants suffered a crushing loss last week against Philadelphia, but the good news for them is Dallas is imploding before our very eyes. The next two games for the Giants should be wins if all goes according to plan, and their final game against Minnesota might also be somewhat easy if New Orleans has the first seed wrapped up by then. So really, things are laid out pretty nicely for the G-Men. The scary thing about them is I absolutely won't write them off in the playoffs because of what they accomplished in 2007. In fact, I would argue that them limping into the playoffs with a wildcard spot is actually more dangerous than getting the first round bye like they did one year ago. Seems to me like Eli does a little better on the road than at home around this time of year. Seeing that the top two seeds in the NFC are dome teams and well, don't rule them out. That's all I'm saying. Of course, I can't really tell you what to do or think as that's been thrown in my face plenty of times this season.



Last Week: 9-7

NFL Season: 135-86



Scott's Picks:



Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars (Thurs)

Dallas Cowboys @ New Orleans Saints (Sat)

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills

Arizona Cardinals @ Detroit Lions

Miami Dolphins @ Tennessee Titans

Cleveland Browns @ Kansas City Chiefs

Houston Texans @ St. Louis Rams

Atlanta Falcons @ NY Jets

San Francisco 49ers @ Philadelphia Eagles

Chicago Bears @ Baltimore Ravens

Cincinnati Bengals @ San Diego Chargers

Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos

Green Bay Packers @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Seattle Seahawks

Minnesota Vikings @ Carolina Panthers

NY Giants @ Washington Redskins

Last Week: 11-5

NFL Season: 140-81

NFL Power Rankings – Week 14

LEGIT SUPER BOWL CONTENDERS

1. New Orleans Saints (1) – The Saints escaped Atlanta with another tight victory and are now three away from the perfect regular season. In my not so professional opinion, their final test is this Saturday against Dallas; otherwise it should be smooth sailing. I haven't researched all the tie-breaking scenarios, but they do need to keep on playing since they don't have home field throughout the playoffs sealed yet. A win this week and a Minnesota loss would seal the deal on that though. On a somewhat alarming side note, the Saints haven't had a 100 yard rusher since Week Three in Buffalo. They may need some kind of a running game once the playoffs roll around.

2. Indianapolis Colts (2) – On the flip side, the Colts do have home field wrapped up throughout the playoffs so expect them to play some preseason ball for the final three weeks. Huge mistake if you ask me. Imagine the Colts resting the starters enough that Jacksonville gets a win this Thursday, which would basically give them a ticket to the playoffs, and then suffering some sort of upset loss in the second round to the hands of those same Jaguars. Crazier things have happened.

3. Minnesota Vikings (3) – Brett Favre was right, the Vikings did defeat the Bengals rather convincingly, but I'm not sure if that means Minnesota is a great team. They did nothing spectacular on offense and basically relied on the defense to shut down Cincinnati, which isn't exactly the hardest thing to do. They need to keep on playing well to have a shot at the number one seed in the NFC, but unfortunately will lose out on that because New Orleans most likely isn't going to lose two out of their next three games.

4. San Diego Chargers (5) – The Chargers are getting promoted to this bracket after winning their eighth straight game on Sunday. With Cincinnati's loss on Sunday, the Chargers now have a one game lead for the second seed in the AFC. They also face the Bengals this Sunday so they can clinch that second seed with a victory and a Patriots loss to Buffalo. Assuming they get the second seed and a first round bye, it sets up the inevitable matchup against Indianapolis in the AFC championship. If I'm a Colts fan, that is the scariest thing imaginable right now. The Chargers are definitely Super Bowl material right now.


POTENTIALLY FRISKY PLAYOFF TEAMS

5. Philadelphia Eagles (7) – With their fourth straight victory, the Eagles move up again in my rankings and into first place in the NFC East. Weeks ago I predicted that this division might be up for grabs in Week 17 when Dallas faces Philadelphia, but it not even get to that point if Philly keeps winning and Dallas keeps losing. The Eagles have an "easy win" coming up this week against San Francisco; meanwhile Dallas has a "sure loss" this week against New Orleans.

6. Cincinnati Bengals (4) – I'm starting to lose faith in the Bengals. They still have a pretty good hold on their division, but a first round bye went out the window this week when they lost in Minnesota. They could vault themselves back into the discussion with a win in San Diego this Sunday, but I'm not counting on it. Their magic number is still one for the AFC North crown so they should eventually get it sometime in the next three weeks. I'm guessing Week 16 against Kansas City as the magic day.

7. Arizona Cardinals (6) – So with a chance to clinch the division on national TV against a division team, the Cardinals give up seven turnovers in an ugly loss. This isn't exactly a good sign heading into the playoffs, unless they are trying to trick everyone again like they did last year.

8. Denver Broncos (9) – Denver moves up after a loss, but mostly because Dallas lost again. Denver gave Indianapolis a somewhat competitive game but I'm not sure if it was ever in doubt. Even after losing, they still have a firm grasp on the fifth seed in the AFC with two sure wins out of three remaining on the schedule. It would take a completely epic collapse for them to not be in the playoffs which is something I definitely wasn't saying before the season started.

9. Dallas Cowboys (8) – Dallas fell all the way to the sixth seed after Sunday's loss, but their only real competition are the Giants since the rest of the NFC pretty much sucks. The bad news is they were swept by the Giants this year and that could really come back and haunt them. If the Giants take care of business against a woeful Redskins team Sunday and the Cowboys lose Saturday night in New Orleans, they will officially be on the outside looking in. While that would be an epic disappoint for Dallas, it might be good in the long run as it would most likely spell the end of the Wade Phillips era.

10. New England Patriots (10) – The Patriots beat Carolina in unconvincing fashion. There is some real trouble in New England these days but it would still take quite a bit for them to completely miss the playoffs. How bad are things for New England right now? I am actually optimistic that Buffalo can beat them this Sunday, and the Patriots are a team that has completely dominated this division series this decade.

I'm not going to pile on Randy Moss for quitting on his teammates and sulking like a teenage girl this past week, but I have to wonder if the honeymoon is over for Moss and the Patriots. For all the T.O. bashing that goes on, at least he is still trying on a bad Buffalo team. I'm sure he would kill to be playing for a division leader right now.

11. Baltimore Ravens (11) – The Ravens took care of business on Sunday but would still be out of the playoffs if they started today. Luckily for them, they don't. They have two winnable games in the next three, with the Steelers being the only tough game remaining. And to be honest, I'm being nice by saying the game against Pittsburgh will be tough.

12. Green Bay Packers (13) – It may have been ugly but Green Bay got their fifth straight win and now have a stranglehold on the fifth seed in the NFC. Interestingly enough, they play the Cardinals in Arizona in Week 17 and that might be the exact matchup we get in the first round of the playoffs. If that is the case, I see the Week 17 game being a backup filled snoozer unless Green Bay needs to win to get in. The thought of a Minnesota rematch in the playoffs literally has my drooling on my keyboard.

13. Miami Dolphins (17) – The Dolphins win against Jacksonville was huge for their playoff chances. In fact, their chances at defending the AFC East crown are definitely in discussion right now. They are one game back of New England with no more division games remaining and all three teams remaining on their schedule currently with a below .500 record. With a win against Tennessee this Sunday and a New England loss against Buffalo, Miami would actually vault into first place and control their own destiny. Of course, a loss against Tennessee will further muddle the AFC playoff picture.

14. New York Giants (14) – Like a sure thing, I move the Giants into this bracket and they lose again to further push their playoff chances out the window. Like I said last week though, I refuse to move them out of this bracket for the rest of the season. Mostly because they are definitely still in the race. Like noted above in the Dallas section, they have a somewhat easy win coming up against Washington, while Dallas is facing the best team in the league. If things made sense and went the way they should go, the Giants will actually have the sixth seed by this time next week.

15. Jacksonville Jaguars (18) – Jacksonville is still in the playoff the picture after losing to Miami; however the lead is getting slim. In fact, they are tied with Miami and Baltimore at 7-6 and Miami now has the all valuable head-to-head tie-breaker. With Denver pretty much coasting to the five seed and Baltimore having a somewhat easy road to the six seed, I am thinking Jacksonville pretty much needs to win out to make the playoffs.


MATHEMATICALLY IN IT (BUT REALLY OUT OF IT)

16. Pittsburgh Steelers (15) – I didn't want to move Pittsburgh into this bracket but I really had no choice. They need quite a few teams to lose and they need to win out to even sniff the playoffs right now. Their final three games on the schedule are all against teams with a winning record, two of which are in the thick of the AFC playoff race. It's not out of the question that things fall into place and they squeak in, but it isn't looking good. Assuming they were to miss the playoffs, I think the losses against Kansas City, Oakland, and Cleveland can be directly to blame. You need to take advantage of those easy games on the schedule.

17. Tennessee Titans (15) – I'm dropping the Titans down even further because even though they won, they playoff chances seemed to have gotten worse. I didn't realize this before, but all seven of their losses came within the AFC which is a killer when it comes to tie-breakers. Granted they are 3-0 against the NFC West this year, but um, that isn't saying a whole lot besides the one win against Arizona. I suppose this is where I should mention that the win against Arizona was a last minute miracle finish and the Cardinals were without Kurt Warner.

18. New York Jets (19) – Is it possible for Rex Ryan to win and just show a little bit of class? The only interview clip I saw on ESPN was him shoving it in the face of the media for saying the "J-E-T-S Jets Jet Jets are a M-E-S-S". This just in Rex, a win against Tampa Bay doesn't exactly mean you're a great team. Need I remind you that the Bills also beat Tampa Bay? Oh wait, the Bills also beat the Jets too. On a very interesting side note, I read this morning in the AFC East blog on ESPN that Mark Sanchez has pretty much single handedly kept the Jets out of the playoffs to this point. In summary for those who don't want to click on the extra link, the Jets are first in the NFL in rushing offense and first in total defense, yet are on the outside looking in. Why is that?

19. Atlanta Falcons (16) – The Falcons lost their second straight game which put them at 6-7, and remarkably enough, are still very much in the NFC playoff picture. Then again, the Bills could still win the AFC East and I could still win the lottery.

20. Houston Texans (20) –Houston got another late season win when it was just too late for them to do anything worthwhile. For me personally, I'm hoping they win out so Gary Kubiak can keep his job for at least one more season. The less teams vying for a Head Coach this offseason, the better.

21. San Francisco 49ers (21) – With their season on the line, the 49ers responded with a convincing win against the division leading Cardinals. The Niners still need plenty of help to see to get to the playoffs, but with last night's win, they are definitely in the discussion.

22. Buffalo Bills (22) – The Bills got their fifth win of the season in Kansas City, but it was incredibly painful to watch. Just ask the 25,000 fans who actually showed up for the game. On a positive note, rookie safety Jairus Byrd got his league leading ninth interception and the Bills had a solid day on the ground from both Fred Jackson and Marshawn Lynch. On a negative note, Ryan Fitzpatrick looked brutal again and further confirmed that he is nothing more than a decent backup. If I were calling the shots, Brian Brohm would get the start in the final two weeks. The Bills really need to see what they have in the kid before they hit the offseason. There will be limited options in free agency and the draft, so it would be nice to know if they have a decent QB already on the roster or they need to go get someone.

23. Carolina Panthers (23) – The Panthers have a brutal finish to the season and could be looking at 5-11 once everything is said and done. That doesn't bode well for John Fox but I'm hoping the Carolina front office gives him the benefit of the doubt and lets him stay for at least one more year. Is it his fault that Jake Delhomme got injured and Matt Moore is starting? Is it his fault Jake Delhomme sucks when playing? Is it his fault that Jake Delhomme got a massive contract extension after destroying the Panthers in the playoffs last year?


BOTTOM OF THE BARREL

24. Chicago Bears (24) – The Bears are not a good team.

25. Seattle Seahawks (25) – Neither is Seattle. They did so a solid job in allowing Matt Schaub to go off for fantasy owners at the perfect (or not so perfect if you were against him) time.

26. Washington Redskins (27) – The Redskins are worse than the two teams above, which isn't saying a whole lot. But hey, Daniel Snyder has tons of money so a big name coach will definitely want to coach there.

27. Oakland Raiders (26) – I should've known that the Raiders would follow up a big road win with a total crapfest at home. It's what they do these days.

28. Kansas City Chiefs (28) – Matt Cassel is horrendous. I was never really impressed with him when I watched him New England, but of course he looked good because of all the weapons he was surrounded with. Without those weapons in Kansas City, he is definitely showing why he was a seventh round draft pick. Good things the Chiefs didn't overreact in the offseason and give him a big contract extension before watching him play more games without Randy Moss and Wes Welker.

29. Cleveland Browns (32) – Congrats to Cleveland for finally beating Pittsburgh after 12 consecutive losses. This might even be a rivalry again if this keeps up.

30. Detroit Lions (31) – I know having Detroit doesn't make a whole lot of sense because they got absolutely manhandled in Baltimore, but it's really a case of the two teams below them actually being worse. Yes I know St Louis beat them in a head to head matchup, but that doesn't always tell the whole story.

31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (29) – I really have no idea how they will settle this tie for the first overall pick. Do they actually follow tie-breaker procedures or do they flip a coin? If they flip a coin, it's going to be a nerve racking flip to see who gets Ndamukong Suh.

32. St Louis Rams (30) – I read some brief talk about St Louis being a possible destination for Michael Vick once Philadelphia releases him in the offseason. I'm not sure what to make of that. I've kind of warmed up to the thought of Vick playing in Buffalo. If anything else, games might be more exciting. Plus he is an experienced QB that has won in the league to a certain extent, something the Bills haven't had behind center since Drew Bledsoe. Hypothetically speaking, if the Rams and Bills were to offer Vick a similar deal and he had to choose, can anybody think of any reason why he would pick the Rams? I can't.

Getting Called Out

Sometimes when writing about sports you're wrong. I'm not talking about the type of wrong where you purposely write something because you believe in crazy things like jinxes or reverse jinxes. Because really, who would actually believe those things? I'm talking about just being flat out wrong in every way imaginable. It happens, its part of the gig, and I'm here to come clean.

I made a promise to myself recently that things are going to be different next decade. I'm even calling it "The Decade of Devin" and considering making a website for it. Seriously. I figure that everyone makes resolutions on December 31st and usually breaks those by January 10th, myself included. Well I wanted this year to be different. There is a huge list of things I want to change and I figured what better way to usher in those changes than to coincide them with the new decade.

(I'm aware that the 'end of the decade' could be 2010. I've really heard it both ways and I'm not sure which is right anymore. All I know is that when people talk about the 80's, they are talking about 1980-1989, so therefore I'm considering 2009 as the end of the decade. If you don't like it, tough.)

On my somewhat enormous list of changes, one is to hold myself more accountable. Hence the reason I'm calling myself out. Regular readers of the site may remember an article I wrote called Five Pre-Training Camp Predictions for the Buffalo Bills, where I posted my somewhat optimistic predictions for the current NFL season. They almost didn't make sense when you realize I also wrote about the Bills in my AFC East preview 45 days later and predicted a 5-11 record for the Bills. Of course this was after the preseason was played out and I saw what a steaming pile the Bills were going to be this year, but it was also a classic example of how I can't control my homer tendencies with my realistic tendencies. Remember, I'm the same person who once sat with my Dad at his birthday dinner in late October of 2008 and proclaimed Trent Edwards to be the real deal and said how nice it was that the Bills finally have a franchise QB, only to turn around one month later in a loss to San Francisco and scream so loud at Edwards on TV that I surely frightened members of my family that were in the room.

So as this year and decade come to a close, I want to come clean and hold myself accountable for things I've said. This is one of them. Here is a recap of my five predictions.


1. The Bills will eclipse 400 points scored for the entire season.

Where do I start with this? It seemed so easy on paper. Naturally I ignored the patchwork offensive line that was supposed to protect Trent Edwards. I also ignored the inadequacy of Trent Edwards as an NFL quarterback. When you go into the season fearing that Ryan Fitzpatrick might play any meaningful minutes, and then you're excited he is starting by late October, there is something seriously wrong.

As it stands with four games remaining in the season, the Bills have racked up an impressive 199 points scored. That is a mere 201 short of my prediction. Basically, they need to score 51 points per game in the next four games to just barely eclipse the 400 point barrier. I wouldn't rule it out against Kansas City after last year's game, but to be honest, they will be lucky to score 25 per game for the rest of the season.

In my defense, I wrote this prediction before they fired offensive coordinator Turk Schonert. Was he a good coordinator? Not so much. But it surely didn't help the offense that 10 days before opening night they had to adjust to a brand new coordinator. Then again, this one was doomed from the start.

2. Despite missing the first three games due to suspension, Marshawn Lynch will set a career mark for rushing yards.

Believe it or not, I'm listing these exactly like I had them in my original article and not ranking them on a level of how ridiculous they were.

I have to say, I really had faith in this one. Lynch had missed games in the past due to injury, so this was really no different on the surface. After seeing how well Fred Jackson ran in the first three weeks, I surely thought Lynch could pick up on that and run away with this one. Well so far in nine games; Lynch has a whopping 338 yards, or 37.5 per game. So much for Beast Mode, eh?

But I'm not worried. He only needs to average around 180 yards per game for the final four weeks to make me look like a smart guy. I suppose I could ignore the fact that Fred Jackson has rightfully reclaimed his spot as starting running back, so this definitely isn't even close to happening. Lynch will probably be lucky to average 18 yards per game to round out the season. On a more positive note, Jackson currently has 632 yards rushing this season, which puts the combination of the two players near 1000 yards with four more games to play. So I suppose if you could combine them into one running back, Marshawn Jackson, my prediction would be pretty spot on.

3. Aaron Schobel will finish with a double digit sack total for the first time since 2006 when he finished with 14.

Now this my friends, this is the crown jewel of my predictions. As I sit here today typing this, Schobel has seven sacks on the season, which is the most he's had since 2006. If you were to remove the words "double digit" from my prediction and just say "highest total since 2006", I'd be dead on with this one. Yes!!

Unfortunately, I did say double digit. Schobel will have to get at least three sacks in the next four games to make this come true. Luckily for the Bills, they have the Chiefs this weekend. Matt Cassel has been sacked 37 times in 11 games this season. My optimistic side says that Schobel could very well get all three sacks this Sunday. If he doesn't, they play the Falcons in two weeks who might be without Matt Ryan. Worst case, they have the Colts in the final week who may be resting Peyton Manning and throwing Joe Schmo in as starting QB.

This one has to happen, right?

4. The Bills will finish .500 or better within the AFC East this season.

There is hope for this one, albeit a slim amount of hope. The Bills are currently 2-3 in the division with one game remaining against New England. They met my expectations by splitting with the Dolphins, but fell short in splitting with the Jets. Of course, had they played the second game in Orchard Park, they surely would've won with another five interception game for The Sanchize.

The only issue with counting on a win against New England is that the Bills haven't defeated them since the opening of the 2003 season. So realistically, I don't see it happening. Although, the Patriots are starting to fall apart and this may be the perfect opportunity for the Bills to get a win against their somewhat hated rivals. Hell, the Browns just beat the Steelers so anything is possible.

I'm putting this one in the 'maybe' column with Aaron Schobel.

5. The Bills run defense will be in the top ten in the league.

Just kidding, that wasn't my fifth prediction. If it was, I'd be forced to turn in my fan card and start following the WNBA from now on. Alas…

5. The tight end position will once again become relevant for the Buffalo Bills.

I was really starting to believe this one on opening night when Shawn Nelson immediately contributed with a touchdown reception. Unfortunately, that was the highlight of his season. Nelson has battled through several injuries this season and has only amassed 11 receptions. To break that down, he needs roughly 7.25 receptions in the final four games to reach 40. The odds of this happening are right up there with me winning the Powerball this weekend.

On the positive side, the combination of Derek Fine, Derek Schouman, and Jonathan Stupar have contributed 20 receptions this season. This puts the entire set of tight ends just short of 40 with 31 receiptions. Much more attainable when you think about it that way. It also would have been a sure thing if Captain Checkdown has remained under center.

Oh well, you can't get everything right, much like my beloved Buffalo Bills.

Good thing we're both starting the next decade with a fresh start.



NFL Picks: Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns (Thurs)

This is the perfect game for the reeling Steelers. In fact, I specifically stayed away from picking Pittsburgh all season in my eliminator pool so I could pick them late in the season against Cleveland. Simply put, Cleveland doesn't stand a chance against Pittsburgh. They never do and probably never will.

However, I did find it entertaining that Hines Ward will most likely miss this game due to injury (He is "very questionable" at the time of this writing). Doesn't he understand that the Steelers playoff chances are on life support and his team needs him? He should just lie to the doctor and tough it out.

New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons

And win number 13 will come courtesy of the Atlanta Falcons. I would've been picking against the Falcons regardless, but last week they looked just plain awful. I do realize they were missing their three biggest stars on offense but as of right now none of the three are guaranteed to play. Even if they do, they won't be 100% and the Saints should completely bowl them over. Let's just hope the Saints finish them early this week instead of turning it into a nail-biter like they did against Washington.

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

I was tempted to pick the Bears for a few reasons until I realized Jay Cutler was still their starting QB and Lovie Smith was still their Head Coach. News is spreading that Charlie Weiss may be interested in becoming the offensive coordinator for Chicago, which could actually be a good thing for the Bears next season, but they will need to get some more weapons on offense. I like Devin Hester as much as any fan of Miami, but he isn't a number one receiver, and neither is anyone else currently on the Bears roster. Greg Olsen doesn't count; a tight end shouldn't be your number one weapon. I see them finishing right around 6-10 which may be good enough to grab a receiver in the first round…oh wait…they traded that pick for Cutler. Sorry Chicago.

Denver Broncos @ Indianapolis Colts

I'm just going to keep picking against the Colts until they finally lose. It's nothing personal against Indianapolis; I just think they are really due for a loss. Unlike the Saints in the NFC, the Colts just about have the first seed wrapped up. The absolute best the Bengals and Chargers can finish is 13-3, which means Indy basically has to just win one more game to clinch home field throughout the playoffs. I've watched football long enough to know that the Colts don't care at all about going undefeated and will start resting starters soon, which means they are bound to drop one.

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs

The Bills really should win this game, but if there is one thing I've learned throughout my life, it's that the Bills never do what they are expected to do. I know last year was last year and it's totally different than this year, but both teams were pretty bad last season and the Bills hammered the Chiefs in Arrowhead 54-31. Terrible logic on my part, I know, but the Bills really are the better team. Over/Under on Matt Cassel interceptions: two. I'm taking the over. He'll throw at least three before possibly getting benched. In the event that this happens, it should be fairly entertaining to watch Todd Haley's face turn different shades of red throughout the afternoon.

New York Jets @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Jets are only one game out of first place in the AFC East, which is exactly why they will lose to Tampa Bay this week. The Buccaneers are terrible and have no business winning, but the Jets will find some way to let their fans down after getting them all excited the past two weeks. It's just one of those things that don't really make sense on paper, but if you follow teams like the Jets long enough, you're fully prepared for it.

Miami Dolphins @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Miami is a confusing team. They barely lost to Indianapolis and New Orleans, both of which were easily winnable at one point late in the game. They barely pull out a win against Tampa Bay and then get crushed two weeks later at Buffalo, only to beat New England the following week at home. Honestly, it makes no sense.

The Jaguars have gone 5-1 at home so far this season, which is odd because they have no home field advantage. In fact, this game might sell out only because they are playing another team in Florida. Regardless of all that, Jacksonville is firmly in the driver's seat for a wild card berth and they should be able to handle Miami at home (if things made sense).

For the record, I have zero confidence in this pick.

Detroit Lions @ Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens desperately need to start winning to stay ahead of Pittsburgh in the race for the playoffs. Luckily for them, they have Detroit this week and Chicago next week, both at home. There is a very good chance that Baltimore could have a full one game lead on Pittsburgh heading into the game in Pittsburgh in Week 16.

I know there has been talk about Joe Flacco regressing, which I don't entirely disagree with, but let's remember that he is only in his second year. The NFL is a league of adjustments and teams are adjusting to his play, which they couldn't do last year because they were all unfamiliar with him. With all of this in mind, he did have his team dangerously close to the Super Bowl last season in the third straight road playoff game, which is quite an accomplishment for a rookie QB and not something done by a fluke. So settle down people, Joe Flacco is going to be just fine.

Seattle Seahawks @ Houston Texans

I'm picking Houston in this game because I've seen them play and haven't seen a second of Seahawks football this season. Literally. Besides highlights and clips online, I haven't watched anything they've done this year. I'm not apologizing for this. They are in the NFC West and I just don't care enough about that horrid division to watch them.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings are now two games back of the Saints for the first seed in the NFC, which is going to be very hard to make up seeing that the Saints probably won't lose at all during the regular season. That being said, the Bengals can actually clinch their division with a win this Sunday. Call me crazy, but the Bengals won't let that opportunity pass them by. And yes, I'm looking forward to seeing Chad Ochocinco scoring and trying something completely ridiculous to celebrate.

Carolina Panthers @ New England Patriots

Remember the 59-0 blowout the Patriots handed the Titans in Week Six? This could be worse.

St. Louis Rams @ Tennessee Titans

It's too little too late for the Titans, but this win should at least keep their slim hopes alive for at least one more week.

Washington Redskins @ Oakland Raiders

I'm going with the Raiders for obvious reasons even though they will most likely have a letdown game and give Washington the win. Everyone in Oakland will be riding high after a huge upset victory against Pittsburgh, and then Bruce Gradkowski will remind everyone that he is in fact Bruce Gradkowski. I have a bad feeling about this game. On a side note, for a very terrible team, the Raiders have probably the highest amount of quality wins. Out of only four victories, three came against Philadelphia, Cincinnati, and Pittsburgh. All of which are most likely going to the playoffs. I can't think of another team with so few wins and the majority coming against good teams. Maybe they aren't as far off as we thought.

San Diego Chargers @ Dallas Cowboys

This is actually a tough game to pick for me. However, my pick comes down to two factors. The Chargers are currently on a seven game winning streak and this game is being played in December. Sorry Dallas, I don't mean to pile on, but until you prove you can win in December, you can no longer be trusted. Of course now they will win to rope me back in.

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

This is also a tough game after the Giants showed they weren't completely dead last week. I'm going with Philadelphia mostly because the Giants have been the more inconsistent team and the Eagles were my preseason pick to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, so I have to stick to it now.

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers

Congratulations to Arizona for winning their second straight NFC West crown.

Last Week: 9-7

NFL Season: 126-79


Scott's Picks:


Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns (Thurs)

New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

Denver Broncos @ Indianapolis Colts

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs

New York Jets @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Miami Dolphins @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Detroit Lions @ Baltimore Ravens

Seattle Seahawks @ Houston Texans

Cincinnati Bengals @ Minnesota Vikings

Carolina Panthers @ New England Patriots

St. Louis Rams @ Tennessee Titans

Washington Redskins @ Oakland Raiders

San Diego Chargers @ Dallas Cowboys

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers

Last Week: 10-6

NFL Season: 129-76


NFL Power Rankings – Week 13

LEGIT SUPER BOWL CONTENDERS

1. New Orleans Saints (1) – The Saints got very lucky on Sunday but those are the necessary breaks when attempting to go undefeated. The game in Washington had "letdown game" written all over it; however I didn't think the Redskins would make that much of game out of things. New Orleans clinched their division with the win yesterday but Head Coach Sean Payton has gone on record stating that they are definitely going for the undefeated season. Kudos to him and his staff. Resting his players right now would be the worst thing possible right now.

2. Indianapolis Colts (2) – This was the second week in the last three that I picked against Indianapolis for my upset special and got screwed. Well, I can't say I was totally screwed since I was picking against the second best team in the league. Assuming they don't rest their starters, the Colts have a real good shot at 16-0, which has me slightly excited. Their final game is in Buffalo on January 3rd and I'm trying to find one reason to not attend the game besides the weather being bitter cold and the game being completely meaningless for the Bills. Say the Colts are 15-0 heading into that game, I could probably score some cheap tickets and witness some form of history as Indy goes 16-0 or watch the Bills have one of the bigger upsets of the season as they end the Colts undefeated hopes. Again, give me one reason not to go. I got none.

3. Minnesota Vikings (3) – As someone who owns Adrian Peterson on my fantasy team, I just want to say thanks for his amazing 19 yard performance on 13 carries. All day baby, all day. I wouldn't worry too much if I were a Vikings fan though. They still have a strong hold on the second seed in the NFC and Brett Favre will definitely rebound from his sub-par performance. No way is he hitting any sort of wall, no way at all.


POTENTIALLY FRISKY PLAYOFF TEAMS

4. Cincinnati Bengals (4) – With the Ravens loss on Monday night, the Bengals are just one win away from clinching the AFC North. Read that again, it's simply amazing. If anyone other than a Bengals fan told you that was possible at the beginning of the season, they would have to be committed to the insane asylum.

5. San Diego Chargers (5) –The Chargers are quietly one of the hottest teams in the NFL right now. They are currently riding a seven game win streak and still have a one game lead in the AFC West. Denver seems to have rebounded from their mid-season slump so the Chargers will need to continue their winning ways or face the possibility of a road playoff game in the first round. It won't be easy for San Diego as their next three games are all tough. If they were to win all three, I might be making them my pick for the Super Bowl.

6. Arizona Cardinals (11) – The Cardinals absolutely impressed me with their win against Minnesota Sunday night. If they play like that, a second straight Super Bowl appearance is not out of the question. This week's game is surprisingly big for Arizona as they can clinch their second straight NFC West crown with a win against the 49ers.

7. Philadelphia Eagles (12) – With a big win in Atlanta, the Eagles are now in a first place tie in the NFC East. We've all seen this script before. Now whether or not it plays out the same is yet to be determined. I'll know a little bit more after this week's game in the Meadowlands.

8. Dallas Cowboys (7) – I'm trying my hardest to not pick on the Cowboys for yet another December loss but it is very difficult. Of their four remaining games, the only team they are facing that won't be in the playoffs is Washington. If Dallas still makes a late season run, it will be well deserved.

9. Denver Broncos (8) – Denver's wildcard chances are looking pretty good right now. I see the Broncos finishing 10-6 in a worst case scenario which should still be good for the playoffs. Who would've thought that before the season after the Cutler/McDaniel's mess that went on in the offseason?

10. New England Patriots (6) – Is this the end of a dynasty? I keep defending the Patriots for some odd reason and thinking that I still can't pick against them in the playoffs, but it's becoming more and more difficult to hold that thought while watching them lose games they should definitely win. Sunday's loss in Miami was killer because now both the Jets and Dolphins are just one game back in the division. Luckily for New England, they have four fairly easy games coming up on the schedule so I still don't seem them blowing their division lead.

12. Green Bay Packers (13) – The Packers are hot right now and that could be scary heading into the playoffs. Remember, it's not always the best team, but the one that is rolling along (2007 Giants).

13. Pittsburgh Steelers (10) – Sunday's loss was huge for Pittsburgh. Losing four in a row is never good, but it seems especially worse since two games were against division opponents and the other two were against the Raiders and Chiefs. Not sure how that happens but I am still not counting the Steelers out. I see them easily putting together a four game run and squeaking into the playoffs. After that, all bets are off. As I'm often reminded, their first Super Bowl win this decade was done as a six seed.

14. New York Giants (16) – I've flip flopped more times on the Giants this season than I have on going on a diet and working out. Ok, I haven't flip flopped that many times on the Giants, but it's getting pretty close. Every single time I want to write them off, they come up with a huge win and push their way back into the picture. Well guess what? I'm done writing them off. They will forever stay in this bracket until the end of the season.

15. Baltimore Ravens (9) – The Ravens suffered a crushing loss Monday night but they are still in the thick of things thanks to Oakland. The Ravens/Steelers game coming up soon will be huge and unfortunately for Baltimore, they won't be facing Dennis Dixon this time.


MATHEMATICALLY IN IT (BUT REALLY OUT OF IT)

15. Tennessee Titans (15) – It was a fun story while it lasted, but the Titans playoff hopes came crashing down on Sunday. Even if they finish 9-7, which would be amazing after starting 0-6, there is no way they are making the playoffs. I just don't see 9-7 being good enough. Denver will have one wildcard with a possible 10-6 record, and the other will probably belong to Pittsburgh after they run off four straight wins and also finish 10-6.

16. Atlanta Falcons (14) – This season for Atlanta can officially be labeled as a major disappointment. In their defense, without Matt Ryan, Michael Turner, and Roddy White, not much could be expected against the Eagles. If the Falcons have any hopes of making the playoffs again, they absolutely have to beat the Saints this week. I don't like their chances.

17. Miami Dolphins (19) – The Dolphins had themselves a nice little Sunday with their win against the Patriots. The tie-breaker scenario is going to be a mess if they finish with the same record as New England, which is a definite possibility. To put it simply, assuming both teams win this Sunday, the Dolphins and their fans will be rooting very hard for the Bills to pull an upset in Week 15.

18. Jacksonville Jaguars (17) – How many times can I write these rankings and mention the pathetic crowd in Jacksonville? If/when the Jags move to L.A., I better not hear one person complain about it. The Jags haven't sold out one game this season and it's not looking good for the next two. That really is a new level of embarrassing for the city of Jacksonville.

19. New York Jets (21) – Even when Mark Sanchez does something good, he still screws it up. Not sliding to get the first down against Buffalo was smart at the time because he kept the drive alive, but he also hurt himself in the process which could have a negative impact on the remainder of the Jets season. The Jets were going to beat the Bills anyways so not sliding for the first down really was a bonehead move. The fact that he was a top 10 pick in the NFL draft and still doesn't know how to properly slide is alarming, or at least it would be if I were a Jets fan.

20. Houston Texans (18) – The Texans were on life support before this Sunday but they are officially done now. Of course we'll still have to talk about them because they will win the next two games, pull their record to 7-7, get their fans all riled up, and then ultimately lose at least one of their remaining two games to seal another non-winning season. Fun times in Houston.

21. San Francisco 49ers (20) – Like I stated above, their season is on the line this Sunday. I see no possible way for them to even sniff the playoffs besides winning their division, which seems to be the norm in the NFC West, so they better bring their best this week. Even if they do win, it still isn't looking overly good for them.

22. Buffalo Bills (22) – It was another amazingly boring game for the Bills in Toronto as they fell to the Jets. I expect a win this Sunday in Kansas City which worries me. Anytime I expect the Bills to do something, they usually do the opposite. I did have a realization the other night during the game, which may or may not have been induced by alcohol, but after this season I've decided to be overly positive about the Bills. That's right; I'm going to turn into the biggest homer ever. You've been warned.

23. Carolina Panthers (23) – Although I was wrong on my pick of the Panthers, I don't feel totally wrong seeing that Matt Moore played about as well as I thought he would. I just didn't think Josh Freeman would do his best Jake Delhomme impersonation and throw five interceptions. It says a lot about your team when you beat one of the worst teams at home by 10 points and were handed five turnovers. In other words, the Panthers are still a pretty bad team. I understand the whole living in Carolina thing that would appeal to Bill Cowher, but honestly, what else could he see in the Panthers? He would be crazy to take that job.


BOTTOM OF THE BARREL

24. Chicago Bears (24) – Sometimes I really enjoy writing these rankings. For instance, I had no idea the Bears even played yesterday until I checked the box scores while writing this.

25. Seattle Seahawks (25) – This is just my opinion, but having Mike Holmgren come back in some sort of Bill Parcells type role with Seattle isn't going to fix their problems. I really can't imagine how anybody in Seattle would be excited for that.

26. Oakland Raiders (29) – I can't help but wonder what Oakland's record would be if they started Bruce Gradkowski all season. I know it wouldn't be a winning record, but it would have to be better than 4-8. It's almost funny to think that the Raiders have the same record as the Bills and started JaMarcus Russell for over half the season. Excuse me while I go throw up.

27. Washington Redskins (26) – The Redskins did precisely what bad teams do; snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. As a Bills fan, I've seen it happen so many times that I've lost count. I'd feel bad for fans in Washington, but honestly, I don't. Go a full decade without the playoffs and then talk to me.

28. Kansas City Chiefs (27) – How bad are the Chiefs? I'll find out for sure this Sunday.

NOTE: I don't mean this as any type of cop out, but I just don't know what to write about these four teams anymore. I've spent this past 12 weeks or so basically making fun of them, ripping on their poor QB play, and stating the obvious. I saw approximately 27 seconds combined from the games these four teams played yesterday. So on that note, I'm lumping them together and I'm done with them.

29. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (28)

30. St Louis Rams (30)

31. Detroit Lions (31)

32. Cleveland Browns (32)

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