Sporadic Sabres Thoughts

It's been almost a full week since the Sabres were eliminated in six games to Boston. I can assure all four readers of this site that I haven't been avoiding the topic and I was honestly far too busy with real life work to write anything. Unfortunately, the job that pays the money gets the higher priority. However in the meantime, I do have a few thoughts about Buffalo's demise.

I feel awful for Ryan Miller. There were times during the Drury/Briere years and the few that followed where it seemed like he could easily be the captain of this team, even though outside of Vancouver it's not traditional to give the 'C' to the goalie. After this season, I believe that without a doubt. For someone who missed maybe one or two games during the course of the entire regular season and playoffs, I can honestly tell you that Miller was the lone Sabre who seemed to give a crap night in and night out. That isn't to say that he didn't have bad nights (Pittsburgh and Atlanta come to mind), but he still cared on a daily basis. When he got yanked against the Pens he headed towards the tunnel where he was seen throwing his mask and equipment. Right there was more emotion than half the roster has shown during the season. Coincidentally, Buffalo came back and won that game shortly after. After a terrible loss in Carolina, Miller was the one Sabre going off in his post-game interviews. Most of the other players seemed to shrug it off and collect their paycheck.

(Side note: I'll never forget going to Buffalo to catch a Sabres/Leafs game a few years back during the 06-07 season and watching Toronto take a huge lead on Buffalo. After letting in a pretty awful goal, Miller proceeded to whip his stick across the ice and into the boards. Naturally, Buffalo came back and won the game in regulation with an insane onslaught. Again, probably a coincidence. Or is it?)

But anyways, back to my original thought process. This guy has been the heart and soul of the Sabres for the past few years and after his Olympic run, he is now officially the face of the franchise. Of course this means that the team around him will let him down in a deciding game and hang him out to dry in the others. Seriously, besides Game Five, I wasn't impressed at all with the Sabres. When AHL players (Ennis, Gerbe, McCormick) are coming up in the playoffs and immediately paying dividends, there is an issue with your core group of players. 

That gets me to another point: Tyler Ennis. I loved just about everything this kid brought to the ice during the playoffs and I really look forward to seeing him all next season. I know Scott and a few others have mentioned how he is similar to an old buddy of mine, Maxim Afinogenov, and I don't totally disagree with that point. I think the biggest difference between those two players is not the style, but the fact that Ennis appears to be going in the right direction at all times. Max had some flashy moments, but was non-existent or turning the puck over the majority of the time. When Max was on his game, I had zero issues with him.

Speaking of turnovers, I've had just about enough of Tim Connolly. There wasn't one player on this team that was as bad as Connolly was over the course of the entire series. Granted, it's been leaked out to the public in recent days that he was recovering from a broken foot (or broken bone in his foot?), so he should have a little leeway, but I'm not giving him much. If the injury affected him that much, you don't play. It's really that simple. But he did play and he played horribly.

These are just a few of the many thoughts swirling through my head right now as the Sabres set their tee time for tomorrow afternoon. I look forward to writing more about the NHL playoffs that are still going on and I look forward to breaking down off-season moves in much greater detail during the summer, along with a bunch of free agency stuff come July.

Till then, see you before the Conference Finals.



NHL Playoffs: Round 2

Just because the Sabres are finished with the playoffs, doesn't mean we're taking a break. While Devin and I are both quite disappointed with the uninspired performance that Buffalo put on in the first round, we're going to continue to pick the rest of Stanley Cup Playoffs, even if we aren't watching with quite the same irrational interest.

After Round 1, Devin has taken the lead by virtue of his gutsy underdog pick. He correctly chose Montreal to take down Washington in 7 games. Well done sir! So using the 5 points per correct pick, and a bonus 5 points for getting the number of games correct, the scores are currently: Devin - 35, Scott - 25. On with the 2nd round picks...

WESTERN CONFERENCE:

(1) San Jose Sharks vs. (5) Detroit Red Wings

Devin's Pick: Detroit in 7
Scott's Pick: Detroit in 6

(2) Chicago Blackhawks vs. (3) Vancouver Canucks

Devin's Pick: Chicago in 6
Scott's Pick: Vancouver in 6

EASTERN CONFERENCE:

(4) Pittsburgh Penguins vs. (8) Montreal Canadiens
Devin's Pick: Pittsburgh in 6
Scott's Pick: Pittsburgh in 6

(6) Boston Bruins vs. (7) Philadelphia Flyers

Devin's Pick: Boston in 7
Scott's Pick: Philadelphia in 7

My Take on the Buffalo Bills and the 2010 Draft

What better time that Draft Day for me to finally get back to writing? If nothing else, maybe it'll get my mind of the Sabres and the misery they have decided to cause me in these playoffs. So the NFL has expanded the draft to 3 days this year and the first round will be getting the full prime time treatment this evening. This is interesting on a couple levels, but mostly in that it will force teams to sit back and think about what happened in the 1st round over night before getting back to it on Friday evening. This could result in some more wheeling and dealing than usual in my opinion. Rather than try to dissect the entire draft however, I just want to focus on the Bills and some of the options laid out before them.

As is always the case, everybody has their own opinion on what would be the best bet come draft time, and this is simply a forum for me to discuss some of the possibilities that I've heard mentioned so far. While discussing these options, I will of course give my two cents on how each could play out for Buffalo. With that being said, let's start with the name I've heard the most thus far in relation to the Bills.

Jimmy Clausen seems to be a bit of a polarizing figure to most, though that's often the case with any quarterback come draft time. Fans either think he could be the next savior or just another in a long series of busts. Clausen magnifies this idea a bit in part because he went to Notre Dame, which is a love 'em or hate 'em school for most folks. Additionally, he has a bit of a pretty boy image and displays a certain cockiness about himself. There seems to be a large contingency of people that believe this will be Buffalo's pick should he still be on the board when the Bills hit the clock with the 9th pick. Personally, I think somebody in front of Buffalo will snag him. The 4 teams directly in front of Buffalo all have a need for quarterback, it's just a matter of whether they are willing to use such a high pick on one. I'd expect Seattle to pass in favor of some other needs, and the same with Kansas City, despite Charlie Weiss campaigning for Clausen. That leaves Cleveland and Oakland as possible destinations. I once said that "Cleveland would need balls of steel to take a Notre Dame QB in the first round again" after Brady Quinn was mostly a flop. Well, that was also before they dealt away Quinn and Anderson, leaving them with recently acquired Jake Delhomme as the likely starter. It's clear Cleveland still needs a quarterback, but again, I see them taking care of other needs first, because they certainly have plenty of them. As for Oakland, we all know Al Davis is as crazy as they come, and has a history of taking puzzling picks, but I think Clausen will not make it past this spot. JaMarcus Russell's time seems to be done finally after consistently miserable performances, and while there are four other quarterbacks on the roster, their names happen to be Bruce Gradkowski, Kyle Boller, J.P. Losman, and Charlie Frye. That's a big pile of fail if you ask me.

Personally, I'd be happy with this scenario. I do believe Clausen has the physical ability to become a solid QB in the NFL, but I also think it depends a great deal on where he ends up. If he were to come to Buffalo, I think it would be an absolute disaster. He's going to crave attention and a national spotlight, and that's something Buffalo won't offer. Jim Kelly had a similar cockiness and attitude about him in the mid 80s, and he certainly made it work in Buffalo, but these are different times. I just can't see most Bills fans embracing Clausen and his prima donna image. He'd be expected to produce right away, and with the team the Bills have to surround him with, that's going to be nearly impossible. Clausen would be J.P. Losman all over again if he came to the Bills. He'd be given the chance to run with the team, make a few fantastic plays here and there, just enough so people say "well, maybe...", but then the mistakes would mount up and I think Clausen would crack in a hurry. If he gets in the right situation, he could flourish, but Buffalo is just not that place anyway you look at it.

While we are discussing quarterbacks, it would be a tragedy if I didn't discuss Tim Tebow. Now, I've gone on record time and time again saying that I don't believe Tebow will ever become a top tier quarterback in the NFL. Based on what I've seen in terms of his mechanics, his inability to properly read through progressions, and his quick reliance on taking to his feet to try and save a play, I just don't see it ever working out for him at that position. With all that being said, you can't help but love the guy's never say die attitude. He absolutely is willing to do what it takes to improve himself and he seems to be the type that will outwork everybody around him. Desire and effort can make up for a lot of things, but I just don't know if it can overcome all the obstacles I see facing him as a QB in the NFL. Word on the streets has it that the Bills are absolutely enamored with Tebow and could very well be positioning themselves to take him. I will say that I'm more ok with this right now than I was a few weeks ago, but I still think it would be a mistake. If they take Tebow at #9, I will have lost the remaining shred of faith I have in the team as an organization, but even I don't think the front office is quite that dumb.

If they were to take him in the 2nd round at #41, I could probably deal with it. See, unlike Clausen, I think Tebow's long term success will not depend nearly as much on the location in which he ends up. As I just mentioned, he is going to work his butt off and do everything he can to improve himself, and that is something Buffalo fans can certainly get behind with their blue collar mentality. Wherever he ends up, he's going to be a project at best. He will need a few years to learn an NFL system and to continue to work on improving his mechanics, and time is something Buffalo has in spades at this point. The Bills clearly aren't built to contend at this point and they could develop Tebow over the next few years. The problem with this yet again is he would need to be surrounded by more talent than this team currently has on the offensive side of the ball. Hopefully this could be improved over the next couple of seasons with the new regime in place. I know that requires putting a lot of faith in an organization that has been bound and determined to prove they don't deserve any for the last decade plus, but we'll try and stay a little optimistic here.

The thing with Tim Tebow is that somebody is going to be willing to take a chance on him and draft him in a spot higher than where his ability dictates he should go. Again, with the teams right in front of us in Round 2 needing quarterbacks, it seems likely he'd come off the board here somewhere. So if the Bills really want him, I think they would need to trade up into either the bottom of Round 1 or the very front of Round 2. Both of these ideas make it not worth drafting him to me. We have too many issues to address to be giving up extra picks to take a chance on a guy. So in conclusion, if he's there at 41, and the Bills are truly that set on taking him, I can deal... but otherwise, let him go.

There is one other quarterback that seems to be slipping most people's mind and has garnered no discussion in relation to Buffalo that I've heard. Colt McCoy managed to lead Texas to a 45-8 record in his 4 seasons at the helm. That stands right up there with what Tebow accomplished at Florida and is certainly an impressive number. I personally believe that McCoy's abilities more readily transfer to the NFL as well, and would be much more in favor of Buffalo taking him at #41. Not to say McCoy doesn't need to work on his game as well, because like any quarterback coming into the league, he's not going to be ready instantly. I do see McCoy being much more like Tebow than Clausen however in terms of having a chance to succeed regardless of location. He strikes me as having a strong work ethic as well and being willing to take a year or two to learn and grow into the NFL lifestyle, where as Clausen seems like he will be more challenging to coach. Subtracting Sam Bradford from the equation since he will pretty clearly be gone right away, I think that McCoy has the best chance of being a success in Buffalo of the 3 top quarterbacks being discussed.

Assuming the Bills do take either Tim Tebow or Colt McCoy at #41 (and of course it's all assumption at this point because trying to predict a draft is pretty near impossible), that leaves the question of who they will take with the 9th pick. My answer to that is the same as it has been for years with the Bills. Address the lines! Both the offensive and defensive lines still need a great deal of help and it seems as though the Bills conveniently ignore this time and time again. I will give them credit for last year's draft and taking Andy Levitre and Eric Wood, as both seem to be on the right path to being quality players. There is still work to be done however, and as long as that is the case, I don't care who is at quarterback for Buffalo, they're going to have a hard time succeeding. Tackle is a pressing need and it seems as though there should be a quality one on the board when the Bills go to make their first pick. Most figure Russell Okung of Oklahoma St. and Trent Williams from Oklahoma will be gone at that point, but Iowa's Bryan Bulaga is worth of a #9 pick in most everybody's book. Shoring up the offensive line would go a long way towards allowing the offense to have any sort of success in the future.

On the flip side, the defensive line needs help as well, especially as the Bills transition to a 3-4 defense this season. Nobody on the roster currently seems capable of manning the nose tackle position in this style of defense. My absolute dream draft would see the Bills nabbing either Ndamukong Suh or Gerald McCoy, as both seem like sure fire, can't miss picks that would bring immediate production to the field. Unfortunately, they're both likely to be long gone before Buffalo gets a chance to make a selection. The next best consensus DT is Dan Williams from Tennessee. He has the size and potential ability, though most mocks seem to have him lasting a bit longer and going somewhere in the teens. It might be a bit of a stretch for Buffalo to take him at 9, but at least it would be addressing a top need.

The last remaining name I've heard in connection with Buffalo a great deal is Clemson running back CJ Spiller. Spiller is an explosive talent without a doubt, and will likely benefit any team that selects him as a spot duty back as well as a kick returner. I like Spiller's big play ability, especially since it's something the Bills have generally been lacking for a long time. I don't like him as the #9 pick for Buffalo though. In the long list of pressing needs for the team, running back is not chief among them. I realize most seem to believe that the Bills intend on moving troubled RB Marshawn Lynch, and many are quite in favor of the idea. I'm not wholly opposed to it myself after he disappointed in multiple ways last season, but he does still have some talent and keeping him around would allow us to focus on greater needs. In fact, it troubles me greatly that after Lee Evans, the next wide receiver on our current depth chart is a guy that has 10 receptions in 16 games over 2 seasons. James Hardy may yet prove himself to be a value in Buffalo, but he's an unknown entity at this point. If the Bills were insistent on ignoring the biggest needs and going with a skill position player at #9, I'd rather they take a chance on Dez Bryant than CJ Spiller.

The draft is really a crap shoot in so many ways, both in terms of trying to predict it and in terms of the success of the players selected. It's always an intriguing time of year and every person has their preferences in terms of what their favorite team should do. While I've outlined my preferences here, the truth of the matter is that it would be fairly hard for the Bills to screw up this draft too badly. With so many needs, you'd hope they would at least managed to address a few of them. Here's to hoping a new regime can start to right the ship beginning this evening!

NHL Playoffs: Round One


EASTERN CONFERENCE

(1) Washington Capitals VS (8) Montreal Canadiens

Speaking from a Buffalo fan perspective, Montreal was the one team I didn't want to see in the first round. However, I'm not sure if Washington feels the same way. The Caps pretty much plowed through the regular season and coasted to 121 points and the President's Trophy. Playing in a division that consisted of the Atlanta Thrashers, Carolina Hurricanes, Tampa Bay Lightning, and Florida Panthers had nothing to do with that.

There are two glaring keys to this series and both involve the guys between the pipes. Theodore was quickly yanked last postseason after game one of the opening round and is now looking for redemption this time. This should be rather easy for Theodore because he the highest scoring team in the league playing in front of him. Washington was the only team in the league to score over 300 goals this season and they easily had the best goal differential with a mammoth +85.

For Montreal, I'm interested in seeing if they can just get some solid and reliable goaltending. They have been flip flopping between Carey Price and Jaroslav Halak all season long. Halak has the better stats, but both have been pretty comparable in the games I've seen them, and neither has been able to wrestle the starting job away for good. My last memories for both are complete opposites. For Price, I remember him imploding in Buffalo with a 2-0 lead and losing it in the last three minutes. For Halak, it was posting back-to-back shutouts in two straight nights against Philadelphia and Buffalo.

Devin's Pick: Montreal in 7

Scott's Pick: Washington in 5


 

(2) New Jersey Devils VS (7) Philadelphia Flyers

Odds are good that I won't see much of this series. For one, this is the only first round series that won't feature one game on either Versus or NBC. For two, it features the insanely boring Devils and a team that made the post-season based on a skills competition. For people that dislike the shootout, watching Philadelphia advance to the playoffs and eliminate the Rangers in a shootout is the ultimate reason why the shootout is awful.

The Devils clinched the two seed on the final day of the regular season with a 2-1 win over Buffalo after the Sabres pulled Patrick Lalime in the last minute knowing they needed a regulation win to clinch the two seed.

New Jersey heads into the playoffs as the lone team in the NHL to allow less than 200 goals during the regular season. This is in complete contrast as Philadelphia heads into the playoffs with the shakiest goaltending of the 16 teams. To say they have had horrendous luck with goalie injuries would be putting it lightly. That being said, it speaks volumes for the team that they still qualified for the playoffs despite this.

The Flyers had great success against New Jersey this season, going 5-1-0 in their six games. With that in mind, this is the playoffs and Martin Brodeur isn't going to lose four games in seven to a team led by Brian Boucher.

Devin's Pick: New Jersey in 7

Scott's Pick: New Jersey in 6


 

(3) Buffalo Sabres VS (6) Boston Bruins

I've got to admit, I've been a little surprised to see so many experts pick Boston to win this series. Don't get me wrong, the Bruins are a decent team and Tuuka Rask is a very good goaltender. In fact, he has pretty much owned Buffalo since coming into the league.

Boston had the decided advantage in the season series, but it isn't that black and white. Two of those games featured either Patrick Lalime or Jhonas Enroth in net, which is an immediate drop off from facing Ryan Miller. So if you hypothetically toss those games out, the season series looks a little more even. See that? It's called spin.

Boston is the lowest scoring team out of the 16 participants in the playoffs. 13 of their season points came courtesy of losing in overtime or a shootout, which is tied for second among the playoff teams for most loser points.

To their credit though, they only allowed 200 goals on the season which is second best in the Eastern Conference and seven goals less than Buffalo.

Buffalo's road record was a pedestrian 20-17-4, but so was Boston's home record of 18-17-6. On the road, Boston was much better, posting a 21-13-7 record. Going along with the theme, Buffalo was excellent within the confines of HSBC Arena going 25-10-6 at home.

So really, I have no idea what to expect in this series. Well, I know what I'm expecting in my head, but I would never dare write that out and post it publicly on the internet.

Devin's Pick: Buffalo in 6

Scott's Pick:
Buffalo in 6


 

(4) Pittsburgh Penguins VS (5) Ottawa Senators

For what feels like the tenth year in a row, Ottawa and Pittsburgh face off in a 4/5 first round matchup.

In the month of April, Ottawa played in five games and grabbed five points. This doesn't sound too terrible until you realize that they played the Hurricanes, Islanders, Panthers, Lightning, and Sabres. Of those five teams, only Buffalo is a playoff team. In that particular game the Senators watched Thomas Vanek score four goals as Buffalo pounded starting goaltender Pascal Leclaire.

Pittsburgh didn't fare much better in April as they also took five points in five games. Much like Ottawa, the Penguins only played one playoff team in those five games and lost that game handedly.

As if the above two paragraphs weren't enough to show how equal these teams are, factor in that they split the season series down the middle with both going 2-2-0 against the other. Not that this matters this year, but they also split their playoff series with Ottawa winning in 2006-07 and Pittsburgh winning in 2007-08.

So with all that in mind, this series could really go any way on paper, however it won't in reality.

Pittsburgh is going to crush Ottawa. The Pens might have struggled a bit this season in terms of not winning their division and only finishing with the four seed, but they are the two time defending Eastern Conference champions and they know what it takes to win in April, May, and June. A team led by Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, and Marc-Andre Fleury is not going to lose in the first round to a team with two goalies that have a combined total of zero minutes of playoff experience.

Devin's Pick: Pittsburgh in 5

Scott's Pick: Pittsburgh in 5


 

WESTERN CONFERENCE

(1) San Jose Sharks VS (8) Colorado Avalanche

Devin's Pick: San Jose in 6

Scott's Pick: San Jose in 6

(2) Chicago Blackhawks VS (7) Nashville Predators

Devin's Pick: Chicago in 7

Scott's Pick: Chicago in 4

(3) Vancouver Canucks VS (6) Los Angeles Kings

Devin's Pick: Los Angeles in 7

Scott's Pick: Los Angeles in 7

(4) Phoenix Coyotes VS (5) Detroit Red Wings

Devin's Pick: Detroit in 6

Scott's Pick: Detroit in 6

Campbell in Buffalo?


When I saw the ESPN ticker go across the bottom of my screen with the news that Donovan McNabb had been traded to Washington, my first thought was "Wow!" My second thought was, "Here come the rumors of a Jason Campbell trade."

It didn't take long.

ESPN 980 in Washington has already thrown out the rumor that Buffalo, Carolina, Oakland, Jacksonville, and another unknown team have interest in Campbell. This shouldn't come as a shock to any fan of this team. The Bills have been actively looking for another QB to join the team and most likely compete for the starting job this summer in training camp. In fact, McNabb was one of those possible choices, but it wasn't meant to be.

Campbell is currently a restricted free agent and has a first round tender attached to him; however nobody is going to sign him to an offer sheet with that steep of a price attached. Now that Washington has McNabb on the roster, they are most likely going to trade Campbell away for maybe a fourth or fifth round draft pick.

So would Campbell be a good fit in Buffalo?

I'm not against it. I'm not selling it either, but I think they could do a lot worse. Hear me out.

Let's say hypothetically that the Bills give up a fourth round draft choice for Campbell. Not a bad deal if you ask me. What other QB could they draft in the fourth round or later that would be just as good or better than Campbell? Unless they pull a New England and fall ass backwards into drafting Tom Brady in the late rounds, I doubt it happens. In conjunction with a trade for Campbell, this move would allow the Bills to focus on the offensive or defensive line with the ninth overall pick, instead of hoping and praying that Jimmy Clausen develops into a franchise QB.

In four seasons with Washington, Campbell threw for a total of 10,860 yards, 55 touchdowns, 38 interceptions, and has an 82.3 QB rating over that time. I would also like to point out that he played in all 16 games for the past two seasons, something that is rather impressive considering the fact that Derrick Dockery and Mike Williams were two of the players protecting him last season. Not to make excuses for Campbell, but he was also being forced to learn a brand new offense in almost every offseason instead of improving on his current one.

I think I've pounded home the fact that the Bills are over 50+ games without having a QB throw for over 300 yards in one game. Well, Campbell did it twice last season.

I've seen quite a few fans say how bad Campbell is and what an awful move it would be for the Bills.

Really?

Last time I checked, the current favorite to win the starting job is still Trent Edwards. Edwards has yet to finish one full season in the NFL. Edwards has amassed 5,498 yards, 24 touchdowns, and 25 interceptions over the span of his career. Not to defend Edwards, but I suppose it is rather difficult to rack up a lot of passing yards when you dump it off to the running back on EVERY SINGLE PASSING PLAY.

So again, how is Campbell a worse option?

I know it sounds like I'm selling Campbell, something I said I wouldn't do earlier in this post, but he is absolutely a better option than is currently on this roster.

The reason I can't totally sell Campbell is that they might have a better QB waiting in the draft. Just because I don't like Jimmy Clausen doesn't guarantee that he isn't the right choice. Who knows, he might be the next Phillip Rivers or Drew Brees. I could live with that.

All I'm saying is that Campbell has a very small price tag attached to him right now and this move would allow Buffalo to improve at other positions that are equally as important. If the Bills are 100% sold on Clausen or even (gulp) Tim Tebow, then fine, draft that guy. But if they have their doubts about either one (or any others for that matter), Campbell would be worth a shot.


 

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