NFL Picks – Week Three


San Francisco 49ers @ Kansas City Chiefs – After their loss to New Orleans on Monday, Frank Gore came out and said that the Saints couldn't hang with them. Those are some pretty big words considering the defending champs are 2-0 and the Niners are 0-2. I halfway agree with him because the Saints barely pulled it out and the Niners shot themselves in the foot several times throughout the game. Nevertheless, good teams don't make those mistakes, the Niners did and quite frankly, they aren't that good. Put them in any other division besides the NFC West and I think that would become evident. That being said, this game is very winnable for them.

The Chiefs have had some breaks go their way to far. For one, the schedule. They could very well be 3-0 at the bye week or at worst, 2-1. Still remaining on their schedule are games against Jacksonville, Buffalo, Oakland (2x), Arizona, Seattle and St. Louis. I wouldn't be shocked at all if they finished the season 9-7 or 10-6 with a slate of games like that.

I'm going with the 49ers but I'm very hesitant to do so. San Francisco struggled on the road in Week One because Alex Smith couldn't get the plays in time due to Seattle's insanely loud crowd. Arrowhead is just as difficult to play in and it will present the same challenges. It was reported on Monday night that he is now wearing a wristband with the plays on it, but who knows if it will make a difference. I guess we'll find out Sunday. (San Francisco)

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens – I was going to write this long paragraph about how the Ravens only lost to the Bengals by five points, despite losing the turnover battle 4-0. But honestly, it's not needed. It's their home opener and they are playing the Browns. Unless Josh Cribbs contributes 21 points by himself, the Browns are losing this game. (Baltimore)

Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans – This would be the pick of the week where you'll read this and think I'm crazy. Dallas is going to win. They have their backs against the wall and it's the week before their bye week. That would indicate to me that if Dallas doesn't win, Wade Phillips might want to start packing his bags. This is meant as no disrespect towards Houston, they are a very good team, but this game has upset written all over it. (Dallas)

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings – In the immortal words of Dennis Green, Brett Favre is who we thought he was. He's a turnover machine and unless every circumstance is absolutely perfect (like it was last season), he's going to struggle big time. On top of that, he doesn't even look like he wants to be playing at this point. You can see that much on his face. He and the Vikings get a break with Detroit this week and an early bye next week, but then the season pretty much comes crumbling down. (Minnesota)

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots – This game is going to be such a blowout that I don't even need to discuss it. At the very least, barring injury, I won't be subjected to three hours of Trent Edwards this Sunday. That's the highlight for me. Hey, maybe they'll even score some points and make things exciting for two or three quarters. It's about all I can hope for anymore. (New England)

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints – The Falcons looked pretty bad on the road in Pittsburgh and pretty good at home against Arizona. I see a developing trend with this. If they want to prove that theory wrong, they might want to play well and beat the Saints. It would go a long way in proving themselves as a legit contender. Unfortunately for the Falcons, I don't see it happening.

The Saints have been less than spectacular during their two wins this season, but still, they are winning those games. If the Saints can get past Atlanta, they could very well be 8-1 heading into the bye. Not a bad situation to be in if you're the defending champs. (New Orleans)

Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants – Not that I'm a huge fan of Vince Young, but he and the Titans should be able to bounce back and get the win in Jersey. The Giants allowed 160 yards on the ground last week to the Colts, including over four yards per carry from Joseph Addai and Donald Brown. Both running backs are good, but neither is in the class of Chris Johnson. That sound you hear is Johnson's fantasy owners drooling over this matchup. (Tennessee)

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Going into the season, a 2-2 start would've been ideal for Pittsburgh. At this rate, not only are they going to start at least 3-1 or maybe even 4-0, but Dennis Dixon got himself injured and there won't be one single Pittsburgh fan disappointed with the return of Ben Roethlisberger. The Steelers offense in general has been less than impressive which should be great news for Ben, but they are winning the games because they don't have to play from behind and their defense is just that good. It's the perfect storm in Pittsburgh right now. I'm going to go pour myself a drink. (Pittsburgh)

Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers – The Bengals offense hasn't been very good so far, which is slightly surprising considering the weapons they have at their disposal. They have three easy games coming up though, and should be able to work out the kinks in time for the important games. For Carolina, it's already the start of the Jimmy Clausen era. It looks like it will be an ugly year for the Panthers which probably means late season speculation on John Fox's job and whether or not Bill Cowher will return to coaching. I can't wait. (Cincinnati)

Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars – The Eagles made waves this week by announcing that Michael Vick will be the starter, despite the health of Kevin Kolb. Part of me applauds the decision because if Vick is playing well, he should stay in the game and give the Eagles the best chance to win. The other part feels that Kolb is getting shafted. After being handed the keys to the Eagles offense, he barely got time to drive before getting kicked out. Losing your job to injury is always tough. I have a feeling that we haven't seen the last of him this season though. (Philadelphia)

Washington Redskins @ St. Louis Rams – If the Redskins want to make a push for the playoffs this season, they need to take advantage and win games like this one. For instance, after this week, Washington faces Philadelphia, Green Bay and Indianapolis in consecutive weeks. See what I mean? (Washington)

Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos – The Colts got back on track last week and should continue rolling right through Denver. At this point, there isn't much that impresses me about Denver. I made fun of the Bills and their usage of C.J. Spiller so far, but the Broncos shouldn't be exempt from the same treatment. They blew a first round pick on Tim Tebow and so far he has had zero pass attempts and two carries for two yards. Considering the fact that he wasn't drafted to necessarily be the next franchise QB, one can only assume that picking him where they did was an awful use of a draft pick. (Indianapolis)

Oakland Raiders @ Arizona Cardinals – Wow. Nothing about this game seems even remotely appealing. (Oakland)

San Diego Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks – Sometimes I wish the Bills played more late afternoon games so I wouldn't be subjected to so many NFC West teams. Unless Seattle is playing one of their division rivals, I have a hard time picking them. (San Diego)

New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins – Tough game to pick. On one side, the Jets are supposed to be really good and showed that last week by beating down on the Patriots. On another side, the Jets still have Mark Sanchez and regardless of one game, I still think he sucks.

For Miami, they looked more than mediocre in their opening day win at Buffalo and I'm not sure they looked any better against Minnesota. They got a turn of turnovers courtesy of Brett Favre and still almost found a way to lose. On the other hand, they are 2-0 and both games were played on the road. That isn't an easy thing to do in the NFL, regardless of who you're playing.

I've got to go with the Jets though. Their defense is still really good and should be able to shut down the vaunted Dolphins offense, led by future Hall of Famer Chad Henne. The Dolphins defense is good but unless they plan on shutting out the Jets, I don't think it will be enough to get the win. (NY Jets)

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears – I realize people want to jump on the Chicago bandwagon after their 2-0 start, but I urge you to think about it first. So far this season, Chicago has defeated teams that are a combined 0-4. On top of that, their leading rusher, Matt Forte, has a total of 71 yards rushing in the two games.

Now to be fair, the Packers opponents have been 1-3, including the worst team in the league last week. However, it's my picks article and I don't have to be fair.

I guess my whole point here is that the Packers are looking like the team we thought they were and I really don't think the Bears are for real. (Green Bay)

Last Week: 11-5

Season: 20-12


 

Scott's Picks –

San Francisco 49ers @ Kansas City Chiefs

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens

Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints

Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers

Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Washington Redskins @ St. Louis Rams

Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos

Oakland Raiders @ Arizona Cardinals

San Diego Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks

New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears


 

Last Week: 8-8

Season: 17-15


 

As always, here is the updated standings for mine and Scott's fantasy bet. I had a pretty good week and I'm now up in 2 of the 3 leagues. Maybe it's time to go jersey shopping.

BZ Staff League
Inebriaters v4.0 (Devin)2-0169
NC Ninjas (Scott)1-1240

 

It's Just Pretend
NC Ninjas (Scott)2-0268
Buffalo Blaze (Devin)0-2178

 

Lake Erie Football League
Buffalo Blizzard (Devin)2-0269
NC Ninjas (Scott)1-1219

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