NFL Picks – Week 11

Miami Dolphins @ Carolina Panthers (Thurs)

The Panthers should win this game, right? They are at home. The Dolphins will be without Ronnie Brown. The Dolphins just barely beat the Buccaneers. The Panthers just beat a (possibly) good Falcons team. In case you're wondering, that was just me talking myself into picking the Panthers. I'm never confident picking a team that starts Jake Delhomme at QB. Never.

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys

After a shaking outing in Green Bay, a home game against the Redskins is just what the doctor ordered for Dallas. Granted Washington did beat Denver last week, but lightning isn't going to strike twice for the Skins. And if it does, I will never trust Tony Romo in the second half of the season EVER again.

Cleveland Browns @ Detroit Lions

Sweet hellacious beast, this is going to be one terrible game. I know the Lions lost to the Rams at home, but there is no way they lose to Cleveland at home. If they do, I think they are actually worse off than they were last year.

San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers

I'm not crazy about San Francisco on the road and I'm even less crazy about them at Green Bay after the Packers just took down the Cowboys.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs

Even though the Steelers will most likely be without Troy Polamalu, they should be able to handle Kansas City. Does anybody think the Chiefs can win this game? Do the Chiefs players or coaches think they can win this game? Should we just call this one over before it starts and avoid any injuries? I say yes to the last question.

Atlanta Falcons @ NY Giants

Even though I've already ruled the Giants out, they are coming off a bye and the Falcons did just lose to the Panthers. Of course, this is the classic game that I get wrong because I'm not picking the road team that just suffered a terrible loss against the obvious home team that is coming off the bye and is well rested. Sometimes the NFL makes no sense at all.

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Hopefully the Saints have enough sense in them to not overlook this game towards next week's matchup with New England and continue their undefeated quest. Josh Freeman has the Bucs playing much better as of late, but they still aren't anywhere near where the Saints are at. The real question for me is do I play Josh Freeman on my one fantasy team where I'm already eliminated from the playoffs. Wait a second, that is a terrible question.

Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Nobody has any idea how happy I am right now. As it stood, this was the hardest game to write anything about because I was running out of clever ways to bash the Jacksonville fan base and Dick Jauron. It was only a few short hours later that the news broke that Dick Jauron would no longer be ruining my life coaching the Buffalo Bills. Before I go any further, I want everybody know that this is a temporary happiness and the minute the Bills hire another unknown coordinator or another career loser, I'll be back to being bitter old Devin.

But for now, let me enjoy this. The man who guided the Bills to three consecutive 7-9 seasons and somehow managed to get a contract extension in the middle of it is finally gone. The man who showed such little emotion that people regularly had to take his pulse during the game is finally gone. The man who continually clapped on the sidelines as his team was imploding is finally gone. The man who sucked the life out of Terrell Owens is finally gone. The man who thought it was a good idea to move Langston Walker to left tackle and then release him right before the season is finally gone. The man who benched Trent Edwards and put Ryan Fitzpatrick into the game with a little over two minutes to go and facing a 17 point deficit is finally gone. Finally.

Now if you'll excuse me, I'm going to go pour Gatorade on my head and celebrate.

Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens

We've reached that point in the season where I'm going to need to start taking chances to catch the leader. I can say in full confidence that I've tried this every season since I've been doing picks, and every season it blows up in my face. However, what choice do I have? In my current pick group I'm down seven games to the overall leader so I need to try and make up ground somewhere along the line. So with that in my mind, the Ravens over the Colts are my upset of the week.

The Colts should be flying high as they hit 9-0 thanks to a huge win over New England which eventually sets them up for the trap game. The road game. Against a sometimes tough Baltimore defense. Against a QB who has the ability to shred their suspect secondary. Don't say I didn't warn you.

Seattle Seahawks @ Minnesota Vikings

The cakewalk continues for the Vikings as they get another easy game at home. The best part about this easy schedule is the quicker they clinch the division, the closer we are to watching Tavaris Jackson play some football again. Fun times!

Arizona Cardinals @ St Louis Rams

This should be another easy win for the Cardinals. As long as they stop Steven Jackson (if it's possible), the Rams should never within 10 points of the lead.

NY Jets @ New England Patriots

Let's see; tough loss for the Patriots (check), people calling Bill Belicheck out (check), cocky Jets team reeling (check), Mark Sanchez playing in non-ideal weather conditions (check), and Patriots wanting to stick it to the Jets for talking trash (check). Yeah, this game isn't going to end well for the Jets.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Oakland Raiders

I'm not confident in this pick at all. On paper the Bengals overmatch the Raiders in even single aspect possible. But the Raiders always seem to have those few fluky home wins where the East Coast team is traveling out West. They already pulled one of those wins off this season against Philadelphia. Last season, they beat the Jets and Texans at home. In 2007, they beat the 10-6 Browns at home. In 2006, it was the defending Super Bowl Champion Pittsburgh Steelers. It must be something about playing in the Black Hole.

On the topic of the Bengals, how lucky is Larry Johnson? The guy hasn't surpassed 1,000 yards in Kansas City since the 2006 season, does nothing this year, rips his coach on Twitter, gets released, and then gets signed on the division leading Bengals. Talk about winning the lottery. If he is a smart man (which I highly doubt), he should probably shut his mouth and be thankful that he is in this situation and use it to rejuvenate his career.

San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos

I'm doing an entire flip flop on the whole Chargers/Broncos scenario. Denver basically had the division in their control and then proceeded to lose three games in a row and most likely their division lead this weekend. Even worse for them is if Kyle Orton misses this game and Chris Simms is the starting QB. Who knows. Maybe Simms will play well and lead Denver to victory. After seeing his little bit of game action against Washington, I'm not totally banking on it.

Meanwhile, San Diego has been on fire. They've pulled off four consecutive victories and are starting to look like the team that we thought they were in the pre-season. LDT played probably his best game of the season last week after finding out that he was going to be a father, if he continues to play like his old self, look out AFC.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears

Both teams need this game bad but the Eagles should win. They have the better QB and the better coach and quite frankly, if Philly loses again they will have a tough time making the playoffs. Losing Brian Westbrook won't help their cause but I don't think anybody can actually say they are shocked by this news.

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans

Houston should be rocking and rolling this Monday night for a rare primetime appearance by the Texans. The Titans are much improved since making the switch to Vince Young at QB, but that doesn't mean much for them the rest of the season. A 0-6 hole isn't something easy to overcome.

On the positive side for Tennessee, Chris Johnson is a beast of a running back that can barely be stopped. He should give the Texans fits all night and as long as the Titans can keep it close, he should be a major deciding factor in the game. Also factoring into this game, Vince Young's return to his home state and facing the team that passed him over. Granted I don't think anybody blames Houston for doing it now when we look back on it, but VY still carries that grudge and will probably play his best game of the season for Tennessee.

Still, Houston is the better team. They are in a divisional tie with Jacksonville and if they have any realistic expectations of making the playoffs, they absolutely must win this game. I'm giving them the benefit of the doubt after a late bye week and the Texans should win this game.

Last Week: 9-6

NFL Season: 95-62


Scott's Picks:

Miami Dolphins @ Carolina Panthers (Thurs)

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys

Cleveland Browns @ Detroit Lions

San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs

Atlanta Falcons @ NY Giants

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens

Seattle Seahawks @ Minnesota Vikings

Arizona Cardinals @ St Louis Rams

NY Jets @ New England Patriots

Cincinnati Bengals @ Oakland Raiders

San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans

Last Week: 10-5

NFL Season: 96-61

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